The Future Now Show February 2019 Change withHumberto Schwab What coding is for the digital world is Socratic Design for the real world, we analyze and change our ecology of mind. The Future Now ShowCredits Humberto Schwab, Socratic Design Academysocraticdesignacademy.com Club of Amsterdamwww.clubofamsterdam.com
The Future Now Show February 2019 withHumberto Schwab moderated byMarleen Stikker What coding is for the digital world is Socratic Design for the real world, we analyze and change our ecology of mind. –> The Future Now ShowCredits Humberto Schwab, Socratic Design Academysocraticdesignacademy.com Club of Amsterdamwww.clubofamsterdam.com
Content Release the power of cultural diversity in international businessClub of Amsterdam blogNews about the future of Cross-Cultural Competence News about the Future Next EventMillennium Ecosystem AssessmentSummit for the Future blog Recommended Book Microsoft’s Vision for an Identity MetasystemInnovation Trip AgendaClub of Amsterdam Open Business Club Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Release the power of cultural diversity in international business Finn Drouet Majlergaard, founder and managing partner, Gugin International Business Development Release the power of cultural diversity in international businessA special Summit for the Future on Risk Report How come that companies, who have been doing business internationally for decades suddenly fail? And how come that companies who wouldn’t have had a chance 25 years ago suddenly become a global success? This paper deals with the links between cultural awareness, corporate strategy and performance. It is based on my 15 years of experience in international business management, academic research in this field and experiences from our company Gugin, who helps corporations in Europe, US and Asia improving their international businesses. But lets look at why it has become so important to take different cultures into consideration. Globalisation Cultural awareness has become important due to increased globalisation. The global political structures have changed. We do have a United Nations that almost all countries respect and honour and the post war division of the world has changed after the collapse of the Soviet Union. New countries have been born and we have a more diverged political picture. We create political/economical relations in new ways e.g. the ASEM (Asia-Europe Meeting) process, which is a direct result of these changes. By 1992 East Asia accounted for 24 percent of global production. By comparison, the EU accounted for 35 percent and North America for 28% of global production. According to World Bank figures from 1991 – 1993 growth of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in East Asia averaged 8.7 percent. On the basis of growth rates recorded during 1978 – 1991, many economists including those from the World Bank projected that East Asia’s GDP would overtake that of North America and EU in 2010. Economically we are emerging as well. Europe is turning towards larger entities with common currency, one Central Bank and merges and close collaborations between stock exchanges. ASEAN is another good example however different. But since its foundation in 1967 a lot has changed. Evolving relations between the EEC/EU and ASEAN have lead to a lot of initiatives, such as joint ventures in the exploration of AEAN resources, the possibility of EEC participation in ASEAN manufacturing activities and the mobilisation of capital for financing ASEAN projects. Technologically the Internet has made it possible for companies to market themselves virtually everywhere and enabled the companies to establish inexpensive global infrastructures. And when you need to go abroad it is less expensive than ever before, so we travel much more than 20 years ago. So from both a political, economical and technological point of view we are encouraged to discover cultures we have only little knowledge about. For the adventurer it is good news but for international corporations it might as well be bad news. We have been working with two types of companies: Those who want to expand their international business in either Asia or Europe and those who have tried and faced a lot of challenges they didn’t predict or could even imagine. We like the first group very much, because we can help them become successful before they make any serious mistakes, however it is more interesting to look closer at the last group – those who tried and didn’t have their expectations met. You can read the full report: click here Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk May 3-5 Interdisciplinary Stream:Cross-Cultural CompetenceThe cohabitation of peoples through commerce and collaboration in a global marketplace exposes us to the cultural component of risk as well as the relativity of need. One person’s desire for sustainability is opposed by another one’s desire for material growth. The management of risk across cultural boundaries needs to link different views of the future, of the good gamble, the just reward, the allocation of responsibility, the distribution of hazard and equitable access to opportunity. How does this structure our partnerships and alliances? What competencies are required to make this work? Finn Drouet Majlergaard, Founder & Managing Partner, GuginCross-cultural competence – a key success factor in a globalised world In a world of rapid change, the success factors for companies will inevitably change as well. The “American way” of thinking is no longer universal. Strong Asian economies require holistic thinking and new ways of organising our corporations. As goods and services become commoditised local norms and values become more important. Being close to local cultures with diversified organisational structures and systems might be the key to success in the future – but are we ready to change? Tom Lambert, Founder, Global Chairman, International Centre for Consulting Excellence [ ICfCE] Advisory Board, Club of AmsterdamNever the Twain? Many countries have traditionally sent some of their best and brightest young people to the USA and Europe to complete their management education. Shackled by curricula largely designed to meet local needs these graduates have returned with models, tools and techniques that can be close to impossible to apply within the culture. The ICfCE is operating Think Tanks designed to combine the best of Eastern and Western understanding in a way that is sensitive to local cultures and needs. Understanding of a culture demands knowledge of a country’s history, religion, philosophy, belief systems and present needs that can only come from being a national of that country – or does it? Club of Amsterdam blog Club of Amsterdam blog January 04: How now wit! Whither wander you?January 04: Review: The Future of Software ArchitectureJanuary 02: the future of Futurist ToolsDecember 02: Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk News about the future of Cross-Cultural Competence Less than 1% of the world’s languages are used on the Internet Initiative B@bel uses Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) to support linguistic and cultural diversity, and to protect and preserve languages in danger of disappearance. It promotes multilingualism on the Internet in order to make access to its contents and services more equitable for users worldwide. Today, more than 90% of content on the Internet exists in only 12 languages, so many users of the 6 000 languages in the world are overlooked by this important communication medium. The “Initiative” puts emphasis on the need of completing all the steps to ensure the presence of a language in the digital world. Synergy and cooperation with other institutions and initiatives is capital to achieve longer term results regarding multilingualism in the cyberspace. Cultural Intelligence In an increasingly diverse business environment, managers must be able to navigate the thicket of habits, gestures, and assumptions that define their coworkers’ differences. Foreign cultures are everywhere – in other countries, certainly, but also in corporations, vocations, and regions. Interacting with individuals within them demands perceptiveness and adaptability. And the people who have those traits in abundance aren’t necessarily the ones who enjoy the greatest social success in familiar settings. Cultural intelligence, or CQ, is the ability to make sense of unfamiliar contexts and then blend in. It has three components – cognitive, physical, and emotional/motivational. Although it shares many of the properties of emotional intelligence, CQ goes one step further by equipping a person to distinguish behaviors produced by the culture in question from behaviors that are peculiar to particular individuals and those found in all human beings. In their surveys of 2,000 managers in 60 countries, the authors found that most managers are not equally strong in all three of these areas of CQ. The authors have devised tools that show how to identify one’s strengths and developed training techniques to help people overcome weaknesses. They conclude that anyone reasonably alert, motivated, and poised can attain an acceptable level of CQ News about the future Sweden plans to be independent of oil in 2020by Mona Sahlin, Minister for Sustainable Development, Sweden Along with high oil prices and climate change, an increasing number of countries are recognising the problem with fossil fuels. Sweden has the chance to be an international model and a successful actor in export markets for alternative solutions. But this requires conscious investments – not a reactionary policy that obstructs the transition to alternative energy sources and investments in the environment of the future. Breaking dependence on oil brings many opportunities for strengthened competitiveness, technological development and progress. The aim is to break dependence on fossil fuels by 2020. By then no home will need oil for heating. By then no motorist will be obliged to use petrol as the sole option available. By then there will always be better alternatives to oil. Imagining the Google Future by Business 2.0 Interviews with dozens of experts help us plot four scenarios illustrating where Google’s geniuses may be leading the company – and, perhaps, all of us.Scenario 1 (Circa 2025): Google Is The MediaGoogle TV, Google Mobile and the rise of e-paper create the perfect storm. Scenario 2 (Circa 2015): Google is the InternetFree wi-fi, a faster version of the Web, the Gbrowser, and the cube transform the technology landscape and our language. Scenario 3 (Circa 2020): Google is DeadThe once-mighty search engine falls prey to privacy intrusion, optimizers and Microsoft. Scenario 4 (Circa 2105): Google is GodHuman consciousness gets stored, upgraded and networked Next Event: Wednesday, March 1st, 16:30-19:15 the future of Electronic Identityits impact and benefits for the individual and business Wednesday, March 1st, 2006Registration: 16:00-16:30, Conference: 16:30-19:15Where: Syntens, De Ruyterkade 5, 1013 AA Amsterdam [Building of the Chamber of Commerce] WithJan Willem Broekema, Programme Manager, Open Source Software programme OSOSS, National Co-ordinator Open Standards:ID by Law – Is the European Directive valid in 10 years?Dennis van Ham, Consultant, Information Risk Management, KPMG:Electronic identity: are you (proven) in control?Marcel van Beek, Program Manager, Passenger Process, Amsterdam Airport Schiphol:The new self service airport and the role of electronic identity and our Moderator Homme Heida, Promedia, Member of the Club of Amsterdam Round Table Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Millennium Ecosystem Assessment The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) is an international work program designed to meet the needs of decision makers and the public for scientific information concerning the consequences of ecosystem change for human well-being and options for responding to those changes. The MA was launched by U.N. Secretary- General Kofi Annan in June 2001 and was completed in March 2005. It will help to meet assessment needs of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Convention to Combat Desertification, the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands, and the Convention on Migratory Species, as well as needs of other users in the private sector and civil society. If the MA proves to be useful to its stakeholders, it is anticipated that such integrated assessments will be repeated every 5– 10 years and that ecosystem assessments will be regularly conducted at national or sub-national scales. The four “foundation” reports of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment were released on January 19, 2006. These 500-800 page reports are the products of the four MA working groups and examine Current State and Trends; Scenarios; Policy Responses; and Multi-Scale Assessments. A summary report, containing the Summaries for Decision-makers of the four technical assessment volumes, was also released. The reports contain the detailed scientific assessment (including literature citations) on which the MA synthesis reports are based. Key Messages: Everyone in the world depends on nature and ecosystem services to provide the conditions for a decent, healthy, and secure life. Humans have made unprecedented changes to ecosystems in recent decades to meet growing demands for food, fresh water, fiber, and energy. These changes have helped to improve the lives of billions, but at the same time they weakened nature’s ability to deliver other key services such as purification of air and water, protection from disasters, and the provision of medicines. Among the outstanding problems identified by this assessment are the dire state of many of the world’s fish stocks; the intense vulnerability of the 2 billion people living in dry regions to the loss of ecosystem services, including water supply; and the growing threat to ecosystems from climate change and nutrient pollution. Human activities have taken the planet to the edge of a massive wave of species extinctions, further threatening our own well-being. The loss of services derived from ecosystems is a significant barrier to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals to reduce poverty, hunger, and disease. The pressures on ecosystems will increase globally in coming decades unless human attitudes and actions change. Measures to conserve natural resources are more likely to succeed if local communities are given ownership of them, share the benefits, and are involved in decisions. Even today’s technology and knowledge can reduce considerably the human impact on ecosystems. They are unlikely to be deployed fully, however, until ecosystem services cease to be perceived as free and limitless, and their full value is taken into account. Better protection of natural assets will require coordinated efforts across all sections of governments, businesses, and international institutions. The productivity of ecosystems depends on policy choices on investment, trade, subsidy, taxation, and regulation, among others. […] Options for the Future Possible ScenariosThe Millennium Ecosystem Assessment devised four scenarios to investigate the likely direction of change to natural systems and human well-being over the next 50 years – depending on the priorities adopted by human societies. They were not intended as predictions but rather as “plausible futures” reflecting different approaches to international cooperation and to the care of natural systems. Certain trends relevant to the pressures on natural systems emerge from all scenarios. For example, the global population is projected to rise to 8–10 billion by the middle of the century, with the biggest growth concentrated among poor urban populations of the Middle East, sub-Saharan Africa, and South Asia. The conversion of land to agricultural uses continues to be the main factor influencing change in biological diversity, but in some regions other factors become increasingly important in coming decades – the buildup of nitrogen in rivers and coastal waters, for example, rises sharply in developing countries, especially in Asia, with serious consequences for human health, fisheries, and habitats such as coral reefs. Under the four scenarios, climate change also has a bigger influence on the services provided by natural systems – heightening the risk of species extinctions, for example, increasing the incidence of both drought and floods, and making hydroelectric power less reliable. The scenarios diverge when it comes to the overall state of natural services, with the most serious declines occurring in “futures” where conservation takes low priority and where governments tend to favor their own national or regional security over global cooperation. In the scenarios where natural assets see improvements across entire categories, however, the world has taken action on a scale well beyond anything under way at present – for instance, investments in cleaner technology, proactive conservation policies, education, and measures to reduce the gap between rich and poor. Seeking a better wayAn important part of this assessment is to report on possible solutions to the stresses building up in the planet’s natural infrastructure. Rather than a vain attempt to find a single panacea for all problems, this has been a methodical look at the kind of actions that have been found to work and at some of the underlying barriers that need to be removed before those stresses can be reduced. Three important messages emerge from this exploration. First, protection of nature’s services is unlikely to be a priority so long as they are perceived to be free and limitless by those using them – effective policies will be those that require natural costs to be taken into account for all economic decisions. Second, local communities are far more likely to act in ways that conserve natural resources if they have real influence in the decisions on how resources are used – and if they end up with a fairer share of the benefits. Finally, natural assets will receive far better protection if their importance is recognized in the central decision-making of governments and businesses, rather than leaving policies associated with ecosystems to relatively weak environment departments. […] Summit for the Future blog Summit for the Future bloghttp://summitforthefuture.blogspot.comFebruary 07: Release the power of cultural diversity in international businessJanuary 13: Discovering the 21st Century LeadershipJanuary 05: Asian Leadership in Trade and Associated RisksDecember 04: Strategic Leadership: Achieving Your Preferred FutureDecember 04: Finding Spiritual CourageDecember 04: Thinkers 50December 04: Risk: The Human AdventureDecember 04: Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk Recommended Book Culture and Psychologyby David Matsumoto, Linda Juang David Matsumoto and new co-author Linda Juang show students the importance of culture in explaining and understanding human behavior in this new edition of the market-leading text, CULTURE AND PSYCHOLOGY. Using a cross-cultural framework to evaluate psychology, and reflecting the most current research, the authors engage students by inviting them to understand and raise questions about traditional knowledge and theories, and about the relationship of culture and psychology. Microsoft’s Vision for an Identity Metasystem Microsoft’s Vision for an Identity Metasystemby Microsoft The Identity Metasystem is an interoperable architecture for digital identity that assumes people will have several digital identities based on multiple underlying technologies, implementations, and providers. Using this approach, customers will be able to continue to use their existing identity infrastructure investments, choose the identity technology that works best for them, and more easily migrate from old technologies to new technologies without sacrificing interoperability with others. This paper introduces the principles behind this approach in “The Laws of Identity”; it presents an open and interoperable architecture for building the metasystem, and it describes Microsoft’s plans to participate in the identity metasystem.[…] Benefits of the Identity Metasystem Microsoft recognizes that the identity metasystem will only gain widespread adoption if participants filling all roles in the metasystem stand to benefit from their participation. Fortunately, this is the case. Key benefits of the identity metasystem include: Greater user control and flexibility. Users decide how much information they disclose, to whom, and under what circumstances, thereby enabling them to better protect their privacy. Strong two-way authentication of identity providers and relying parties helps address phishing and other fraud. Identities and accompanying personal information can be securely stored and managed in a variety of ways, including via the online identity provider service of the user’s choice, or on the user’s PC, or in other devices such as secure USB keychain storage devices, smartcards, PDAs, and mobile phones Safer, more comprehensible user experience. The identity metasystem enables a predictable, uniform user experience across multiple identity systems. It extends to and integrates the human user, thereby helping to secure the machine-human channel. Increases the reach of existing identity systems. The identity metasystem does not compete with or replace the identity systems it connects, but rather preserves and builds upon customers’ investments in their existing identity solutions. It affords the opportunity to use existing identities, such as corporate-issued identities and identities issued by online businesses, in new contexts where they could not have been previously employed. Fosters identity system innovation. The identity metasystem should make it easier for newly developed identity technologies and systems to quickly gain widespread use and adoption. Claims transformers can allow new systems to participate even when most participants don’t understand their native claims formats and protocols. Enables adaptation in the face of attacks. New technologies are needed to stay ahead of criminals who attack existing identity technologies. The metasystem enables new identity technologies to be quickly deployed and utilized within it, as they are needed. Creates new market opportunities. The identity metasystem enables interoperable, independent implementations of all metasystem components, meaning that the market opportunities are only limited by innovators’ imaginations. Some parties will choose to go into the identity provider business. Others will provide certification services for identities. Some will implement server software. Others will implement client software. Device manufacturers and mobile telephone players can host identities on their platforms. New business opportunities are created for identity brokers, where trusted intermediaries transform claims from one system to another. New business opportunities abound. A benefit we will all share as the identity metasystem becomes widely deployed is a safer, more trustworthy Internet. The metasystem will supply the widely adopted identity solution that the Net so desperately needs. Participants in the identity metasystem can include anyone or anything that uses, participates in, or relies upon identities in any way, including, but not limited to existing identity systems, corporate identities, government identities, Liberty federations, operating systems, mobile devices, online services, and smartcards. Again, the possibilities are only limited by innovators’ imaginations. […] Microsoft’s Implementation Plans Microsoft plans to build software filling all roles within the identity metasystem (while encouraging others to also build software filling these roles, including on non-Windows platforms). Microsoft is implementing the following software components for participation in the metasystem: “InfoCard” identity selector: “InfoCard” is the code name for a WinFX component that provides the consistent user experience required by the identity metasystem. It is specifically hardened against tampering and spoofing to protect the end user’s digital identities and maintain end-user control. A visual “Information Card” in the client user interface represents each digital identity managed by “InfoCard”. The user selects identities represented by “InfoCards” to authenticate to participating services. “InfoCard” simple self-issued identity provider: “InfoCard” also includes a simple identity provider that enables individual PC users to create and utilize self-issued identities, enabling password-free strong authentication to relying parties. A self-issued identity is one where the user vouches for the information they are providing, much like users do today when registering with a Web site. We are implementing the simple self-issued identity provider to help bootstrap the identity metasystem; we believe self-issued identities will continue to be accepted for certain classes of services. Identities hosted in the simple self-issued identity provider will not include or store sensitive personal information, such as Social Security numbers (or other national ID numbers if these are developed) or credit card numbers. Self-issued identities are not intended to provide the full range of features that a managed identity provider can offer – the market is wide open for companies to provide managed identity solutions to consumers. Active Directory identity provider: This is a managed identity provider integrated with Active Directory. It includes a full set of policy controls to manage the use of Active Directory identities in the identity metasystem. Active Directory Federation Services, a new Active Directory feature shipping in Windows Server 2003 R2, is the first step to integrating identities in Active Directory with the identity metasystem. “Indigo”: The code-named “Indigo” Web services run time provides developers a way to rapidly build and deploy distributed applications, including relying party services in the identity metasystem. The identity metasystem preserves and builds upon customers’ investments in their existing identity solutions, including Active Directory and other identity solutions. Microsoft’s implementation will be fully interoperable via WS-* protocols with other identity selector implementations, with other relying party implementations, and with other identity provider implementations. Non-Microsoft applications will have the same ability to use “InfoCard” to manage their identities as Microsoft applications will. Non-Windows operating systems will be able to be full participants of the identity metasystem we are building in cooperation with the industry. Others can build an entire end-to-end implementation of the metasystem without any Microsoft software, payments to Microsoft, or usage of any Microsoft online identity service. […] Innovation Trip Innovation Trip Innovation Trip in U.S.A. is a program arranged for GLOBAL leaders to help them spark innovation and creativity in their organizations, revolutionizing work culture and reducing attrition. Tour includes workshops and places to explore the US innovation and research industry inside out. Innovation Trip will help leaders effectively execute and tap high-end work. Club of Amsterdam Agenda NEW: Our Season Events are Wednesdays 16:30! 16:00-16:30 Registration16:30-17:45 Part I: Presentations17:45-18:15 Break: Drinks and evtl. live music18:15-19:15 Part II: Discussion Club of Amsterdam Season Events 2005/2006 .Mar 1 the future of Electronic Identity .Mar 29 the future of Governance .Apr 26 the future of Drugs & Pharma .May 31 the future of Reputation Management .Jun 28 the future of Journalism / Ethics in Journalism Club of Amsterdam Open Business Club Club of Amsterdam Open Business ClubAre you interested in networking, sharing visions, ideas about your future, the future of your industry, society, discussing issues, which are relevant for yourself as well as for the ‘global’ community? The future starts now – join our online platform …
Club of Amsterdam pdf version SupporterSyntens You can download the *.ppt presentations: Jan Willem Broekema: ID by Law – Is the European Directive valid in 10 years? Dennis van Ham: Electronic identity: are you (proven) in control? Marcel van Beek: Preview of the self service airport Jan Willem Broekema ID by Law – Is the European Directive valid in 10 years? European privacy is, as far as informational privacy is concerned, protected by the European Data Protection Directive 95/46. Well, in fact it is not. What does the directive do and will it be of any use in 2010 and onwards? Both the private sector with its interest in databases and the public sector, mainly with interest in fighting fraud, have reason to circumvent the directive and the national laws that result from it. Will privacy be of use in 2010 on the internet and should it? What if and what if not? Is there a reason for concern? Do you have any privacy anyway on the internet? Dennis van HamElectronic identity: are you (proven) in control? From a technology perspective identity was not integrated in the design of the Internet. How do you know who and what you are connecting to? In order to solve this problem we have a patchwork of solutions, some of them work and some of them don’t. From a business perspective today’s enterprises are involved in fierce competition. Information has become a critical asset. And so has the protection of this information. To put it briefly: ‘who do you give access as an organization and who do you want to keep out while having a system that is practicable and verifiable?’ Furthermore from a social perspective we see a criminalization of Internet. Attackers (of our electronic identities) have become more professional and pose a real threat to the further growth of Internet (and its economy). And last, but certainly not least, from a regulatory compliance perspective organizations are increasingly required to prove who is having access to what data and how this guaranteed. In his presentation Dennis will talk about identity as a strategic business issue and associated trends in Identity and Access Management (IAM). Marcel van BeekPreview of the self service airport – Vision of the self service airport, – High speed passenger processing, – Integration of security and border control, – The migration to electronic identity, – Passenger profiling and enhancing the identity. 16:30 Welcome by our Moderator Homme Heida, Promedia, Member of the Club of Amsterdam Round Table 16:45 Part I: Jan Willem Broekema, Programme Manager, Open Source Software programme OSOSS, National Co-ordinator Open Standards: ID by Law – Is the European Directive valid in 10 years? Dennis van Ham, Consultant, Information Risk Management, KPMG: Electronic identity: are you (proven) in control? Marcel van Beek, Program Manager, Passenger Process, Amsterdam Airport Schiphol: The new self service airport and the role of electronic identity 17:45 Coffee break with drinks and snacks. 18:15 Part II: Panel with the Speakers and our Moderator Homme Heida The panel is followed by an open discussion. Jan Willem Broekema Programme Manager, Open Source Software programme OSOSS National Co-ordinator Open Standards After finishing his degree at the Mathematics & Science Faculty of the University of Leiden in 1982, drs Jan Willem Broekema has operated primarily in the area of the social effects of technology on people and organisation and vice versa. In 2005 ICTU, the e-government development foundation of Dutch Government, asked Jan Willem Broekema to join the Open Source Software programme OSOSS as programme manager. Since 2006 he also acts as National Co-ordinator Open Standards. In 1982-1983 he worked as scientific researcher for the province of South Holland. In 1984 he started to work for Grote Beer (“Ursa Major”, now a brand of Exact Software B.V.). Grote Beer develops and distributes administrative software for small and medium enterprises. In 1994 he was asked by high tech company Tensor Technology, building remote vehicle tracking systems for (postal, high value and courier) transport services. After a short period in 1996 at market research bureau International Data Corporation he joined CapGemini in 1997. His major accomplishments as senior managing consultant have been creating awareness for the social effects of the introduction of new technology and media, more specifically internet and intranet, on business and the daily life of citizen, employee and consumer. In 2002 he was royally appointed commissioner and vice president for the College bescherming persoonsgegevens, the Dutch data protection authority CBP. Jan Willem Broekema worked in projects in both the private and the public sector. He is author of articles and books (e.g. on telework, on the history of internet, on the influence of intranet and knowledge sharing), requested as guest speaker and as forum participant. He is frequently asked by the media, providing interviews for magazines and national newspapers, radio and television. www.ososs.nl Dennis van Ham Consultant, Information Risk Management, KPMG In 1993, when the renowned Netscape browser arrived (symbolic for the introduction of Internet to the general public), Dennis enrolled as a student at Tilburg University (Katholieke Universiteit Brabant). At the time this particular university was well-known for its innovative library and student facilities. Consequently, while taking up classes Information Management (Bestuurlijke Informatiekunde), Dennis became fascinated with the potential of Internet. Inspired by the famed cartoon ‘on the Internet nobody knows you’re a dog’ (1993, The New Yorker) he graduated with a thesis emphasizing the need for authentication and non-repudiation to assure trustworthy E-commerce. This thesis was written while Dennis was already working for KPMG. Then in 2000 he joined start-up company Escador / Idea Factory where he worked as a consultant and innovation analyst (e.g. developing future E-commerce scenarios for clients). His next step implied working in a more technical IT-environment, PinkRoccade, and a former customer of Dennis. As a product manager he was responsible for the development of a new IT-security service where he combined existing datacenter capabilities with emerging technologies in the field of logical access control. After four years at PinkRoccade, Dennis is as of December 1st 2005 back at KPMG where he works as a consultant in the Information Risk Management practice. Dennis is 30 years of age, lives in Amsterdam and enjoys reading, traveling and playing golf. www.kpmg.nl/irm Marcel van Beek Program Manager, Passenger Process, Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Marcel van Beek is responsible for the development of an automated passenger proces (using IT-technologies such as data protection, biometrics, etc.) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol for almost seven years now. The first three years as a consultant and since 2002 as an employee of Schiphol airport. In July 1999 he started with the complete design of an automated border control for Schiphol. January 2000 he finished the design and became responsible for the realisation of eight of these installation at Schiphol Airport. Automated border control was launched in October 2001 as a feature of the Privium frequent flyer program. From that moment Marcel went on with newer developments on identification and verification of airport users such as staff. One of his projects was the development of multi-purpose ID-cards for 72.000 staff members working at the airport, based on the newest technologies. These new ID-cards, including iris-patterns for biometric verification, are protected with high secured data storage and distribution. This to avoid duplication of ID-cards or identity fraud. He is also involved in setting up pilot- and evaluation-projects using the latest technology biometric passports, which will be launched in some EU-countries at the end of 2006. Since December 2004 he is responsible for the program “Redesign Passenger Proces”, the vision and strategy for a “self service airport”, implemented between 2010 and 2015. Marcel started working in ’89 for Daimler-benz industrial automation for more then 8 years. He pursued his career as an IT-consultant for CMG for more then 4 years and is now for more then 3 years working as employee of Schiphol airport. www.schiphol.nl/privium Homme Heida Promedia Member of the Club of Amsterdam Round Table Homme Heida is a generalist by heart, who worked as a journalist for several mass media like Algemeen Dagblad, Tros Aktua and publishing group VNU. After ten years he started his own bureau Promedia: company journalism, which slowly changed into business journalism. Now back again with larger media, he is editor-in-chief of Global Dutch, a magazine for Dutch entrepreneurs, who are active in foreign countries. Homme Heida has a continuing interest in a more philosophical approach of ‘being there’. His views on the future are very much based on new technologies. “Humans change only slowly by evolution. Technology will speed it up”, he argues. His credo is: ‘living body and soul’, which means to him a sportive challenge as well as an intellectual one. From the Amsterdam marathon till the Club of Amsterdam. www.promedia.nl
Content Risk, Return and ResponsibilityClub of Amsterdam blog News about the future of Corporate Governance News about the Future Next Event slowLab Summit for the Future blog Recommended Book Future face of knowledge transferThe Eden Project AgendaClub of Amsterdam Open Business Club Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Risk, Return and Responsibility Risk, Return and ResponsibilityAssociation of British Insurersby Roger Cowe SUMMARY Corporate responsibility has advanced rapidly since the mid-1990s, and especially since the ABI published guidelines on corporate disclosure in 2001, designed to help institutional investors monitor corporate performance. But in general, financial markets have been slow to integrate the concepts into their assessments of risk and returns. Companies have responded to the guidelines by beginning to publish useful information for investors, but more is needed from smaller public companies and more focus is required on what is material to each company, rather than general issues. Early attempts to gauge the “business case” for corporate responsibility focused on revenue and cost benefits. But there is now greater awareness of the importance of risk as well as returns, including risk to reputation. Social, cultural, demographic and technological changes mean that social and environmental risks are now more significant than in the past and more volatile. Growing awareness of the importance of corporate responsibility is a global trend, with significant developments in many markets, including Australia, South Africa and the US. The European Union has taken a close interest and created a Forum to advise on necessary action. Three important trends are beginning to make it easier for investors to address these issues: – attention to corporate responsibility has spread from a relatively small group of highly-exposed companies through the business world. – it has begun to penetrate into the core of businesses rather than being concerned with relatively peripheral issues – companies have begun to identify issues which are specific to themselves and their sectors An emerging set of standards is beginning to build a general approach to reporting on corporate responsibility, but specific impacts are likely to be most important for investors. These will be addressed in the UK in a new Operating and Financial Review (OFR). UK pension funds have been encouraged to address social, ethical and environmental (SEE) issues since the amendment to the Pensions Act came into force in 2000, but have been slow to translate statements of principle into specific mandates for investment managers. A confluence of corporate governance and socially responsible investing (SRI) has stimulated activity in financial markets. As well as developing analytical skills, investment managers are also collaborating in specific areas, notably climate change. Research has shown that incorporating social responsibility can reduce portfolio volatility and increase returns. The evidence is not conclusive, but rejects the view that screening will damage the risk/return performance by narrowing the available investment universe. SRI is seen increasingly as an investment style, but one which can add value to other styles such as value or growth. Most SRI activity “engages” with companies on their corporate responsibility, rather than screening for companies which meet or fail specific criteria. Evidence suggests that this kind of approach, which integrates analysis of social and financial performance, can yield the best results for equity portfolios. These results also apply to bonds and credit ratings. So far as underlying corporate performance is concerned, risk aspects of corporate responsibility are as important as bottom line impacts. Companies need to incorporate these matters into strategic risk management, because they can have important implications for drivers such as brand value, market acceptability, human capital and new fields such as biotechnology or nanotechnology. Many companies are not yet managing these systemic risks adequately, posing threats to shareholder value which investors need to take into account. Many studies have found direct financial benefits for companies embracing corporate responsibility. Although the evidence is not conclusive, it strongly suggests benefits in areas such as corporate reputation, consumer acceptance, employee loyalty and environmental management. The benefits are not uniform across all companies or sectors, which makes it more important for investors and financial analysts to understand which companies are most affected and which are most effective at managing corporate responsibility.You can download the full report as a *.pdf : click here CoreRatings’ weightings of the four risk areas Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk May 3-5 Knowledge Stream:Corporate GovernanceCorporate Governance & Political and Economical RiskGood governance continues to gain prominence in public debate but it is not clear how this can be provided on a global scale or what institutions are necessary for it to emerge. Global companies balance risks that are economical & political, research-based, market-oriented, organizational and technical. What does this mean for the board of directors – in terms of board composition, the duties of its members, their level of commitment and remuneration? And in terms of capacity for ongoing self-transformation? What does this mean for the sustainable creation of value – for the company, its stakeholders, clients and society at large? The keynote speakers areDavid Gutmann, Chairman, Praxis International, Advisers in LeadershipThey Shoot Horses, Don’t They?Pierre Delsaux, acting Director, DG Internal Market, EU Commission, Free movement of Capital, Company Law and Corporate GovernanceElisabet Sahtouris, Evolution Biologist, Futurist, Living Systems DesignThe Biology of Business: Key to a Sustainable FutureJaap Winter, Partner, De Brauw Blackstone WestbroekThe power of uncertainty: non-mandatory corporate governance rules And the catalysts: Neville Hobson, Accredited Communication Practitioner, ABC [Trend Watcher], Geoffrey Klempner, Philosophy for Business [Philosopher] and Clare Huffington, Director, Tavistock Consultancy Service [Psychologist] Moderated by Erika Stern, Utrecht School of Governance Club of Amsterdam blog Club of Amsterdam blog January 04: How now wit! Whither wander you?January 04: Review: The Future of Software ArchitectureJanuary 02: the future of Futurist ToolsDecember 02: Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk News about the future of Corporate Governance Doing BusinessThe Doing Business database provides objective measures of business regulations and their enforcement. The Doing Business indicators are comparable across 155 economies. They indicate the regulatory costs of business and can be used to analyze specific regulations that enhance or constrain investment, productivity and growth. CG Watch 2005In late 2005, ACGA and CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets released “CG Watch 2005”, our third joint annual survey of corporate governance in Asia (and the sixth that CLSA has carried out). Titled “The Holy Grail”, the report assesses the quality of corporate governance in 10 Asian markets and provides aggregate data from 496 listed companies. Major results include:– Singapore remains in first place at 70%, but is now only fractionally ahead of Hong Kong at 69%. Singapore’s score fell five percentage points this year.– India and Malaysia remain in third and fourth place, respectively, at 61% and 56%.– Taiwan’s ranking has moved up from sixth to fifth – at 52%.– Korea has slipped below Taiwan and shares sixth place with Thailand – at 50%. While the scores for both Korea and Thailand fell this year, Korea’s score fell the most.– The last three countries in the survey are, once again, the Philippines (46%), China (44%) and Indonesia (37%). China continues to score slightly lower than the Philippines on account of its generally weaker body of CG laws and rules and, in particular, its accounting and auditing standards. But we think that their relative rankings will change over the next few years. News about the future Transgenic Treesby Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) “The first genetically modified trees were produced in 1987, and by 1998 there had been at least 116 confirmed GM tree trials around the world.28 Organisations such as Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth, which have long expressed their fears about GMOs in agriculture, have been joined in their campaigns against ‘Frankentrees’ by groups like the Native Forest Network, which claims that ‘native forests … are threatened worldwide by genetically engineered tree plantations.’ But are they?There are a variety of reasons why biotechnologists are attempting to develop genetically modified trees. Around a third of a plant’s energy supply is used in reproduction, and researchers hope that the introduction of sterility into transgenic – genetically modified – trees might help to improve growth rates. Biotechnologists are also looking for genes that code for the enzyme that breaks down lignin. Up to a third of a tree’s dry weight is lignin, which must be removed at considerable cost when pulpwood is turned into paper. Plantations of low-lignin trees could help reduce pulping costs. It is claimed that this would also be good for the environment, as lignin removal is an environmentally hazardous process. The possibility of inserting herbicide-resistant genes into trees is also attracting considerable attention. There is the possibility, too, that genes could be inserted into trees to endow them with resistance to insect pests. This means that trees would manufacture their own insecticide, which would be good both for the bottom line and for the environment. TV to dominate future home entertainment spendingby Informa Telecoms & Media New research shows that the world’s households each spend an average of $182.4 on home entertainment. This is set to rise to $225 by 2010, and means there will be an average increase of 4.7% for every year since 2000. Global average annual spend by home entertainment category ($) 2000 2005 2010 Music 33.5 29.4 33.1 TV 61.8 90.1 119.0 Game 13.4 20.8 29.8 Film 33.9 42.0 43.2 Total 142.6 182.4 225.1 Next Event: Wednesday, January 25, 16:30-19:15 the future of Futurist Tools how to improve your strategy and planning processes Wednesday, January 25, 2006Registration: 16:00-16:30, Conference: 16:30-19:15Where: PricewaterhouseCoopers, De Entree 201, 1101 HG Amsterdam Zuidoost, [next to the football stadium Arena] WithMichael Jackson, Chairman, Shaping Tomorrow:Business Futures in a Digital Age Patrick Crehan, CEO and Founder, Crehan, Kusano & Associates, Director, Club of Amsterdam:The Death of A Strategist George Pór, Founder, CommunityIntelligence Ltd.:The New Wave of Futuring: Co-Sensing –> Co-Presencing –> Co-Creating and our Moderator Bert van Lamoen, Dean, EBBS International Business School slowLab slowLabslowLab is a not-for-profit organization based in New York City and with activities worldwide. The mission of the organization is to promote ‘slowness’ as a positive catalyst of individual, socio-cultural and environmental well-being, engaging the innate creative capacities of individuals and leveraging the collaborative potential of communities to spur networks of cooperation that incite new thinking and approaches. To achieve this, slowLab has initiated and is growing a network of creative, civic-minded individuals from all areas the general public to exchange ideas and resources, share knowledge and cooperatively develop projects that positively impact the lives of individuals, the communities they participate in and the planet that we share. projects recommended by slowLab: Architecture of Subtraction was the thesis of architect Karmen Franinovic at Interaction Design Institute Ivrea. Franinovic developed a collection of projects to explore ways that technologically-enhanced interaction between humans and environment can impact our perception of place and social interaction in cities, with the goal of engendering “experiences of subtraction” in the midst of the fast-moving urban flow. The Recycled Soundscape project (shown at left) was designed as a system through which to explore the auditory aspects of experience in the city, while offering relief through sound and relational design. The project, subtitled ‘Sonic Relaxation and Play in the City,’ consists of ‘a set of kinetic, human-scale interfaces’ which seek to facilitate reflective activity in the public sphere. Engaged in diversions and concentrations of attention within the sonic context of a specific location, people are invited to augment, modify and perform acoustic landscapes by playing with surrounding sounds, tuning the composition of a sonic environment, and listening to/recording noises (human, natural, machine, electronic) that are otherwise difficult to take notice of. The result is ‘an interactive system for public orchestration of an urban sound ecology’ where anyone can transform the existing sonic characteristics of a place over time, recomposing its ‘evolving memory in sound’. The result of a 2-day slow design charrette at the Cranbrook Academy of Art, 3D graduate students Mark Moskovitz, Jada Schumacher and Fei Zha worked together to create Slow Water, an exploration of slow design at the dinner table. The students examined the perceived value of water to humanity and how in cultures that have a surplus, there is often an instant gratification and lack of thought given to water consumption. They created a product that allowed for a build-up in anticipation rather than a sense of entitlement as it relates to drinking water. This table water system delivers water at a speed determined by the liveliness and activity at the table itself. When conversation and movement flow, so does the water, as the vibrations are translated from the table to the “fountain.” The project presents a new program for the ‘on/off’ switch while also enabling, through its sculptural form, a pause for contemplation of one of the most vital elements in life. The exquisitely slow dj project Scratch’nSniff “mixes and bakes” ambient soundscapes, while at the same time mixing and baking delicious cookies for the people who come to hear them. Scratch ‘n Sniff is two women: Serena Jost of Switzerland and German native Cassis Birgit Staudt, both now living in New York. Unlike most dj’s, these two have the utmost respect for the source of intellectual property -a noble model for the dj crowd and for the digital realm in general! The dj duo fosters relationships with a small group of innovative composers and solely combines their source material with public domain sounds from nature, the city, or real-time sonic material in the immediate vicinity of their set. The result is a lovely ambient mix that, along with the smell of fresh-baked cookies, creates an inviting atmosphere of comfort and slow-ness. Summit for the Future blog Summit for the Future bloghttp://summitforthefuture.blogspot.comJanuary 05: Asian Leadership in Trade and Associated RisksDecember 04: Strategic Leadership: Achieving Your Preferred FutureDecember 04: Finding Spiritual CourageDecember 04: Thinkers 50December 04: Risk: The Human AdventureDecember 04: Summit for the Future 2006 on Risk Recommended Book The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain Worldby Peter Schwartz “Artful scenario spinning is a form of convergent thinking about divergent futures. It ensures that you are not always right about the future but-better-that you are almost never wrong about the future. The technology is powerful, simple, and enjoyable, and so is Schwartz’s book.” -Stewart Brand What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life-bottom-line numbers, for instance-but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories-scenarios-and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles. In The Art of the Long View, now for the first time in paperback and with the addition of an all-new User’s Guide, Peter Schwartz outlines the “scenaric” approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business. Schwartz describes the new techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world’s leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG&E, and the International Stock Exchange. Future face of knowledge transfer INNOVATION, RESEARCHFuture face of knowledge transferSource: ProTon Europe Achieving the EU’s Lisbon goals of becoming the world’s knowledge powerhouse means, among other things, being able to transfer know-how from its birthplace in Europe’s labs and universities to where it can be put to good use in industry. Knowledge transfer offices (KTO) have traditionally served this purpose well, but as delegates at a recent conference learned, universities are looking at faster, more pervasive ways to deliver their ‘knowledge’ product to market. Nicolaus Copernicus, Johannes Kepler, Isaac Newton, Marie Curie and in more recent times the internet Godfather Tim Berners-Lee are names synonymous with scientific greatness. European inventions put steam into the industrial revolution and drive some of the core systems in the 21st century’s own industrial revolution – the telecommunications boom. While displaying guts and determination in the laboratory, Europeans’ stomach for entrepreneurship and innovation – converting research to products and services – is not as strong as their counterparts in the USA and some other knowledge-creating regions of the world. Why is this so? Delegates at the ProTon Europe 3rd Annual Conference in Berlin last month heard from a range of experts that Europe has reason to be optimistic, but also a little pessimistic about its innovation system’s performance as global competition for finance ‘hots up’. Entrepreneurs especially bemoan the funding gap – unflatteringly called “Death Valley” – they face in the early stages of growing a tech-based company in Europe. Venture capitalists who might fill this gap site the poor and sometimes negative returns on such investments as reason to steer clear of riskier start-ups. Knowledge transfer specialists, working in universities, incubators and tech centres, speak of the difficulty in switching researchers’ mindsets from ‘investigator’ to ‘entrepreneur’ mode – learning how to develop the business end of the innovation and to handle the intellectual property (IP) aspects, in particular. Metal to goldAccording to ProTon Europe, knowledge transfer in Europe increasingly requires a means of integrating intellectual property management into the scientific and business skills mix. Delegates at the Berlin event learned of the importance of introducing senior management into start-ups at the right time to help them tune their business and investment plan in line with technological development plans. In the past decade or so, knowledge transfer offices have sprung up across Europe to provide university spin-offs with a range of services, from basic financial and IP advice through to full-service incubation and mentoring to budding entrepreneurs. But the idea of a physical ‘office’ where a bright young chemist would pitch her method for converting base metal to gold is not, it appears, how Europe will become the world’s knowledge fortress. John Latham who heads Coventry University Enterprise (CUE) told delegates that Coventry University (UK) has turned the KTO concept on its head. It set up a KTO because it was what universities were doing a decade ago. But times are a changing, he suggested. “Now, it’s not somewhere people go,” he said, “but something more pervasive.” Knowledge transfer in Coventry is now a function of the way people think. Taking the MIT model in the USA, which uses industry liaison people to scout and develop ideas, as inspiration, CUE is proactive in seeking out new opportunities to develop the university’s know-how. And the approach has proven very successful. Although wholly owned by the university, CUE is an economic player in its own right, with around €15 million per annum turnover and a staff of 125 and growing. Latham said knowledge transfers needs to be built into the core curriculum, with professors encouraged to act as external consultants and not bound by internal red tape. This boosts their real-world skills as well as the university’s credentials and reach in the community. KTOs of the future, he opined, should be pervasive not cordoned off in a musty room – and they must be underpinned by an “ours not mine” attitude. They should have authority to act, be given appropriate targets and be prepared to engage with the community. And if seen as an “investment not a cost”, the returns to the university – and, indeed, the KTO itself – should be sustainable, he suggested. The Eden Project The Eden Project What’s Eden all about?‘To promote the understanding and responsible management of the vital relationship between plants, people and resources leading to a sustainable future for all’. The Eden Project was established as one of the landmark Millennium projects in the UK to mark the year 2000 and is structured as an educational charitable trust. “The Trust’s interests lie in explaining how the natural world works seen through the lens of plants, exploring how people might best organise themselves in the face of this knowledge and thereby reach an understanding of what sustainability might mean and, through best practice of these principles, create an organisation that is sustainable to act as a model for others.” (Tim Smit, CEO). The Eden Project communicates its story in a ‘Living Theatre of Plants and People’ based in a large crater in which nestle two vast greenhouses (Biomes). These house plants, crops and landscapes from the humid tropics and warm temperate regions and act as a backdrop to the temperate landscape, which we call the Outdoor Biome. Eden uses exhibitions, art, storytelling, workshops, lectures and events to put messages across to both the public and formal education groups. The underlying concept presents to the widest possible public audience the need for environmental care through a celebration of what nature gives to us. Eden is demonstrating behaviour change on site, holding a mirror to our values and civilisation and encouraging respect for the things that sustain us. The Eden Trust is the registered charity that owns the Eden Project. Money raised by the project is used to further its charitable aims. As a registered charitable trust we qualify for Gift Aid, where the government gives us 28p for every pound donated to us. Eden is not for sale, it belongs to everyone. The Trust is unique in that it has deliberately set out to operate in the commercial arena. This is because we believe that only by demonstrating that ethical commerce is viable that we can affect real change in the global businesses that we would like to influence. We started locally with more than 200 suppliers and in our first year of trading put around £150 million of additional revenue into the local economy and have laid the foundations for concerted strategic action among our suppliers to deliver social and environmental benefits such as Waste Neutral. Club of Amsterdam Agenda NEW: Our Season Events are Wednesdays 16:30! 16:00-16:30 Registration16:30-17:45 Part I: Presentations17:45-18:15 Break: Drinks and evtl. live music18:15-19:15 Part II: Discussion Club of Amsterdam Season Events 2005/2006 .Jan 25 the future of Futurist Tools .Mar 1 the future of Electronic Identity .Mar 29 the future of Governance .Apr 26 the future of Drugs & Pharma .May 31 the future of Reputation Management .Jun 28 the future of Journalism / Ethics in Journalism Club of Amsterdam Open Business Club Club of Amsterdam Open Business ClubAre you interested in networking, sharing visions, ideas about your future, the future of your industry, society, discussing issues, which are relevant for yourself as well as for the ‘global’ community? The future starts now – join our online platform …
Increasing complexity, uncertainty and disruptive change is provoking a surge of interest in longer-term thinking, better tools and early and broader warning systems.
The discussion after the speakers covered a wide scope of views. The heart of the discussion wasn’t really about software architecture, but more along the lines of people’s and society’s relationship with business.
On november 30th the Club of Amsterdam organized its ‘Future of Software Architecture’ conference.