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the future of European Democracy, June 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Video Credits: Marc Schaaps Film & TV, Andreas van Engelen, Sound Design Hardy F. Schloer, Owner, Schloer Consulting Group Democracy is dead, as we know it! https://youtu.be/471KIe-IbzY As the beauty is in the eye of the beholder democracy has many possible definitions. One may say it was a result of a process of reconciliation between the aristocratic ruling class and its subjects from the beginning of the industrial revolution. Clearly, recognizing the rights of people’s decision making instead of oppressing them proved to be a more efficient tool of governance. To keep the safety of the mass production at the industries’ factories and the necessity of a consistent environment for “the free flow of goods”, monetary stability and exchange ability became more important than imposing the direct power of the ruling class. However, democracy has not only failed to prevent big wars and general justice it has become insufficient as a rule of principle at the age of information as systems became rather complicated for having a deep knowledge in many different fields. The vote for the late 300 page EU constitution draft was too much a demanding task to go through, let alone studying and understanding the details of the text. The same applies to numerous other issues awaiting ruling from our democracies. The technical difficulty of getting people’s attention and asking them to focus on many issues than one can handle at a life time while the world is already an increasingly challenging place for earning one’s living and even survival, is it reasonable to expect a fair judgement from the majority to make the best decisions for the future? Are European Democracies fit for dealing with the challenges ahead? Do we need new tools? New decision making processes? Or do we need to radically renew our approach? Concept by Iclal Akcay The speakers and topics are: Ben Crum, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam The essence of democracy and the challenge of internationalization The present uprisings in the Arab world serve to remind us how precious democratic government is. At the same time, democracy is always fragile because it is build upon the recognition of our fallibility and the existence of reasonable disagreement in society. Also, democracy is inherently open-ended. One of the major present challenges for European democracy is the internationalisation of politics. This challenge requires us to rethink democracy, both with respect to international institutions and with respect to the interaction between national and international democracy. Maurice de Hond, Dutch pollster and entrepreneur Heading for the perfect storm The European version of democracy designed in the 19th century was working reasonably well the second half of the last century. But problems are mounting. The much better educated population has infinite sources of information and can also be the sources of information.. But the political system stays a static top downs construction without any trust in the population. The forming of the EU and the way it is governed means an even more static construction in an era where you need flexibility and speed of action. The need for large budget reductions combined with a lot of money spent for the debt of countries like Greece will create an optimal situation for anti-establishment and anti-EU parties to win national elections. And the moment one of those parties (think of Marine Le Pen) rises to power this can have big consequences for the way the EU operates and will mean an extra stimulus for a domino effect. This will mean the end of democracy as we know it. Hardy F. Schloer, Owner, Schloer Consulting Group Democracy is dead, as we know it! Democracy served only as an evolutionary transition between the old systems of Healers, Druids, Kings and Emperors that ruled by charisma and a single voice, to become a temporary solution, whereby a slim majority of uninformed people impose their subjective rules of dogma and mostly unsafe preference onto a large minority; equally subjective in their judgments. The future cannot be democracy, if this planet should survive, but a form of scientific and evidence based governing methods focused by very large consensus on what really matters in the peaceful survival of mankind. 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Kwela Sabine Hermanns Part I: Ben Crum, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam The essence of democracy and the challenge of internationalization Maurice de Hond, Dutch pollster and entrepreneur Heading for the perfect storm Hardy F. Schloer, Owner, Schloer Consulting Group Democracy is dead, as we know it! 20:00 – 20:30 Break with snacks & drinks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Ben Crum Associate Professor, Department of Political Science. Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Ben Crum is Associate Professor in Political Theory at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. He studied in Amsterdam, London and Berlin, and holds a PhD from the European University Institute, Florence. Before joining the Vrije Universiteit he worked at the Centre for European Policy Studies in Brussels, the Netherlands Scientific Council for Government Policy in The Hague, and policy consultancy firm Research voor Beleid in Leiden. In his academic work, Crum examines how the internationalization of politics challenges established political theoretical insights. Over the last decade, his research has focused on the issues of democracy and constitutionalisation in the European Union. He has published on these topics in newspapers, advisory reports and major international political science journals. This autumn, his monograph Learning from the EU Constitutional Treaty will be published by Routledge. www.bencrum.nl Maurice de Hond Dutch pollster and entrepreneur De Hond studied social geography at the University of Amsterdam, obtaining a degree in 1971. He worked for the university, as assistant with the Sociaal Geografisch Instituut, but became a project leader for Interview-NSS in 1973. He founded Cebeon with Hedy d’Ancona in 1975, a market research firm targeting the non-profit sector, which he left in 1980 to become a director at Interview-NSS, later a commissioner until 1999. Starting in the mid-80s, De Hond started doing consultancy work for various companies, including Vendex, ITT and Wegener. In 1998, he was one of the founders of Newconomy. He now polls through his own company, and internet site Peil.nl. www.mauricedehond.nl www.peil.nl Hardy F. Schloer Owner, Schloer Consulting Group Hardy F. Schloer is a strong team builder, entrepreneur, accomplished scientist and visionary theoretical thinker with extensive people and public relation skills. For three decades now Schloer has built successful global technology solutions and practical problem-solving infrastructures for clients and partners in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Schloer has extensive hands-on experience in the design and the conceptualization of successful solutions and complex technology architectures on global scale. His strong ability to view problems through their complex layers of context has enabled him to become a highly effective analyst and ‘out-of-the-box’ thinking problem solver. Schloer is founder and former CEO of RavenPack AG in Germany and RavenPack International in Spain, a world leader in computational linguistics and real-time financial applications. Schloer is also the inventor of numerous Information and Communication Technology patents and of the Quantum Relation Theory, a breakthrough concept in Artificial Intelligence. The Quantum Relation Theory has been academically reviewed and discussed. In 2001 Schloer received the award of “One of 25 Best Technologies of the Future” from NetInvestor in Germany for the invention of his Quantum Relation-based technology platform, ‘RavenSpace’. Schloer made also important intellectual contributions to the field of healthcare with his groundbreaking concept ‘AlphaMedic’, a global approach to modern healthcare that envisions globally standardized, centralized and AI managed patients record keeping, combined with computer assisted real-time medical diagnostics and automated clinical trials in a global 24/7 processing approach. Schloer’s AlphaMedic concept to healthcare problems has received a European Grant and has been published and discussed in the press and online healthcare publications Schloer has developed a strong transdisciplinary and intercultural approach to problem-solving consultancy that is now leading in its field. He is an internationally acclaimed speaker and is frequently invited to international conferences, public discussion panels and other global Think Tank events. http://schloerconsulting.com Kwela Sabine Hermanns Kwela is a highly focussed, process-oriented entrepreneur and innovation specialist with many years of business experience in education, research, training and project management in the creative industries. She is bi-lingual in English and German, owns a Masters degree in New Media Studies and trained in small business innovation at Copenhagen Business School. She coaches and trains people and organisations in goal implementation and dynamic change management techniques. ”My own goal is to support inter-disciplinary innovation towards value based and surprising sustainable futures. I combine a highly analytical and strategic mind with a passion for team work, people and relationship buidling.” www.portaltoyourdreams.com Impressions Credits: John Grüter, photos
the future of the Singularity, May 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Presentations Henny van der Pluijm, Expert author/editor/publisher on technology and venture capital, Venturemedia.nl Human rights for machines Arjen Kamphuis, Co-founder, CTO, Gendo The Singularity – Fantasy, threat or opportunity? According to the Singularity Institute, (technological) singularity is the technological creation of smarter-than-human intelligence. So simple the definition may look like, it signals the end of 5 million year human evolution with the emergence of super intelligence as a result of exponential technological development. Although different technologies are also suggested, artificial intelligence and brain interfaces are thought to be the likely ones that would first match the level of acceleration necessary to provide such an enormous change. With approximately 100 billion neurons, human brain easily surpasses today’s computer forces. However, this does not change the fact that human brain has only tripled its capacity during the entire evolution while the computing benchmarks increase exponentially, doubling every one or two years. This information hypothetically provides us necessary variables to create a timetable for closing the distance of capacity between the human brain and the foreseen technologies. The arrival to such a threshold will create a loop, or an explosion like the big bang some would say (Ray Kurzweil), which, in turn, will make it possible for instance artificial intelligence to improve its own source code, automatically capsizing the superiority of human intelligence as we have known. Concept by Iclal Akcay The speakers and topics are: Frank Theys, philosopher, filmmaker and visual artist Changed attitudes on ‘human enhancement’ since the turn of the millennium. Around the turn of the millennium economic changes and concrete technological breakthroughs within the converging technologies (nano, bio, information and cognitive sciences – NBIC) induced a changed attitude on the prospect of improving the human body among the scientific, the political as well as the cultural communities in the West . Together with the replacement of the term ‘transhumanism’ by the more politicaly neutral ‘human enhancement’, the perception moved from fringe sciences to the mainstream scientific and political agenda and from scienfiction to the mainstream, psychological novel. Yuri van Geest, Head of Emerging Technologies, THNK, the Amsterdam School of Creative Leadership. Singularity – The Biggest Tech Wave is Here Which emerging technologies can be identified in the short and long term that will significantly impact you, your organization and the world at large? What are the social, cultural, ethical, economic, political and legal questions and implications of biotechnology, neurotechnology, artificial intelligence, robotics, brain computer interfaces, internet as well as new energy systems and its convergence? Henny van der Pluijm, Expert author/editor/publisher on technology and venture capital, Venturemedia.nl Human rights for machines With machine intelligence developing at a rapid pace in the near future, the day will soon come when machines will be uncontrollable and their behavior incomprehensible. Within a human generation, the biggest bottleneck in their performance will be the lack of autonomy to function without human oversight. Providing machines with rights and duties will be necessary to repair the balance. This way machines will still be working for us instead of we working for them. Arjen Kamphuis, Co-founder, CTO, Gendo The Singularity – Fantasy, threat or opportunity? The technological singularity is an interesting concept from 1993 by mathematician Venor Vinge. Vinge describes the consequences of smarter-than-human systems (computers, improved humans or symbiotic human-machine systems) as leading to an infinite acceleration of intelligence-improvement. It goes like this: “what would a smarter-than-human artificial intelligence do? It might play the stockmarket or be the worlds greatest artist, politician or general. But it might also become the worlds smartest computer-science researcher working on improving artificial intelligence, making a better version of itself. Rinse and repeat and interesting stuff starts to happen. Computer systems are doubling a performance every 18 months under the limited guidance of static human intelligence. With self improvement they could perhaps double in a much, much shorter time-spans. Think 17 minutes. Or less. The implications of this idea are profound. It has the potential to make most of our problems today irrelevant (material scarcity and mortality might turn out to be easily solvable problems). It may also destroy our entire solar system. But just as with nuclear fusion there is also the possibility that it won’t happen. We must guard against passivity among smart people who stop solving problems while they are waiting for ‘the rapture of the nerds’. 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Peter van Gorsel, Educational Business Developer, University of Amsterdam / UvA/HvA Part I: Frank Theys, philosopher, filmmaker and visual artist Changed attitudes on ‘human enhancement’ since the turn of the millennium. Yuri van Geest, Head of Emerging Technologies, THNK, the Amsterdam School of Creative Leadership. Singularity – The Biggest Tech Wave is Here Henny van der Pluijm, Expert author/editor/publisher on technology and venture capital, Venturemedia.nl Human rights for machines Arjen Kamphuis, Co-founder, CTO, Gendo The Singularity – Fantasy, threat or opportunity? 20:00 – 20:30 Break with snacks & drinks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Frank Theys Philosopher, filmmaker and visual artist Frank Theys (° 1963, Brussels) is a philosopher, filmmaker and visual artist. He lives and works in Brussels and Amsterdam. His art and film work received several international awards and belong to the collections of a.o. MOMA (New York), SMAK (Ghent), Centre National de la Cinématographie (Paris) and the Museum for the Moving Image (New York). His documentary trilogy Technocalyps on transhumanism generated many debates within the cultural as well as the academic and scientific world. Frank Theys has taught at the Higher St-Lukas Film School (Brussels) and has been a visiting teacher and lecturer at universities, film and art schools world wide. He currently works as a freelance filmmaker and as a researcher associated with the KUL (Louvain) and the VUB (Brussels). He is also faculty member of the Speaker’s Academy. www.frank-theys.net www.technocalyps.com Yuri van Geest Head of Emerging Technologies, THNK, the Amsterdam School of Creative Leadership. Professional innovator, entrepreneur, galactic thinker and blogger. Right now working on the worlds’ first mobile DNA testing services (bionanochips). Background in online, mobile and Singularity (the latter since 5 years now). Alumnus of the Singularity University driven by Ray Kurzweil, Larry Page, Peter Diamandis, NASA and Google. Co-organizer of THNK, the Dutch educational institute for creative leadership of which Singularity is a fundamental building block. Co-Founder of Mobile Monday Amsterdam and TEDx Amsterdam. Founder of Vodafone Mobile Clicks, the largest mobile internet startup competition in the world. www.thnk.org Henny van der Pluijm Expert author/editor/publisher on technology and venture capital, Venturemedia.nl Henny van der Pluijm is an author and analist with more than 20 years experience as Technology Trendwatcher. Besides producing articles and analyses about technology trends for platforms like AME Research and Automatisering Gids, he is a leading analist of trends in venture capital investing. Henny has thousands of hours of practical experience with software development. www.venturemedia.nl Arjen Kamphuis Co-founder, CTO, Gendo Arjen is co-founder and Chief Technology Officer of Gendo. He studied Science & Policy at Utrecht University and worked for IBM and Twynstra Gudde as IT-architect, trainer and IT-strategy advisor. Since late 2001 Arjen has been self-employed, advising clients on the strategic impact of new technological developments. He is a certified EDP auditor and information security specialist. As a much sought-after international speaker on technology policy issues he gives over 100 keynote talks every year. Since 2002 he has been involved in formulating public IT-policy in the area of open standards and opensource for the government and public sector. Arjen advises senior managers and administrators of companies and public institutions, members of parliament and the Dutch Cabinet about the opportunities offered by open standards and opensource software for the European knowledge economy and society as a whole. Besides information technology Arjen also works on scenarioplanning and strategic assesments of emerging technologies sush as bio- and nanotechnology. With clients he investigates the social, economic and geo-political impact of science and technology. Arjen’s collumns and article’s can be found on his Gendo blog. Dutch: www.gendo.nl/blog/arjen English: www.gendo.nl/blogs/arjen-int Peter C. van Gorsel Educational Business Developer, University of Amsterdam / UvA/HvA Peter van Gorsel spent many years in publishing before becoming Director of the Institute for Media and Information Management at the Hogeschool van Amsterdam. Since October 2010 he started his new assignment as Educational Business Developer, University of Amsterdam / UvA/HvA. www.uva.nl Impressions
the future of the Human Mind, April 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Videos Credits: Andreas van Engelen, Sound Design Maurizio Zollo, Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility, Bocconi University; Program Director, Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions Presentations Luc Sala Personality types and your brain Humberto Schwab, Philosopher Human mind is more body – page 1 Human mind is more body – page 2 Maurizio Zollo, Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility, Bocconi University; Program Director, Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions Strategic management and neuro-sciences Ever since humans became aware of their mind, they have been questioning its origin. Is the mind part of the physical body, or does it exists by it’s own? New developments within the neurosciences address this matter in a way that will very likely change our view on ourselves and the world for good. The discovery of mirror neurons provides a neurological basis for social behaviour and it might even give an explanation for the explosive evolution of culture amongst human beings. Will these developments lead to the conclusion that we are all nothing but very complicated computers in the end, which can be replaced by robots? And where does this leave philosophical concepts as consciousness, free will, morality and art for instance? Concept by Janneke van Leeuwen & Humberto Schwab The speakers and topics are: Luc Sala Personality types and your brain Personality typing using MBTI – Myers-Briggs Type Indicator, Big Five, Enneagram is a great tool for HR professionals, psychologists and therapists. A brief outline of the systems is given, and correlated with neurlogical findings. The popular typologies however lack a good theoretical model and most have little relevance for understanding or guiding the development of an individual. Privacy is becoming a major issue, as our digital shadow on Facebook and in datafiles of many kinds could be used to “type” automatically and for “profiling” for judicial, medical and commercial use. Humberto Schwab, Philosopher Human mind is more body What is a person within a context of a group or a society, do we have a unique will and character that steers our behaviour, and our body? This is probably untenable regarding the neuroscience revolution. We are more interwoven with our environment , our brain is not a fixed walnut, nature and nurture discussions are obsolete: our neurosystem is in continuos dialog with the environment. We can change ourselves by changing our interaction! Maurizio Zollo, Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility, Bocconi University; Program Director, Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions Strategic management and neuro-sciences The program of the Center for Research in Organization and Management (CROMA) on the Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions aims to open new research horizons in the strategic management field by leveraging, for the first time, recent developments in the neuro-sciences. The basic idea is to explain the characteristics of managers and entrepreneurs’ activity measuring their mental processes as they make decisions through brain imaging techniques. This allows researchers to obtain unbiased and extremely detailed observations, critical to explain the performance of innovation decisions as well as the impacts of social responsibility and sustainability-related choices. I will present some of the most interesting results of the neural correlates of explorative decisions by managers and entrepreneurs, and reflect on how we can help decision-makers develop their capacity to make complex decisions in a creative, responsible and sustainable way. Exhibition by Maartje van Buuren “My work is about attraction and repulsion. Contradictory thought and also behaviour. A battle between extremes, tension, how something unpleasant can also be beautiful at the same time. It’s my window into a world and mind, full of contradiction.” 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Adda van Zanden, Actress Part I: Luc Sala Personality types and your brain Humberto Schwab, Philosopher Human mind is more body Maurizio Zollo, Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility, Bocconi University; Program Director, Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions Strategic management and neuro-sciences 20:00 – 20:30 Break with snacks & drinks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Luc Sala Luc Sala is a physicist and economist by training, but worked all his life in the media as entrepreneur, television maker, writer, journalist and publisher. He has written thousands of articles and a dozen books about many subjects, from ICT to the esoteric. His fancy is understanding information and how humans use information. www.lucsala.nl Humberto Schwab Philosopher Owner, Humberto Schwab Filosofia SL Director, Club of Amsterdam Humberto Schwab is owner of Humberto Schwab Filosofia SL. He studied physics and philosophy at the University of Amsterdam and was for years teaching at Montessori Schools, Rietveld Art academy and Hoogeschool of Amsterdam. He was the frontrunner in innovating secondary education with a complete new philosophy curriculum. He designed a new method and wrote 6 books for this method. Her also designed a complete new format of teacher training and executed this training. As an innovation philosopher working in Spain and Holland, he is involved in innovation processes in education, cross media, business and ngo’s. He developed the eurolab method, which is a value and philosophy based futurelab. Students from different universities participate in these labs, mostly situated in Spain. The students work in a think tank simulation and produce real advices for governments or business. The lab formula is used for companies to reflect on their philosophy or to redesign their philosophy regarding the future roads. Business is always related to ethical values because needs of persons are related to values. The Socratic dialogue is a strong contextual method to foster collaborative brainstorms. Humberto Schwab designs new tools for innovation and reflections together with several other philosophers and trainers. He also participates in several innovationlabs with i.e. Mediaguild and other organisations. His main goal is getting individuals and groups into the collective thinking mood, using philosophy as the treasure of strong ideas and concepts. He is active in creating an optimistic approach of the European challenge. www.humbertoschwab.net Maurizio Zollo Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility, Bocconi University; Program Director, Neuroscientific Foundations of Strategic Decisions Bocconi Dean’s Chaired Professor in Strategy and Corporate Responsibility at Bocconi University and Director of the Center for Research in Organization and Management (CROMA). He is also the editor of the European Management Review, the official journal of the European Academy of Management (EURAM). Professor Zollo serves on the Executive Committee of the European Academy of Management and of the European Academy of Business in Society (of which he was one of the co-founders). He is also the Program Chair of the Innovation and Knowledge interest group of the Strategic Management Society and a past member of Executive Committee of the strategy division of the Academy of Management, In addition to his editor role for the European Management Review, he also serves as associate editor or on the editorial board of four other leading academic journals in the strategy and organization studies fields. Before joining Bocconi University in September 2007, he served for 10 years on the faculty of INSEAD in the strategy department. http://faculty.unibocconi.eu/mauriziozollo Maartje van Buuren Maartje van Buuren holds a Bachelor of Fine Art and Design in Education and graduated with honours in Fine Art. Her graduation project with mold landscapes and furniture was nominated for the Piet Bakker award. Maartje has worked as a creative therapist and as a teacher. She has also contributed to several industrial design projects and works as a freelance graphical designer. Maartje uses images, poetry, sounds and sculptures in her work to portray her continous search for tension. “My work is about attraction and repulsion. Contradictory thought and behaviour. A battle between extremes, tension, how something unpleasant can also be beautiful at the same time. It’s my window into a world and mind, full of contradiction.” Adda van Zanden Actress Adda van Zanden works as an actress in training for different organizations such as Leeuwendaal, Delta Loyd, Philips, Healthcare and Governmental Institutions. She works as well as a trainer for CEL; Center of Evolutionary Learning. CEL is specialized in identifying the most effective learning approach to improve personal development processes. Adda also teaches drama at the Nirmala Arts Academy near Milan. And was a host/moderator at several cultural events. Because she practices meditation she is interested in the transformation power of the experience of mental silence. Impressions
the future of Shell, March 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Supporter Shell Technology Centre Amsterdam Videos Credits: Andreas van Engelen, Sound Design, Video Bill Spence, Manager Strategic Issues, Shell Upstream International Andrei Kotov, Commercial Adviser Global LNG, Shell Upstream International Guus Berkhout, Professor of Geosciences, Professor of Innovation Presentations Bill Spence, Manager Strategic Issues, Shell Upstream International Energy Scenarios & the future of Shell Andrei Kotov, Commercial Adviser Global LNG, Shell Upstream International the future of Gas Guus Berkhout, Professor of Geosciences, Professor of Innovation New Business Framework for the Energy Industry Building a low-carbon energy future from the Shell Sustainability Report 2009 The world is starting a shift towards a new, low-carbon energy future. But it will take several decades to get there. Shell is taking steps today to help build the energy system of tomorrow: producing more cleaner burning natural gas; working to deliver advanced fuels and lubricants and lower-carbon biofuels; and building a capability in carbon capture and storage. As many countries emerge from recession and Asia’s economic growth continues, long-term global demand for energy is rising. By 2050 the world is expected to have over 2 billion more people and energy demand is likely to be twice as high as it is today. At the same time, greenhouse gas emissions must fall by at least half if the planet is to avoid the impact of significant climate change. Mapping a route to a more sustainable energy future is a challenge for governments, business and consumers alike. It is also a technology opportunity: in the future our economies will be powered by a more diverse mix of fuels and energy sources than ever before. Natural gas – abundant and affordable – will play an increasingly vital role as the world moves towards a low-carbon future. It can act as a bridge to that future and be central to the long-term, lower-carbon energy mix. By 2050 biofuels, wind, solar and other renewables could provide 30% of the world’s energy, according to Shell’s energy scenarios. Oil will remain an important energy source for many decades, as will coal. But we expect industry, cars and domestic appliances to be more energy efficient than they are today. Transforming the world’s energy system will not be easy. The challenges are “urgent and daunting”, according to the International Energy Agency. Replacing coal with natural gas in electricity generation where possible – for example, as old coal plants are decommissioned – would cut CO2 emissions significantly in the power sector. A new gas-fired plant produces up to 70% less CO2 than an ageing coal plant and around half the CO2 of a modern coal plant for the same amount of power generated. Gas is more energy efficient than coal and produces electricity at less cost than any other fuel. Adding carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology to a gas-fired power station would further drastically reduce the plant’s CO2 emissions. For those power stations where coal continues to be used, CCS could be installed to reduce emissions. In both cases a price for CO2 needs to exist to make such investments viable. Regulations will be needed to ensure energy savings by industry are not lost through greater energy use elsewhere. There will also need to be a revolution in consumer behaviour, with people using less power at home and at work. More sustainable transport can play a crucial part in reducing CO2 emissions, with more advanced petrol and diesel engines powering smaller and lighter vehicles. More advanced fuels and lubricants will help. Biofuels for transport will continue to grow, while electric and hybrid cars are expected to become increasingly common. Renewable energy will grow rapidly but it will take many years to meet large-scale demand. Traditionally it has taken around 30 years for a new energy source to capture 1% of the global market. Biofuels are there now. Wind power could reach the 1% mark at some point in the coming decade. The speakers and topics are: Andrei Kotov, Commercial Adviser Global LNG, Shell Upstream International the future of Gas Guus Berkhout, Professor of Geosciences, Professor of Innovation New Business Framework for the Energy Industry Using new scientific insights, I will reveal that the future energy needs of mankind will be significantly higher than published by the established energy institutes. This means that the fossil (‘ancient biomass’) industry and the new (‘renewable’) energy players must work towards a common goal: guaranteed supply of clean energy at affordable prices. But it is not only the exploding energy needs that will drive the transition of the energy sector. Looking at the fundamental changes occurring in society today, corporations cannot afford to carry on with their business as usual. The purpose of economic growth must be redefined, causing a major transformation in business thinking. I will explain that markets of the future will be steered by societal needs, meaning that social and environmental externalities are essential components of future business models. Bill Spence, Manager Strategic Issues, Shell Upstream International Energy Scenarios & the future of Shell Scenarios describing the future of the world and its energy systems. The role of oil and gas companies, specifically Shell. What does the future hold? 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Adriaan Kamp, Owner, Kamp Beheer Part I: Andrei Kotov, Commercial Adviser Global LNG, Shell Upstream International the future of Gas Guus Berkhout, Professor of Geosciences, Professor of Innovation New Business Framework for the Energy Industry Bill Spence, Manager Strategic Issues, Shell Upstream International Energy Scenarios & the future of Shell 20:00 – 20:30 Break with buffet & drinks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Andrei Kotov Commercial Adviser Global LNG, Shell Upstream International Andrei Kotov is the Commercial Advisor with Shell’s Global LNG Business, prior to which he was a Business Development Advisor CO2 Shell’s Carbon Capture and Storage Team. Andrei holds a Master’s of Science in Economics degree from the University of St. Gallen (Switzerland, with an exchange semester at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business) and an MBA. He subsequently joined Shell Global Solutions International as a Contracts Advisor. Andrei’s career, both prior to joining Shell and within the Shell Group, has comprised a variety of postings ranging from mainly operational to purely commercial across energy industry’s entire value chain. In addition to his experience in the business domain, Andrei is a regular contributor to major business dailies, including Financial Times and International Herald Tribune (the international edition of the New York Times) with commentary topics addressing a broad array of issues of global concern. www.shell.com Guus Berkhout Professor of Geosciences, Professor of Innovation Professor Guus Berkhout started his career with Shell in 1964, where he held several international positions in R&D and technology transfer. In 1976 he accepted a Chair at Delft University of Technology in the field of geophysical and acoustical imaging. In 2001 he also was appointed in the field of innovation management. Today, his research is financed by a consortium of 35 international companies. Professor Berkhout is member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences (KNAW) and of the Netherlands Academy of Engineers (AcTI). www.aj-birchwood.com Bill Spence Manager Strategic Issues, Shell Upstream International Bill Spence is the Manager of Strategic Issues for Shell’s Upstream International Business. In the 5 years preceding this position Bill was the Vice President CO2 in the Shell’s corporate head office. Bill graduated from Queen’s University (Canada) in 1984 with an Engineering Physics degree. He subsequently joined Shell Canada as a Petroleum Engineer. In 1989 he joined Shell International where he has lived and worked in numerous countries. His career has spanned both technical and commercial roles in the Upstream, Gas & Power and Renewables. www.shell.com Adriaan Kamp Owner, Kamp Beheer Worked 20 years in international project and business development management positions (5 countries) in the Upstream Oil and Gas sector (Shell Group International) and as private entrepreneur. Adriaan’s track record includes the leadership over the successful execution and delivery of major industrial (engineering and energy) projects . He is an accredited Project Manager for large and complex engineering projects. Adriaan ‘s background combines Entrepreneuring, Business Development and Innovation with Excellence in Execution (Strategy, Execution, People). Adriaan is presently a member of the Delphi Foundation (international think-tank on Energy matters), a speaker on Cleantech and Energy matters, and has been accredited as a Servant Leader (by Greenleaf Servant Leadership). Adriaan was born in 1961. Studied Applied Physics (M.Sc.) at the University of Delft. He lives in Overveen, has 2 sons, and hobbies include travelling, sports, spirituality/ religion, business literature and a good conversation with family and friends.
the future of Services, February 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Services as part of products Supporter Info.nl We see more and more examples of services as part of products. Thinking on services is hot. From service design to design thinking, taking a service as a central element in possible success of a product is adopted by many. But what is the next stage in this development. Will services become the dictators of our life. Will services shape our products? An important development is the rise of service ecosystems. Services as the glue and fuel of connected touch points. Example of this evolution is the way our travelling in public transport transforms from a fare based experience into a subscription based experience. The virtual credit on the OVchipcard (Dutch public transport card) results in different kind of service, behavior and product experience. These kinds of shifts will happen in all areas. The way we move to a service dominate economy will influence the way we consume, we behave and the way products and services itself will be shaped. In this session we look at these developments from different angles. Concept by Iskander Smit Pieter Jan Stappers, Professor, Chair of Design Techniques, TU Delft Future of Services – Future for Designers? Service Design is posing a number of challenges to professionals and those who educate them. It combines elements from experience design, interaction design, software design, product design, and combines them with new challenges in the areas of user context, customer involvement, business models and organizational change. In this presentation I illustrate these changes, and how they impact Dutch industries and education. Iskander Smit, Strategy Director, Info.nl A future of impulse driven and hyper personalised services We see the world changing from content driven to context driven. Social software, augmented reality and playful location-based services. We grow into an era knowledge is always available; the trick is to be curious enough to find it. There is an incredible increase of touch points that are becoming sensors of our behavior. What are the consequences of the ubiquitous availability of the smartness, of a predictive web? How would it work if we have real context based services where the impulses retrieved from interactions are the angles and boundaries of the service? Iskander introduced impulse shaped services as the new kind of services and in this talk he will focus on this future of the new service ecosystems shaped from impulses, both digital and physical. Lorna Goulden, Lead Creative Director, Philips Design Consequences of The Internet of Things from a design perspective Lorna will talk on the changes in our experience with products now that they more and more are connected. Lorna will talk on the Internet of Things from a design perspective and share her view on the way the Internet of Things transforms products into product-service systems. Robert Hewins, Director, Benelux for Pentacle, The Virtual Business School Beyond the new normal Robert works with organizations and businesses to develop and execute strategies that benefit from the convergence of globalization, the multiplier effects of web-based services and rapid innovation. He will discuss players that have failed or successfully adapted to evolving “everything is a service” Darwinian ecosystems, and talk about the impact of emerging trends on today’s winners: will they thrive, just survive, or fail? 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Kwela Hermanns Part I: Pieter Jan Stappers, Professor, Chair of Design Techniques, TU Delft Future of Services – Future for Designers? Iskander Smit, Strategy Director, Info.nl A future of impulse driven and hyper personalised services Lorna Goulden, Lead Creative Director, Philips Design Consequences of The Internet of Things from a design perspective Robert Hewins, Director, Benelux for Pentacle, The Virtual Business School Beyond the new normal 20:00 – 20:30 Coffee break with drinks and snacks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Pieter Jan Stappers Professor, Chair of Design Techniques, TU Delft P.J. Stappers works at ID-StudioLab in the faculty of Industrial Design Engineering, TU Delft. The focus of his research and teaching is on the early phases of design projects, with a special focus on understanding the needs of end-users, matching these needs with opportunities in new technology, and communicating needs, ideas, and product/service concepts. After an MSc in experimental physics an a PhD on the dynamics of visual perception, his research interests shifted from Virtual Reality to new media tools in general, with a focus on studying creative processes of designers, and developing interactive, visual computer-based tools for the support of creative design. After 2000, his interest widened to explorative contextual studies of user experience (http://www.contextmapping.com/), techniques for co-creation, and the role of design skills within research. P.J. does not blog or tweet, but has a rudimentary web presence on http://studiolab.io.tudelft.nl/stappers Iskander Smit Strategy Director, Info.nl Iskander Smit works as strategy director Info.nl, one of the oldest internet agencies in the Netherlands. Based in the heart of Amsterdam Info.nl is specialized in the creation and realization of online services. Iskander is responsible for strategy within Info.nl and advices clients how to transform their products and services into engaging online ecosystems. Inspired on our models Virtual Warmth, Exploding Website and Realtime Company. Iskander is educated as Industrial Design Engineer and works since 1994 in digital media as interaction designer, concept developer and strategist. Driven by the added value of interactivity and the social power of connected media. He has a strong passion in how human behavior works and is related to the use of products and services and the interactions with others. www.info.nl Lorna Goulden Lead Creative Director, Philips Design Lorna Goulden is the Lead Creative Director responsible for Product & Service design for the external market. She is the author of the award winning ‘Creating a Public Lighting Experience’ which outlines an innovative vision for the public lighting of Strijp-S in Eindhoven and is currently supervising its implementation. After joining Philips Design’s in 1994 Lorna has worked with Philips research and business groups in both Europe, Asia and the US on interaction concepts and new product development. In 1999 she set up and managed a design team carrying out early Experience Design research – the foundation of what is widely employed by Philips Design today. More recently she has been directing innovation and strategic design initiatives for a range of external clients as well as Philips Corporate IT Innovation and Strategy. Lorna has lectured at both the Design Academy in Eindhoven and the Royal College of Art in London. She is a member of ‘Council Internet of Things’ think tank and is on the steering committee of the Virtual Platform which is the sector institute for e-culture in the Netherlands. She is also a member of the board of the ‘Culture for Micro-Credit’ foundation. www.design.philips.com Robert Hewins Director, Benelux for Pentacle, The Virtual Business School Robert leads the Benelux project and programme management practice for Pentacle with the key objective of supporting clients make their transition to the New World successful, and sustainable. Robert has worked on business transformation, change management and large-scale business system deployment programmes with industry leaders. He has previously taught Masters, MBA and Executive MBA- level courses at the Rotterdam School of Management, University of Leiden and Delft Technical University (Top Tech) in the Netherlands, and Keele and Lancaster University in the UK. Based in the Netherlands, Robert and his team deliver Pentacle’s unique Learning to TransformTM vision, approach and teaching style to clients in the Benelux. www.pentaclethevbs.com Kwela Sabine Hermanns Kwela is a highly focussed, process-oriented entrepreneur and innovation specialist with many years of business experience in education, research, training and project management in the creative industries. She is bi-lingual in English and German, owns a Masters degree in New Media Studies and trained in small business innovation at Copenhagen Business School. She coaches and trains people and organisations in goal implementation and dynamic change management techniques. ”My own goal is to support inter-disciplinary innovation towards value based and surprising sustainable futures. I combine a highly analytical and strategic mind with a passion for team work, people and relationship building.” www.portaltoyourdreams.com
the future of Financial Infrastructure, January 2011
Club of Amsterdam pdf version What influence will the crises have on financial services and products? Supporter Deloitte Presentations Maarten Mol, COO, Commercial & Merchant Banking, ABN AMRO Earning Trust Bouke de Vries, Senior Economist, Economic Research Department, Rabobank Nederland Strengths of the cooperative model – a more effective value proposition for clients? Dave Rietveld, Manager Innovation, Equens Transparency of financial settlement – rethinking the value proposition of institutions Hans Hintzen, Hintzen Legal Services The Ratio of Leverage John Grüter, Owner, Digital Knowledge Introduction In 2008, the unthinkable happened. Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. Banks had to seek shelter with governments. In 2010, the unthinkable happened again. Local European economies were based on bubbles. Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland. What or who can we trust? The financial infrastructure is intrinsically based on trust, between clients, financial institutions and governments. No trust, no financial infrastructure. Bail out by governments, the World Bank, the IMF, but can we still trust them to do so? Perhaps we should think differently. Perhaps we should look for ways to boost robustness of the financial infrastructure. Increase transparency. Take away the need for intervention. Infuse loyalty into clients. How to seduce them? Products and services differentiation, mutual value. Client-side risk management. Interaction based on relationship, not (simple) products. So, what will future financial products and services look like? Will they be more transparent? Will they allow clients to accurately manage risk? Will they return serious value for the relationship? Will competition between financial institutions force a long-term relationship focus? Concept by John Grüter, Owner, Digital Knowledge Maarten Mol, COO, Commercial & Merchant Banking, ABN AMRO Earning Trust Can supervisors earn trust for banks? Can regulators earn trust for banks? Have the forces that caused the loss of trust fundamentally changed? How even is the playing field? What a bank can do to regain trust. Bouke de Vries, Senior Economist, Economic Research Department, Rabobank Nederland Strengths of the cooperative model – a more effective value proposition for clients? In his presentation Bouke will focus on the case of the Rabobank in the credit crisis and the future of cooperative banking: “Before the financial crisis, cooperative banks were sometimes seen as stable but rather boring. But several studies have shown that the cooperative model has weathered the storms better than most. For instance, Rabobank did not need state support during the crisis. What is the reason for this relatively strong performance? What are strengths and weaknesses of the cooperative model? And what does the future look like?” Dave Rietveld, Manager Innovation, Equens Transparency of financial settlement – rethinking the value proposition of institutions Increasing electronification and standardisation of the payments intrustry enables all users to gain control of their own financial processes. Global transfer and settlement of funds within minutes without any hidden process steps, unclear predictability or hidden risks are becoming standard for everybody. Information is widespread available due to internet and standard payment infrastructures which increase transparency and confidence in the financial systems. On the other hand, due to these developments, banks might lose their unique selling points (trust, exclusive knowledge, exclusive networks) to other parties. Financial institutions are forced to rethink the value that they want to deliver to their clients. This presentation gives some insight in recent and current market developments, which will definitely trigger and expedite that rethinking. Hans Hintzen, Hintzen Legal Services The Ratio of Leverage How it begun, and the impact of the financial crisis on the infrastructure of financial markets and of the financial services industry from a legal perspective. 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator John Grüter, Owner, Digital Knowledge Part I: Maarten Mol, COO, Commercial & Merchant Banking, ABN AMRO Earning Trust Bouke de Vries, Senior Economist, Economic Research Department, Rabobank Nederland Strengths of the cooperative model – a more effective value proposition for clients? Dave Rietveld, Manager Innovation, Equens Transparency of financial settlement – rethinking the value proposition of institutions Hans Hintzen, Hintzen Legal Services The Ratio of Leverage 20:00 – 20:30 Coffee break with drinks and snacks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Maarten Mol COO, Commercial & Merchant Banking, ABN AMRO Maarten started his career as a consultant at KPMG after domestic and international banking traineeships at ABN AMRO and Chase Manhattan. In 1988, he moved to Bank of America in the Treasury and Electronic Banking Department and was head of International Product Management Global Payments Services in the UK. Maarten rejoined ABN AMRO in 1997. Since then, he has had various positions in international sales and product management of the transaction banking businesses of ABN AMRO, among which head Working Capital Netherlands. From 2005, Maarten has been responsible for the full transaction banking business in the Netherlands across private, retail, corporate and wholesale clients. He briefly enjoyed the position of CEO Transaction Banking at Fortis Bank. Maarten is now responsible for the Chief Operating Office of commercial and merchant banking clients at the new ABN AMRO. www.abnamro.nl/en/index.html Bouke de Vries Senior Economist, Economic Research Department, Rabobank Nederland Drs. Bouke de Vries, Senior Economist at the Economic Research Department of Rabobank Nederland. He is the head of the financial sector research team. Currently one of the projects the Economic Research Department is working on is a scenario study. In this study four possible futures for the world (economy) in 2030 are explored, in which themes as food security, biofuels, the market economy and the financial sector are integrated. www.rabobank.com Hans Hintzen Hintzen Legal Services Hans Hintzen is a specialist in the field of banking and securities law. He begun his career working as a lawyer with Baker & McKenzie Amsterdam, after which he spent over 8 years working as an Interim Legal Counsel for a variety of banks and financial institutions, among which Rabobank International, ABN AMRO Bank, ING Bank, AEGON, SNS REAAL, NIBC Bank and Staal Bank. Hans specializes in Financial Services Regulation, Legal Aspects of Debt Capital Markets, Derivatives, Corporate Finance, Structured Finance, Securitizations and Investment Management. John Grüter Owner, Digital Knowledge Business Architect, Knowledge Management Specialist, Business Developer, Systems Thinker, IT Generalist & Change Agent Digital technology is rapidly transforming our society, our business practices and lives. Technology is a driver, but not the real issue. Adoption by individuals, companies and governments is far more important. But how can we manage the technology, the adoption process and the effect on our businesses and private lives, without getting lost in that change? Specialties Business Architecture; Knowledge Management; Process and Services Innovation; New Business Development; Product Management www.digital-knowledge.com
the future of Happiness, November 2010
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Supporters Hogeschool van Amsterdam milliongenerations.org “Mankind”, the philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche observed, “does not strive for happiness; only the Englishman does that.” Yet, famously enshrined in the US constitution, the pursuit of happiness has conquered the world as a constant obligation: be happy now! The ancient Greek sought “eudaimonia”, happiness, as the highest desirable good and the object of virtue. Jeremy Bentham, an English philosopher and reformer, later turned utility, or “Greatest Happiness”, into the basis or definition of virtue and made it useful as an organizing principle for society. Advances in neuroscience, the empirical investigation of subjective well-being and quality-of-life studies have brought an evidence based understanding on what makes us happy. Once we have escaped from abject poverty, more wealth does not make us feel happier, yet the relative status it provides adds to our individual satisfaction. The reproductive advantage endowed by ambition and status ensures we always want twice as much as we have. This keeps our economy turning and suggests that we are destined to consume whatever there is without ever getting any happier. No future for happiness, then? Some believe that happiness cannot only be measured but also taught, and that societies and economies, even a future, can be built on the idea that the opportunity to feel happy is truly valuable. – What makes us happy? (Human nature, the individual perspective) – What contributes to our common happiness? (The effect of society) – How can there be most happiness? (The future of happiness) Ruut Veenhoven, Emeritus-professor of ‘social conditions for human happiness’, Erasmus University Rotterdam Greater happiness for a greater number Is that possible? Utilitarian philosophy holds that public policy should aim at greater happiness for a greater number of people. This moral tenet meets many objections, on pragmatic grounds it is denounced as unfeasible and on ideological grounds as undesirable. As a result the principle is marginal in policy making. These classic philosophical qualms are considered in the light of recent empirical research on life-satisfaction. The data show first of all that the principle is feasible; happiness of a great number is possible in contemporary conditions and it is also possible to create more of it. The data also show that the promotion of happiness fits well with other ideals; happiness requires conditions that we value, such as freedom, and happiness fosters matters that we value, such as good health and civil behaviour. Though happiness can conflict with these values in theory, it appears to match them in practice. Nic Marks, NEF Fellow, Founder, Centre for Well-being The Happy Planet Nic Marks asks why we measure a nation’s success by its productivity — instead of by the happiness and well-being of its people. He introduced the Happy Planet Index, which tracks national well-being against resource use (because a happy life doesn’t have to cost the earth). Which countries rank highest in the HPI? You might be surprised. Tim Mulgan, Professor of Moral & Political Philosophy, Princeton / St.Andrews (in absence presented by Michael) Utilitarianism for a broken future. Philosophers often ignore future people – confident that, if we pursue our own interests, they will be much better-off than ourselves. Climate change undermines this optimism. Utilitarianism tells us that the interests of future people are as important as our own, and that our obligations to them are the most important part of morality. But many puzzles surround those obligations, as the identity, number, and existence of future people depend upon what we now decide to do. I outline these puzzles, and attempt to steer a path through them. Concept by Michael Münker 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Michael Münker Michael briefly introduces Tim Mulgan, Professor of Moral & Political Philosophy, Princeton / St.Andrews (in absence) Utilitarianism for a broken future. Part I: Ruut Veenhoven, Emeritus-professor of ‘social conditions for human happiness’, Erasmus University Rotterdam Greater happiness for a greater number Is that possible? Nic Marks, Centre for Well-being, New Economics Foundation, London The Happy Planet 20:00 – 20:30 Coffee break with drinks and snacks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: How can there be most happiness? Open discussion also including Maarten Vendrik, Assistant Professor, PhD, Maastricht University Ruut Veenhoven Emeritus-professor of ‘social conditions for human happiness’, Erasmus University Rotterdam Ruut Veenhoven (1942) studied sociology and is also accredited in social psychology and social-sexuology. He is emeritus-professor of ‘social conditions for human happiness’ at Erasmus University Rotterdam in the Netherlands. Veenhoven’s current research is on subjective quality of life. Major publications are: ‘Conditions of happiness’ (1984), ‘Happiness in nations’ (1993) and ‘Happy Life-expectancy’ (1997) and ‘Quality-of-life in individualistic society (1999). Veenhoven also published on love, marriage and parenthood. Veenhoven is director of the World Database of Happiness and founding editor of the Journal of Happiness Studies worlddatabaseofhappiness.eur.nl www.springer.com/social+sciences/well-being/journal/10902 www2.eur.nl/fsw/research/veenhoven Nic Marks Centre for Well-being, New Economics Foundation, London Nic Marks thinks quality of life is measurable, and that true contentment comes not from material wealth but from connections with others, engagement with the world, and a sense of autonomy. He founded the Centre for Well-Being at the New Economics Foundation and is particularly keen to promote a balance between sustainable development and quality of life. He devised the Happy Planet Index of human well-being and environmental impact. People in the world’s wealthiest and most resource consuming countries don’t come out on top in terms of well-being, as presented to TED: www.nicmarks.org www.neweconomics.org Tim Mulgan Professor of Moral & Political Philosophy, Princeton / St. Andrews Tim Mulgan was educated at the Universities of Otago and Oxford, where he wrote his DPhil on ‘The Demands of Consequentialism’ under the supervision of Derek Parfit, Bernard Williams, and Roger Crisp. He taught at the Universities of Reading, Oxford, Otago, and Auckland before becoming Professor of Moral and Political Philosophy at the University of St Andrews in Scotland in June 2005. In the academic year 2009/2010 He is Laurance S. Rockefeller Visiting Fellow at the University Center for Human Values at Princeton University in Princeton, NJ. His pubications include ‘Future people’ (2006) The Demands of Consequentialism (2001) and Understanding Utilitarianism (2007). ‘Ethics for a Broken World: Imagining Philosophy After Catastrophe’ is forthcoming with Acumen. In absentia, his contribution is briefly introduced and presented in full in the Club of Amsterdam Journal. www.st-andrews.ac.uk Maarten Vendrik Assistant Professor, PhD, Maastricht University After receiving a Master’s degree in theoretical physics from the Catholic University of Nijmegen and a Master’s degree in econometrics from the Erasmus University of Rotterdam, Maarten C.M. Vendrik gained his PhD in economics from Maastricht University. He worked at the Institute of Theoretical Biology of Leiden University, the macroeconomics department of Erasmus University Rotterdam, and the economics department of Maastricht University. Currently he holds a position as senior assistant professor in microeconomics and public economics in the economics department of Maastricht University. Moreover, he is research fellow of the Institute of the Study of Labor IZA at Bonn. Maarten has published widely in high-standing international journals in theoretical physics and economics. His current research interests include labour economics, public economics, gender economics and applied econometrics. He has a special interest in the integration of psychological and sociological insights into microeconomic models, the implications of happiness research for economics, and the labour market problems of an aging population. www.fdewb.unimaas.nl Michael Münker Michael Münker thinks that there is only one type of human on earth and hopes that it will be useful to ask how there can be most happiness. After training in physics in Munich and Zürich he worked in Goma with Médecins sans frontières, in Nürnberg and Delhi with a large corporation and in Munich and Utrecht with small companies. He lives in Holland as an entrepreneur bringing innovative medical devices to clinical practice and contributes to www.milliongenerations.org
the future of Hacking, October 2010
Club of Amsterdam pdf version Supporters Hogeschool van AmsterdamFreelance Factory In collaboration with Hogeschool van Amsterdam & Freelance Factory View the webcast Part 1 Part 2 The term ‘hacking’ to most people refers to either Russian criminals stealing your creditcard or Chinese spies breaking into NATO. For those who call themselves hackers ‘hacking’ means the creative use of technology to do new and unexpected things. Thank old-media for this confusion. In our hight-tech society of 2010 the realities of internet crime, electronic warfare and using technology creatively are both much more mundane and sometimes much more spectacular than portrayed in movies such as ‘The Net’. Windows is still crap but people keep buying it while alternatives exist. Meanwhile Wikileaks manages to run circles around the mightiest military in the history of the planet but despite this the wars still go on. Hacking changes a lot, but not always were we expect it. What used to be the Star-trek communicator is called a smartphone now so the future of hacking might just be a lot more interesting than any old ’90’s science-fiction. Frans Kolkman, Head High Tech Crime Unit East-NL The future of Cybercrime and arresting Hackers Will The Police in Future be able to catch the bad guys. What are the possible problems. What is the International perspective. Traditional crimes in a country with boarders vs. crimes in a digital world without borders. What does that mean for Law Enforcement in the world. We will take a look into the technical problems involved witch possibly occur if you want to fight Hackers in the future. What kind of privacy problems will occur. What kind of privacy invasive measures are still acceptable for society. Martijn Aslander, lifehacker, connector and resourcererHow to connect hacking with the possibilities of the network and information age Martijn just wrote a book, title ‘Easycratie’ which is about how to organise in the network age. It covers pay-what-you-want, lifehacking, the age of acces and lots more…. in his presentation, Martijn will try to connect a lot of thinking from the hacking world with the future of organising. Alper Çugun, Intendant, Monster Swell Civic duty in a hyper-connected world The Internet of Things is an abstract term for something that is quickly becoming real. The world is being filled with sensors and actuators, all of which are linked into systems and being fed back to us with real and virtual displays. This is changing the fabric of society and the definition of what society is. It is our responsibility as citizens of this hyper-connected world to hack our environments to work better however we can. 19:00 – 20:00 Introduction by our Moderator Arjen Kamphuis, Co-founder, CTO, Gendo Part I: Frans Kolkman, Head High Tech Crime Unit East-NL The future of Cybercrime and arresting Hackers Martijn Aslander, lifehacker, connector and resourcererHow to connect hacking with the possibilities of the network and information age Alper Çugun, Intendant, Monster Swell Civic duty in a hyper-connected world 20:00 – 20:30 Coffee break with drinks and snacks. 20:30 – 21:15 Part II: Open discussion Frans Kolkman Head High Tech Crime Unit East-NL Frans Kolkman joint the Dutch Police Force in 1975. He became a detective in 1981. Was active in detective work until he was appointed as the head of High Tech Crime unit East in 1995. Is a member of the Dutch advisory board on High Tech Crime for the Board of Dutch Police Chiefs. Joint the National Cybercrime Program in 2008 for 2 days a week. Represents The Netherlands in the field of High Tech Crime at Interpol and Europol. Projects he initiated and worked on are an Infrastructure for Internet investigations for the Dutch Police and others, the National HASH database Child Porn pictures and Video Fingerprinting Child Porn movies. Martijn Aslander lifehacker, connector and resourcerer I’m a 38 year old exploren of the network and information age. I’m interested in setting things in motion, to develop myself and others. Most of my time I spend learning and thinking. The rest of the time I engage with people and connect people. After reading The Tipping Point, the book of Malcolm Gladwell on social epidemics, I figured out that I am a maven, a connector as well as a salesman. If you want to spread ideas and knowledge like I do, you need people with these roles. Since 8 years now, after I figured out that asking money before an assignment is maybe not the best way to operate, I ask people to evaluate me and the value of my efforts afterwards. A path that would be much richer than the path of being a consultant that can be hired. Richer in the sense of value to me and others, value in a much broader meaning than just money. We live in the age of access now, and access will be more important than possesion in the next decades, I think. I love to give lectures and do that over 150 times a year, speaking about the new economy, valuecreation, marketing 2.0, complementairy economics, networking, lifehacking, and about my ideas to make te world a better place, with my insights in social and information capital. Specialties: Creative thinking, recognizing underlying patterns, organising, guerilla marketing, network www.martijnaslander.nl Alper Çugun Intendant, Monster Swell CEO, Aardverschuiving Media Chief Evangelist, TipIt.to Alper Cugun is Intendant of Monster Swell an Amsterdam based data visualization agency where he is lead of technology and experience. He is formally educated as an engineer of Media and Knowledge Engineering but he spends more time designing interactions with a focus on mapping and games. He started micropayment startup TipiT, helped introduce Foursquare to the Netherlands and was technical lead of PLAY Pilots. He is also an active participant in the open data and open government movements. Alper is regularly published about all of these topics. alper.nl monsterswell.com tipit.to foursquare.com playpilots.nl Arjen Kamphuis Co-founder, CTO, Gendo Arjen is co-founder and Chief Technology Officer of Gendo. He studied Science & Policy at Utrecht University and worked for IBM and Twynstra Gudde as IT-architect, trainer and IT-strategy advisor. Since late 2001 Arjen has been self-employed, advising clients on the strategic impact of new technological developments. He is a certified EDP auditor and information security specialist. As a much sought-after international speaker on technology policy issues he gives over 100 keynote talks every year. Since 2002 he has been involved in formulating public IT-policy in the area of open standards and opensource for the government and public sector. Arjen advises senior managers and administrators of companies and public institutions, members of parliament and the Dutch Cabinet about the opportunities offered by open standards and opensource software for the European knowledge economy and society as a whole. In 2009 Arjen was part of the team that organised Hacking at Random (har2009.org), a 5-day, 2500 participant techfest about all things hackable. Besides information technology Arjen also works on scenarioplanning and strategic assesments of emerging technologies sush as bio- and nanotechnology. With clients he investigates the social, economic and geo-political impact of science and technology. Arjen’s collumns and article’s can be found on his Gendo blog. Dutch: www.gendo.nl/blog/arjen English: www.gendo.nl/blogs/arjen-int