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Club of Amsterdam Journal, June 2017, Issue 195

Content Trip to China with Mike Rana – Part I Kenny Ausubel: Imagining Our Way Out of the Unimaginable The Future Now Show: Disruptive Technology Trends with Hardy F Schloer Deep sea mining News about the Future:Artificial Intelligence 2017: Top 100 Influencers, Brands and Publications / Fiber Optic fabric, Luminous fabric items for decor & fashion Digital Fabrication Technologies Recommended Book:Adults In The Room: My Battle With Europe’s Deep Establishment by Yanis Varoufakis Melting of Greenland Futurist Portrait: Daniel Simon Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal. When people talk about disruptive technologies you usually think of a major shift in the way things work in a particular industry. But how disruptive can technology be? How about robotics and AI increasingly watching us and controlling us as our freedom seeps away? Or taking our jobs, and therefore our earnings, making money irrelevant? Then again, we’ll be largely irrelevant. Now that’s disruptive. – Paul Holister The Future Now Show: Disruptive Technology Trends with Hardy F Schloer Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Trip to China with Mike Rana – Part I by Mike RanaCreative Head & Founder, eFingertip, Consultant Social NetworkingMumbai, Maharashtra, India China – 3 HopsDalian – Over The Waves China – 3 Hops Recently I took an awesome trip to China. It was a bit perilous for an enfeebled and recuperating sick man, vegetarian and non-speaker of the language, and a complete novice at using the chop sticks. After return now I face probing questions from friends – Why Dalian? I have no convincing arguments but I guess I had a few friends in that city, so I chose it. With hind sight I feel it wasn’t a bad choice, for its weather, its resorts, its beaches, its eateries, its hotels, its skyline, and above all its people were entities of pleasure. Contemporary and historic China is a mystery veiled in hidden adventure. Even when the internet lays it bare in the rest of the world, you need a personal visit to nose around this enigma. When you’re in China, internet is partially blocked and censored. Sites like Gmail, Google and Map are not accessible, and if they are, they only function as a Virtual Private Network (VPN). And you must pay a subscription of monthly USD 20 or so. Tencent QQ, popularly known as QQ (cute), is a popular Chinese emailing service. Today, it has 829 Million active QQ accounts and it also provides English translation. There is a WeChat platform that works like the Facebook. So in China there is nothing that prevents you from communicating. A number of Chinese travelers existed in history. Faxian (400 AD) and Xuanzang (600 AD), and 56 Monks traveled to India in the 7th century. They called us “Yindus”. For ages the Chinese have made special efforts at learning about what existed in other countries, but have hesitated foreigners traveling to China. Even now they prefer giving visa to businessmen, with the expectation that money will ultimately flow in to China. Of late, the reverse traffic is gaining grounds. The number of Chinese travelers internationally has more than doubled to 120 million tourists over the last five years, according to data from the China National Tourist Office. That means one in every 10 international travelers now comes from China. This year more than 215 Billion dollars may be spent by them abroad. The Chinese tend to begin traveling abroad once their household earnings exceed about $35,000 per year. And this tourism boom is encouraged by the government’s bigger plan to boost consumer spending and make the economy less dependent on manufacturing. Preparations Before I visited China a lot was heard from people. For example, The Great Wall of China was a metaphor for this forbidden territory. I was a bit nervous and my nervousness ran at peak when I decided to travel all by myself. I was recuperating from two large and recent operations. Stents were put in my carotid arteries. After these two brain operations I was vulnerable, because I could not speak well, not walk for long distances, not carry heavy weight and generally I was in danger for the slip of the stents. To go to a country where vegetarian food was a rarity and the language formidable, was quite an adventure. There was one respite for me though, a Russian friend who lives in Dalian and speaks both Russian and Chinese, rather fluently. Her English is very primary and I had to resort to Russian when required. Nataliya put the squeeze on, and forced me to come. She has the bold spirits of the royal blood, inherited due to her being from the family (Romanova) of the Czars. To make matters worse I decided to undertake the last leg of my travel, Beijing to Dalian on the Bullet train. “Bullet” was a hyped term in India and it captivated me to be on that train. Moreover, where else would I get that fortuitous chance to see the countryside and landscape. I was expected to take a taxi from the airport to the Dalian railway station in Beijing. The Google maps show two railways stations in Beijing. Which of these I must choose remained ambiguous in my mind until I reached it actually. My email communications with Nataliya, had failed to resolve this dubiety due to language difficulties. On the last day before departure my daughter Tanu, alarmed about this uncertainty was despised that I’d be struggling for information at Beijing. She insisted that I spoke to Nataliya on phone and arrange for an escort for myself. Nataliya fixed it while sitting in Dalian. I was able to speak to Maxim, my escort, from Delhi itself. And off I went. Hong Kong Hong Kong, a Cathy Pacific stopover, gave me two hours for the transfer. Time was short and that made me run amok, like a mad man. I carried my camera, bag and medicines and ran down the unfamiliar corridors of the airport, as if being chased. I was the only visible Indian at the airport. I wished that this airport had the luxury of deferred stopovers as on the Middle East flights. And wished they did something similar, to protect sales at the duty-free shops. But shopping was in full swing, early in the morning at that. Luckily, everything went very well and I boarded the outbound plane at Hong Kong. How I wished that I had a window seat to view Hong Kong from the air, but the airline managed to compensate me; they placed an English speaking co-passenger next to me. I wasted no time in pleasantries and let it go at him , “Sir, what time we will land in Beijing”? “3 hours approximately” he seemed cool, and gave me a business like smile. I tried to match him with an equally friendly smile. The hostesses were helping the passengers with seats, luggage and tumblers of water. I finished the flight rituals rather quickly. I browsed the airline magazine, tightened the seat belt, and scanned for the fellow passengers around etc. Most of them were probably corporate customers going for work after the weekend in Hong Kong. The plane was delayed a bit, I thought. People were still moving in and out of the plane. I waited for some minutes and then impatience started to take a toll on me. I asked the co-passenger rather hysterically, “This way, do you think I will have enough time at the Beijing airport”, I was looking at my wrist watch. Twenty minutes had passed after I entered the plane. “Oh, are you not going to Beijing, then where to” “To Dalian. I am catching the bullet train”, as if it was the ultimate luxury I was going to indulge into – an Indian frame of mind. “Don’t worry, you have enough time”, he said looking at his own glamorous watch. “Provided this plane starts in time” he added rather sarcastically. “Ah yes. Of course I have. But may be the checked in baggage will delay me”. “Yes that might be cutting it too fine. You know what, always stick to one airline in all the legs. They will never leave you behind”. “Yeah, but the bullet train was an attraction” I nodded. The plane was still standstill and this delay started to take a toll on me. I started shuffling positions while sitting. I saw it as a nightmare and imagined my plight in Beijing. “What I should be doing when I land in Beijing. With only 2.30 hours in Beijing. I should run to the immigration, find the taxi man, take the taxi and reach the railway station”, I mumbled these lines to myself. “And I do not know Chinese”, was the caveat that I added. It was now 30 minutes since I entered the plane. Even in normal situations, this was an exasperation but for me that day, it was no less than a catastrophe. I could probably miss the train at Beijing. My co-passenger saw my frustration, I think he heard me mumbling, “Do not worry. They are very professional at the airport. You will not be delayed”, he added. Perhaps I must tell him the situation. Maybe he can guide me. “You know Sir, the train tickets are taken on-line and I have still to collect them”. “Don’t you have them with you”? “The ticket, yeah. They will be with the train booking office. They will only give it on production of passport”, I seemed to have scored a winner this time hoping that he will empathize with me. “Yeah, that is normal. You need 10 minutes more for that. That cuts down your time a bit”. I did not feel it necessary to tell him that the train bookings were done by Nataliya on her account on the internet. Any change in the ticket was possible only when she used her account. And she was in Dalian. Probably, I will have to be lodged up in a hotel for the night. My mind was in turmoil and the vibrations of the plane were milder in comparison.Beijing We landed at Beijing and a surprise awaited me. The belts for the checked-in baggage and the immigration counters were missing from the sight. Everyone was rushing to what I later saw, an un-piloted train, which would take us to those facilities. Not many airports in the world make you sweat for your baggage as they do it in Beijing. And when you are in shortage of time, just as I was, this could be daunting. The luggage is delivered about 5 Kilometers away from where it landed. I waited for ages for it. I had enough time for a cuppa but no cafe was in sight. It was probably a good time to scan the passengers. To me they looked smartly dressed up as if they would leave for office directly. Anyway, the luggage finally arrived and mine was among the last few (Murphy’s laws were in full swing). But the respite was that the immigration was done in a jiffy, unlike in the western countries. And I found Maxim. He was the very first man loitering near the exit gate. He waved vigorously the placard with my name on it, rather shabbily but recognizably. To the railway station While I was debating in mind, which station I will go to, Maxim probably had the answer. He darted through the airport garages, at a speed that could put any marathon runner to shame. And here I was, scrambling to keep pace with him, and trying to put up a show that everything was normal. As I settled in his car, the luggage flashed in my mind and I asked him with butterflies fluttering in my stomach, “Did you put the baggage in the boot Maxim”? “Da” was his short and crisp reply. What a relief! I was in the car, complete with all my baggage, after immigrating to China and now on way to domestic travel, Wow. “Hurrah” I expressed and continued “Do you know which station we must go to”? He did not answer but nodded. He was probably briefed by Nataliya. Knowing these Russians, they were almost perfect in their travel arrangements. “Is this your own car or a taxi”. I knew that Russians used private cars as taxis, ’cause it was a convenient arrangement. But here I was checking if I was being waylaid. Then came the most important question, “Do you speak English”? I knew beyond doubt that a standard answer will follow, “A little English”, and I knew what it meant. I had heard it amply during my trips to Russia. Simply stating it meant “Shut up with your English”. On the driver’s seat he was alert, had good reflexes and probably deserved a pat on back. So I took time off him and focused on my camera. I was in China for the first time and did not want to miss these shots. I was in motion, and perhaps a video was more appropriate here, but the jolting in the car and brakes kept me away from it. The part of Beijing where we were moving was like any other metropolitan city; nothing astounding but nevertheless intriguing. It had a mix of high and low rise buildings, both new and old, and almost perfect roads. The metro line running aside us at a few places. The road was complete with signage and it did not have the familiar pot holes that are common in India. The billboards were neatly organised. I noticed the advertisements were devoid of the traditional communist pictures depicting peasants or workers with large faces. There were actually commercial ads on them. I noticed that Maxim was following the traffic lanes almost meticulously in spite of being in hurry. Even when a side lane was available free, he did not grab it. Nor he jumped a red light. I came to know later on that Chinese were disciplined on the roads, and one did notice the absence of traffic police. At the railway station The very impressive Hunan Hotel was on our right when we took a U-turn and landed on the side of the Henderson Shopping Centre. The crowd here was thin and Maxim managed to find some parking place. And then, he carried my baggage and his run for life again started. He climbed the never-ending stairs and took the over bridge to cross over to the railway station. It was a bright day and the sun shone almost on our heads. He waited at least three times on the over bridge for me to catch up. By then, I had completely forgotten that I was barred from running or lifting weight. The enthusiasm of travel to China, was ruling my mind. People, a lot of them were now around, taking care of families and forging ahead towards the entry. Large queues were built up on the booking windows and my heart sank looking at those queues. Then it all came like a bang. Maxim demanded my Passport. Apparently he wanted to collect my ticket. In a foreign country, knowing nothing about how or where to run if passport becomes missing, handicapped by language, I was thinking why couldn’t I collect the ticket myself. But placing trust on Maxim and Nataliya combination, which had worked until now, I reached out for my well protected passport, and hesitatingly handed it over to him. He pointed to the luggage and advised me to stay back and look after it. And then he sprinted to be lost in the mind-boggling crowds – which one of the queues he took I could never see. Soon he was part of the crowd; all the people looked similar to me in my confused state of mind. Presence of mind made me peek at my wrist watch. I compared it with the massive clock at the station – the time had not changed since I had adjusted it in Hong Kong. We still had enough time for the train. It must have taken Maxim a while, at least I felt so, before I saw him return, struggling through the crowds and making way to where he had left me. Perhaps he did not have the tickets in his possession. “Come quickly”, he urged me in English, “my dolzhny pereyti v drugoye okno ( We have to go to the other window) ” I think Nataliya had not explained to him exactly where the tickets would be found. This was the slip between her cup and my lip. Hurriedly, we made our way through security and were positioned before the window where the tickets were available. The girl gave me a pleasant smile though words were not exchanged between us. Mainly language, coupled with my anxiety, was the cause of it. Also my mind was preoccupied since I still did not know how far the platform would be. The platform We were now passing thru the main hall of the station. It took us about 5 minutes to arrive at a smaller enclosure meant only for the train departures. And we did not run this time and we smiled with everyone who passed by our side. This enclosure ended into a solitary gate, which was guarded by a policeman. About 50 odd people were seated on the wooden benches around, quietly waiting for the train to arrive. More were still arriving. No commotion and not even loud noises or announcements were heard. There were no signs of porters or helpers. Everybody who came up to this point was surely a traveler. The main platform was visible behind the policeman. People were allowed inside only about 10 minutes before the train departure. Mind you the whole train was to be loaded here, and what tranquility! And the train would get loaded with all passengers in just about 10 minutes. Amazing! This is the place which changed my outlook towards China and its people. Can we have similar discipline in India, and on a railways platform at that. Maxim then pointed to the clock on the wall and said “5 minutes before, you must go to entry gate”. He smilingly bid me farewell and I paid him nothing. He would not take anything. He said Nataliya had already paid him. “…. ( till we meet again)”, he uttered before parting. I will never forget him – an honest, trustworthy man who followed his mission admirably well. The mission for catching the train for on his mind right from the word go. The last bit I must tell my worried daughter my whereabouts, now. I had not managed to send her any message for almost 12 hours, and I actually did not get any time for doing it. The family must have been anguished and distressed, as much as I was. Very excitingly I approached my phone, and found it completely discharged. I looked around to see if any charging station was available, but the crowd was obstructing my view. I started to call, expecting roaming to work, and I received a message in Chinese followed by English that the phone has been switched off from service. It is here and now that I experienced my first of many pleasant episodes in China. Suddenly a young girl, all the girls in China look young, appeared from nowhere and occupied the seat next to me, on the bench. She gave me a customary pleasant smile and got busy with her phone. I must have sounded like an imbecile when I suggested, “May I use your phone”? The embarrassment was real and multiple, not only of the phone but also because I wanted to make a roaming call. And then I noted she had a battery bank in her bag, that I had peeped into. She probably understood my predicament and offered her battery bank for use. And wow, the phone saw traces of life. I could see the available Wi-Fi sites in and around the railway station. But after struggling for sometime for login in, I gave it up. I could not log in due to the password difficulties. She asked me in almost broken and dilapidated English, “Are you Yindu”? It sounded like “Are you from Hindu”? “Yes yes, I am from India”, I cleared my throat before answering. Much later, I realized in China that Indians were known as Yindus, according to their literature. We were known to be civilized people with a lot of knowledge of Buddha’s teachings and we were kind of respected by a common Chinese man. She thought for some time and asked me “Are you on email”. “Yes” I took out a paper and wrote my Gmail address. I thought may be we establish some communication. No, Gmail does not work here. Do you have QQ mail?” I thought I did not hear the word QQ properly and I could not understand that QQ could be the name of a network. So I returned a simple “No” as my answer. “Do you WeChat”? I thought she was speaking incorrect English, why did she add the word ‘We’ with ‘You’? I assumed that she asked me “Do you chat?” “Oh yes, on Facebook” She smiled again “Facebook does not work here, we use WeChat” She was quiet for some time, and kept fiddling with her phone. Suddenly I saw a glee in her eyes and she appeared on cloud nine. She had perhaps found a solution for our communication. She had logged on to “Baidu – an application that translated Chinese into English and vice-versa.” Now she was able to type in Chinese and make me read its translation in English. It was a major achievement but it did not last much time, because the train had arrived. Both of us were disappointed a bit. She asked me to show my ticket to her. I was in the last compartment. She was in the third compartment, and she expressed helplessness that we will not be in the same compartment. Then she took me to the compartment and pointed out my seat to me. Then she took my leave. For me it was a tragic end to a saga of helpfulness, all the way. For all this time her enthusiasm for establishing communication was amazing. She displayed energy levels more than an ordinary girl, even when she was probably a rural girl. For me it expressed that most of the Chinese people could be helpful. In the train some waitress similarly helped me choose a vegetarian dish, by taking me to the pantry car, and showing me what all preparations they were serving. All that I could choose from the 30 odd dishes were, Chips and Coffee. But what chips, they were roasted; and what cappuccino coffee, it was steaming. I reached Dalian at 10 pm. It was windy, cold and raining. I had left Delhi when the temperature was 40 degrees Celsius. It was freezing for me here in Dalian. Nataliya had come to receive me along with her business partner Li Batao, a Chinese man. We struggled with language, because all the three of us were using three different languages. The railway station looked dazzling in spite of the rain. Large beacons of LED lights were placed strategically on the station plaza illuminating it romantically. The raindrops dispersed these rays in different directions. We of course did not wait to see the glamour of the lights because it was late, and drove through incessant rain. They dropped me at the serviced apartment. This was the end of an eventful journey. I was reminded of Confucius and TAO. How good their teachings must have been centuries back, that they left a mark on the Chinese society forever. It is no doubt that Dalian offers a variety of landscape for anybody who comes to this wonderland, with an exploratory mind. My experience has been that it was really a bombardment of the senses: new sights and sounds, a new language to process, new customs and ways of doing things, different food, and the mix of western and Chinese culture, not to forget the pleasure of a distinct weather. Dalian – Over The Waves  Shanghai, Tianjin, Hangzhou and Hong Kong are important Chinese coastal cities, and each one is, you bet, flourishing. Dalian is another city that started making waves recently. In 1980 Deng Xiaoping called it as a “Window to Northeast”. Being a vibrant and futuristic city, it became an alternate destination for the youth of China. Dalian took almost a hundred years to come up to the level of other favored countries of the world. This is because all its past rulers supported its European framework. So we now see reminiscence of Paris, Vienna and Venice in Dalian. The culture of pubs, cafes, malls and parks is writ all over the city. It stakes claims on having intimacy with the sea (Yellow Sea), with a coastal length of 1900 kilometers. How about exploring the city in all its vicissitudes? Come with me, we start with an emotion of “Over the Waves”, in Dalian. An eventful day Little did I envisage that tomorrow would be an exciting day, as usually every day in this exciting trip was. I expected there would be no limits to my experience; new places, new people and new customs. And I was ready to take them on. In the train, on the platform at Beijing, as well as on its airport, I did not find any Indian. For example, no Sikh, Malayalli or a Jew who are reputed to be all over the map, were found. And there were no Indian students as is expected in countries like Russia, Belarus and China. The reason for their truancy is primarily the difficulty in language. Will it be the same harrowing experience for me as well, I feared; or will I score over them? It was my first morning in China. I slept as soon as I had arrived. To be let down by lethargy or jet lag was not what I wanted. I opened eyes in the morning without any such indolence or inertia. It was drizzling outside. It was more like a winter morning in Himachal Pradesh in India. And what a welcome change it was from the heat and dust of Delhi. Last night’s chill was in my bones still, and I understood that my attire needed attention. If it was not done right away, my adventurous trip might become an insipid memoir. So buying a warm jacket popped up on my shopping list, wherein a hat was earlier on the top. But first, a cup of coffee deserved my attention, and I expected a different taste and flavor here. It is the same distinction everywhere during my travels; in USA, Canada, UK, Europe, Russia, Belarus etc. And I was certainly not disappointed even here. Sitting on the armchair, I scanned the view outside my window. I was put up in a serviced apartment and I thought it was just the right place for accommodation. It might and it did, give me a reasonable excuse to interact with the locals. Looking out I saw a few elderly men sitting on three wooden benches and chatting. They shared jokes and were oblivious to a traveler watching them. Four or five kids, were playing. Most of them were no doubt early risers. Even in the cold weather! To sum up the morning set my mood to be just what it should be on the first day. I was ready to receive my hosts Nataliya and Li Batao. They were arriving soon. The first meeting When Li Batao and Nataliya arrived I saw them walking from my window. They looked smart and purposeful. Li Batao looked more enthusiastic than Nataliya because it was the first time that he was going to interact with an Indian. Later I learnt that Mahatma Gandhi and Indian traditions were on his mind for a long time, and he sought a lot of information on them from me. Nataliya had visited me in India before and was rid of the illusion that monkeys and snakes ruled the roast, on the Indian roads. And I certainly did not want to tell them about the cows thereupon, because cows deserved more respect than be seen looking for grass on the roads. And they all had a mystery as to why we treated the ‘cow’ as mother. “Ni Hao and Dobroye Utro” were exchanged with me respectively as they entered the room and scanned it from all angles. I ushered them in with a smile but was confused about which language I must answer their greetings in. “Good Morning” was the safe bet from my side; at least this they must be knowing, since they were from the corporate. “How was the night” she asked in Russian. “Well I slept like a log” I replied smilingly and offered them coffee. “That is understandable. It was a long flight. Three legs,” stated Li Batao, participating in our discussion. They refused the coffee offer, “We are done with our breakfast and let us not waste any time here”. “In a moment” I said scanning at the attire they were in. Must I match it or chose my own options. They were kind of well prepared for windy, hot and cold weathers. So I did the same. I ensured that I will not be frozen as I was yesterday. And of course I reminded myself that the first available opportunity, I will buy a jacket. They perhaps had a plan but what it was, they did not share. This usually happened on later occasions as well. They assumed that anything would be okay with me since I was new to the city, and in my position I thought it served as a good surprise. The action begins We were starting from Yanan Lu, a residential-cum-commercial area in the downtown zone. The roads in China are called ‘LU’ and the streets ‘JIE’. What a pleasant view it was. The sky was overcast, tall buildings visible hazily on the higher floors, the roads washed in rain, and raindrops still trickling down the trees. They made a heavenly picture especially for a traveler from the hot country as India is. I took a few photographs but was not satisfied with the light. Here are some of those. The first building, an administrative office of the government, became a nostalgic crescendo later, and looked quite different and amazing on other days. Misty Picture Focused Picture We grappled and sailed through the office going traffic. The cars moved a bit slower than the normal because of wet roads. Those who did not want to risk driving were seen cheerfully waiting for the public transports. Ladies were seen struggling with the umbrellas turning inside-out due to the incessant strong winds. The office goers and shop owners drove cars whereas probably the sales girls took to the buses. The buses were almost new and no scares were seen on their bodies. Raindrops formed a fuzzy screen on their large windows. On the whole the people looked happy on the roads due to a good quality of life they were leading. This was the first casual impression of mine that day. His Volkswagen Passat was 12 years old and it must have taken pains to save it from scratches. As its driver he appeared to be a bit jerky in that disorderly traffic, because everyone was in a hurry for office. But he did not jump any traffic lights. We were passing on the Zhongshan road when I observed a long stretch of trees with pink flowers. They were drooling over the brims of the roads. “What do you call these flowers” I asked Li Batao, they appeared familiar to me. “Sakura, this is the season” he broke out in English. “I also saw white flowers” I inquired. “Those are the Acacia” I knew that it is a famous and popular species in many countries. For example, in Cyprus and Greece it takes a bright yellow color and here it was in a vibrant white. It is also a popular name for products, cafes and people. It was my good luck that I chose the month of May for my trip, rather inadvertently. This is just the time when the Japanese Cherries and Acacia florets bloom luxuriously. They cover the entire city. I suggest that you too chose this month for your travel. “Do you like Sakura”? asked Nataliya. “Who would not like it Nataliya? Hundreds of grandiose pictures of Sakura take up the Google pages” I reflected. “Though we cannot see google here but you will see them in real by the millions” added Nataliya. And she was right. For the last about 5 minutes or so, on both the sides of the road and streets, I could see a barrage of them. They were absorbing every foot of the streets and it appeared nature had descended to paint the city pink and white. Somewhere, the sunlight fell on tree tops and some other places it filtered through the branches reflecting pinkness everywhere. I wondered why this city was not named as “pink city”. It had the necessary natural ingredients; unlike the pink city of Jaipur in India where pinkness is imparted by stones and paint. The Olympic Square area Li Batao continued to drive at a very comfortable speed and I kept clicking. The end of downtown was marked by the absence of tall buildings, and the view opened up for medium sized buildings and small parks surrounding these. We just passed a plaza called the “People Square” and a musical garden in its vicinity. Then we entered a vast open plaza, which Li Batao announced was the Olympic Square. “Is China hosting another Olympics”, I asked rather naively. “Yes we are bidding for the 2024 Olympics. In 2022 Asian games will be played here”. “So why is this Olympic Square been constructed already”? “No, no. This is an old construction. It was made for the 2008 Beijing Olympics”. What a tremendous maintenance of the monuments. Notice the 5 rings of the continents in the Olympic Square in the adjoining picture. It appeared as if painted yesterday, although I think the last night’s rain took some credit for it. The sizes of these monuments were humongous and all of them had parking space for thousands of cars. I felt belittled as our politicians in India were not the least worried about maintaining our glorious monuments and our people, worse. We are almost a century behind them in this respect. Somebody must shake our politicians a bit. I asked Li Batao the name of that road. “It is Zhongshan Road” replied Nataliya, “It is one of the main roads in Dalian”. “Zhongshan” I repeated 5 to 10 times in order to remember and pronounce this name. The “Golden Gate” Bay Bridge of Dalian While I was in my day dreaming sequence of everything conceivable about the Olympics and number of golds won by the Chinese in that Olympics, the car took a turn and we swiftly entered a tunnel. My dream sequence was disrupted. I rearranged myself on the seat bracing up to see what was happening around. The ambient light had changed from a bright sunshine to dimmed, but it was adequate inside the tunnel. The tunnel was called Lotus Hill. “A while later we would be exposed to a breathtaking view”. He added and he smiled. There traffic was flowing in both the directions, in 4 channels each way. The car headlights were dimmed and they all moved like robots, probably aware of the police cameras and videos around. No one violated the rules. In a while we started seeing light at the end of tunnel. We were going to approach a different spectacle as is customary in long tunnels. But things took a turn for the worse. It was poles apart from what was promised by Li Batao. The other side of the tunnel opened into a buttermilk sky. It was shrouded in clouds and the visibility was almost zero. The road was meandering continuously. I wondered how Li Batao would drive under that handicap. But other drivers were also under a similar impairment. They all slowed down a bit but a continuous speed of about 50 Kilometers was still maintained. The clouds were coming back on us as we pierced through them. Jokingly I said “this is like sailing through the clouds in a plane”. The camera that I had prepared for capturing the change of scene was in vain. Nothing was visible. And this tenure of driving hazard continued for a while. We sensed that we were moving on a road that had pillars flying past us. Were we on a bridge? It lasted a while; probably 5 minutes and the pillars were still flying past us. It appeared that this portion of drive was futile today. Any other day it might be worthwhile. So I posed a question to Li Batao, most hesitatingly, “You mentioned a change of scene, but there is no scene here”. “Yes, Li Batao this is worthless. Let us go back” Nataliya suggested. I perceived that she had not been here before and was no longer enthusiastic about it, because nothing was actually visible. Li Batao could not take a reverse turn on a continuously flowing highway traffic. We all had to wait a bit longer for the stop. But this wait proved advantageous. The clouds suddenly started to wander away and we saw better light at a distance, all around. We could now see the silhouettes of tall buildings at the horizon through the front window. And from the rear window some edifices started to emerge on the starboard side of the bridge. A beautiful scene was being manifested, as the car moved on. “Look, on both sides we are crossing the bay”, and we started to see that we were on top of the sea waves. It was a suspension bridge and it was about to end. When Li Batao reduced the speed to take a left turn, we saw waves trampling and pounding on the sea shore. Even though the car speed was low, the light was still not enough for a photograph; and surely not for the capture of the distant town on the right side. Some parts were still covered under clouds. One building was conspicuous, though. It was the Castle hotel, that we see on Google. My daughter had insisted that I will bring more photos of this Castle from close quarters. The mood of car occupants changed for the better. I asked Li Batao, “Where are we headed”? “It is the new embankment. We call it new Dalian”. The clouds had thinned out and the view of on and around the suspension bridge was firming up. It seemed alluring. “So why not take a good look at the landscape and the spectacle”, I suggested. This prompted Li Batao to pull over the car and park in an open space, a vacant uninhabited area. New roads were laid out in that space. We all came out of the car. We needed fresh air perhaps. That perspective provided a panoramic view, almost 360 degrees were rendered. Two views were laid out on either side of the bridge. One side was the famous Xinghai Square – the largest square in an urban area in the world, and the other side was the Yellow Sea. They were separated from each other by the Xinghai Bay Bridge, which I called as the Golden Gate Bridge in the heading of this text. A few photographs are called for here. Wanda Sea Mansions – The newer side of Dalian “Yonder there! A change of scene, the new Dalian residences” his comment came with a kind of show off. For me the old Dalian was impressive enough. It was based on French style and European architecture. What more could be further anticipated. My mind was not in the saddle for seeing newer buildings, just because they were new. I wanted to engrave instead whatever I had seen for the last half an hour or so. But he seemed excited. Here are some pictures of the new Dalian environs. Li Batao then, got back into the car and continued traversing this beautifully constructed neighborhood. They called it “Wanda Sea Mansions”. The circumscribing road had all the required signage and was colorfully flanked by cobblestone roads on for the foot walkers. We continued driving around those buildings and the shopping areas. It was nice, peaceful and not many people were visible on the roads. Perhaps it was not fully occupied and probably possessions were awaited. I was reminded of an article that appeared in Yahoo in Dec-2015, describing the “Ghost Towns of China”. Could it be one such town? It did not seem though. There may not be many people residing here, yet. But the buildings were far from being empty. Many cars were seen on the roads and rich people were seen entering into these buildings. Chinese are reputed to be making high rise structures, and they are apt to it. They complete a high rise building with super quality in about 18 months. And their aim is not to project richness but effluence that is bourgeois. I thought our trip must have ended. It was more than two hours of driving and we must return too. But Li Batao had other plans. He had ample energy. The drive through the forests “Do you like the forests” he questioned everyone simultaneously. And who would not. Particularly in those northern hemisphere parts of the world. I hesitated a bit answering that question, thinking that he had already done enough kilometers that day. But Nataliya had no such inhibition. So, we pressed on. After driving for about half an hour, we passed a township that looked like a painting from the road side. It was about 2 or 3 Kilometers away from the road, and we all appreciated it. Everyone made a comment. It was surrounded by water from a river of some kind and it had a backdrop of hills. Not far from this place we started seeing a scene change. The landscape transformed. Water canals or may be rivers, were crossed. Li Batao mentioned that we were now in the surroundings of forests. The forests here did not rise enough for a forest in the northern hemisphere. These were shallow tree clusters surrounded by some sort of a lake or a river trained by a small damn. The road was neither a highway nor a boulevard but more like a freeway, high speed but low traffic. It did not have a road divider. It was so clean and the trees obliged it, by not throwing even one leaf on it. A toilet sign appeared by the roadside and Li Batao offered a visit to the powder room, he said,” It is a nice place”. Before they could refuse the offer I quickly grabbed the opportunity for photography. I had sensed it to be a great place for the photography and I was not disappointed. I said “Why not. Let us”. Li Batao took a sharp turn towards the right and brought the car to a well-constructed parking area. We almost jumped out of the car, and spread out in all directions. Our bewilderment ran wild as the spot progressively reveled its beauty. The naked nature had generously placed at the disposal of man a landscape to have a crack with his creativity. And people had not done a bad job of it. The signboards read “Dalian Western Suburb” and the lake “Tang Li”. The first attraction was the trees with pink, yellow and white flowers, literally drooling over the branches. They say a picture is worth a thousand words and I do the same here. Secondly, we found a small number of families engaged in routine Chinese activities popular in parks, that is cards, eating and tents pitched for the children. Like many foreign countries people bring their own chairs and tables to the park and take them back after use, leaving the place neat and tidy. The children were aged less than 6 or 7 years and mother helped them. Everything was going on in a disciplined manner. Then we turned our attention to the port side of the road. This was a lake artificially constructed by the engineers, that had three large objects placed inside water, a giant wheel, a tower and a king of pier. They were placed against the back drop of a few mountains, not very large. A dam was visible at a distance. And on the banks we found a beautifully carved wooden resort, a pagoda like structure and a café. There was a spherical body, a large one, that was a collection of bushes and flowers, and it served as an object of photography. There were many people around and good looking smart girls as well. We were all engaged in clicking photographs using camera and telephones, since no one wanted to be left behind without a personal photograph of this stunning location. I, being an inquisitive photographer, did not miss to click a structure which reminded me of the statue of Christ the Redeemer in Brazil, Rio De Janeiro. Over the waves We made a return from this heavenly Tang Li lake after about an hour. On the way we encountered villagers selling their fruits on the roads, a sight quite common in many places in India. In the end I would call the first day in China as “Over the Waves”, a nostalgic song for the accordion that I played in my youth. We were over the waves of the Yellow Sea first and then over them as the silent waves in Tang Li lake. I was told there were many locations in Dalian, where the sea met the beaches. The sea was violent sometime and the waves splattered when they dashed into the cemented promenade as in Xinghai square 800 meters bow shaped beach. And they were suddenly quiet in Tang Li. Kenny Ausubel: Imagining Our Way Out of the Unimaginable Kenny Ausubel is an award-winning social entrepreneur, author, journalist and filmmaker. He is the Founder and CEO of Bioneers, the internationally recognized nonprofit dedicated to disseminating breakthrough solutions for restoring people and planet. He launched the annual Bioneers Conference in 1990 with his business partner and wife Nina Simons, Bioneers Co-Founder and President. Kenny is a writer, filmmaker and media professional. Since 2004, he has served as executive producer and co-writer of the award-winning international radio series The Bioneers: Revolution From the Heart of Nature. He acted as a central advisor to Leonardo DiCaprio’s feature documentary, The 11th Hour, and appears in the film. He has written four books and edited several volumes of the Bioneers anthology book series. His most recent book Dreaming the Future: Reimagining Civilization in the Age of Nature (Chelsea Green 2012) won the Nautilus Grand Gold prize in the Ecology-Environment category. He writes for the Huffington Post. Transcript is available here: https://medium.com/@bioneers/imagining-our-way-224bad415134#.iehjp7i6c. Since 1990, Bioneers has acted as a fertile hub of social and scientific innovators with practical and visionary solutions for the world’s most pressing environmental and social challenges. Bioneers: www.bioneers.org The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  June 2017 Disruptive Technology Trends with Hardy F Schloer moderated byMustafa Chaudhry Sometimes changes creep up on us. Will humans evolve into cyborgs? Well, if you think about how much you do through your smartphone, and how you rely on it to communicate (without speech, in general), and to make things happen in your life, then perhaps much of the transition to cyborg is already behind us and we just need the final touches to the interface (chip in the brain etc.). And what about the way we interact with the internet to get the goods we want? It is argued here that the internet-based marketplace is evolving (and AI will accelerate this) into a reactive entity where the needs and desires of people actively and rapidly affect what is offered, even what is made. Suggestive of the merging of the human mind (or minds) with computers. It makes one wonder – where do the boundaries lie? . – Paul Holister for more information click hereJune 2017 The Future Now Show Deep sea mining Deep sea mining is a relatively new mineral retrieval process that takes place on the ocean floor. Ocean mining sites are usually around large areas of polymetallic nodules or active and extinct hydrothermal vents at 1,400 to 3,700 metres (4,600 to 12,100 ft) below the ocean’s surface. – Wikipedia Source: Greenpeace USA Should we be mining the seabed for minerals? British scientists have announced what they are calling an “astonishing” discovery deep in the Atlantic Ocean.They found that an underwater mountain near the Canary Islands holds some of the richest deposits of rare minerals anywhere on Earth. Deep-sea mining could transform the globeby The Economist News about the Future Artificial Intelligence 2017: Top 100 Influencers, Brands and Publications Artificial intelligence – or AI – is a true part of our world, as well as a substantial hub of interest for science and business. Companies are ferociously investing in, engaging in and including artificial intelligence in their operations. It is a fascinating technology that enables new options for companies, from detecting security intrusions to anticipating future consumer purchases. Some significant moves from tech giants to acquire AI competitiveness have been made in the past five years. This includes the creation of Microsoft Ventures’ fund for AI startups and Uber’s acquisition of AI startup Geometric Intelligence; both in December 2016, Apple acquiring Emotient in early 2016, Google buying Deepmind for $400 million in 2014, and IBM pairing up with Nvidia to enable faster responses for the cognitive Fiber Optic fabric, Luminous fabric items for decor & fashion “Our products & illuminated fabric can be used for making the ultimate fashion statement, for special events decoration, for weddings, for marketing & promotional items, for luminous stage costumes & entertainment, for parties, for luxury interior decoration of Homes, Hotels, Night Clubs, Retail outlets, for luminous signage, for creating innovative furniture,… as well as in many industrial applications. We can provide our fiber optic fabric (illuminated fabric), for your projects in the field of fashion & clothing, interior decoration, special events, promotional items or industrial applications. Our products are designed and made in Europe.” Digital Fabrication Technologies The advancement of CNC production methods such as 3D printing is happening hand-in-hand with the increased computational power needed to calculate these high-resolution forms. For the first time, geometric complexity is no longer an impediment, but through its malleability it offers opportunity. Architecture is now at a critical moment: Material can be synthesized and customized, and bits can be rendered to reality. Digital production methods are at the threshold of enabling the materialization of complexity at a full scale and an ultra-high resolution. Instead of using these technologies to mimic former details and concepts, architecture has to explore this new paradigm in a most radical and open manner. Benjamin Dillenburger is a practicing architect and assistant professor in architecture at the John H. Daniels Faculty of Architecture, Landscape and Design at the University of Toronto. He previously worked as a senior lecturer in the CAAD group at Swiss Federal Institute of Technology’s architecture department in Zurich. Benjamin was finalist of the MoMA PS1 Young Architects Program 2015. His projects include the Digital Grotesque installation at the FRAC Archilab 2013 exhibition. He recently exhibited work at the Design Exchange Museum Toronto and the Art Basel / Design Miami. Revolutionizing the way we build via digital fabrication technologies | Benjamin Dillenburger Recommended Book Adults In The Room: My Battle With Europe’s Deep Establishmentby Yanis Varoufakis What happens when you take on the establishment? In this blistering, personal account, world-famous economist Yanis Varoufakis blows the lid on Europe’s hidden agenda and exposes what actually goes on in its corridors of power. Varoufakis sparked one of the most spectacular and controversial battles in recent political history when, as finance minister of Greece, he attempted to re-negotiate his country’s relationship with the EU. Despite the mass support of the Greek people and the simple logic of his arguments, he succeeded only in provoking the fury of Europe’s political, financial and media elite. But the true story of what happened is almost entirely unknown – not least because so much of the EU’s real business takes place behind closed doors. In this fearless account, Varoufakis reveals all: an extraordinary tale of brinkmanship, hypocrisy, collusion and betrayal that will shake the deep establishment to its foundations. As is now clear, the same policies that required the tragic and brutal suppression of Greece’s democratic uprising have led directly to authoritarianism, populist revolt and instability throughout the Western world. Adults In The Room is an urgent wake-up call to renew European democracy before it is too late. Melting of Greenland Prof. Dr. Konrad SteffenDirector, Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSLProfessor, Inst. Atmosphere & Climate, ETH-ZürichProfessor, Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, EPF-Lausanne My general interest is the study of processes related to climate and cryosphere interaction in polar and alpine regions based on in-situ and satellite measurements, and using climate system modeling to study their sensitivity. In particular I study and evaluate sea level changes and sensitivity studies of large ice sheets using in situ and modeling results. The Earth’s poles are fundamental to the planet’s climate balance, and learning more about how they work through research is crucial. Every May, I travel to Western Greenland to the Swiss Camp, where our team has been collecting data on snow cover, ice and the atmosphere with various instruments since 1990. The Melting of Greenland: Prof Konrad Steffen (March 2017) Futurist Portrait: Daniel Simon Daniel Simon is a German-born concept designer, author, and producer, with professional roots as a senior designer at Bugatti and Volkswagen. Clients include Warner Bros., Universal, Disney, Lotus, and SpaceX. After working in Spain, England, Brazil, and Japan, Simon settled in Los Angeles, where he focuses his acclaimed style on creating iconic fantasy vehicles for Hollywood blockbuster films such as Tron: Legacy, Captain America: The First Avenger, Prometheus, and Oblivion. He also offers automotive-design services, lectures, and works on his own vehicle-centered fantasy worlds, available as books: Cosmic Motors™ and The Timeless Racer®. Daniel Simon: Conceptual Designer and Automotive Futurist (Part 1) The future of money, trade and finance – Chris Skinner, at USI printable version

196 Club of Amsterdam Journal Header 650 x 200 1 - Club of Amsterdam

Club of Amsterdam Journal, July / August 2017, Issue 196

Content Trip to China with Mike Rana – Part II Countries of the world – put pressure on the United Nations! by Christer Nylander The Future Now Show: Global Marketplace with Hardy F Schloer Unbelievable Intelligence of Plants News about the Future: Palgrave Studies of Sustainable Business in Africa / New EU Commission transport modernisation initiatives The Block Research Group Recommended Book: Brilliant Green Autonomous Rail Rapid Transit ULTRANOW Briefings Futurist Portrait: Jane McGonigal Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal. “Sometimes changes creep up on us. Will humans evolve into cyborgs? Well, if you think about how much you do through your smartphone, and how you rely on it to communicate (without speech, in general), and to make things happen in your life, then perhaps much of the transition to cyborg is already behind us and we just need the final touches to the interface (chip in the brain etc.). And what about the way we interact with the internet to get the goods we want? It is argued here that the internet-based marketplace is evolving (and AI will accelerate this) into a reactive entity where the needs and desires of people actively and rapidly affect what is offered, even what is made. Suggestive of the merging of the human mind (or minds) with computers. It makes one wonder – where do the boundaries lie?” – Paul Holister The Future Now Show: Global Marketplace with Hardy F Schloer “ULTRANOW briefings by Lise Voldeng are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously.ULTRANOW briefings are brought to you by Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. and UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. UAI is an accelerator. We train individuals to lead themselves, their lives, their organizations, and their countries with joyous, prosperous integrity. We forecast developments across every sector of civilization. We develop product solutions for every sector of civilization. And we invest in, advise, and mentor individuals and organizations.”Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Trip to China with Mike Rana – Part II by Mike RanaCreative Head & Founder, eFingertip, Consultant Social NetworkingMumbai, Maharashtra, India Dalian – An easy cityDalian – The populaceDalian – The forest zoo Read also in the Club of Amsterdam Journal, June 2017, Issue 195 China – 3 HopsDalian Over The Waves Dalian – The easy city  Dalian competes well with the most glamorous cities of the world. I found it more glittery and flashy than what people told me. Now, after my visit, I know that it’s more captivating and mysterious than whatever they wrote. Does it allure you too to visit Dalian? Probably it does. I’m sure you’d consult Google before you plan your visit. But maps shouldn’t be your only reference. Goggle maps are dependable but Google itself is blocked in China. Lonely Planet hasn’t published a guide for Dalian. In Dalian, it might take you a few days to lay hands on an English tourist map. If you don’t wanna be disoriented, you better carry some information on printouts or on the pen drive. Otherwise, down the memory lane, after you return, you might continue to miss Dalian, as an enigma. Does it have history Dalian is unlike the heavily traveled Beijing, Xi’an or Hangzhou. Those cities are dominated by palaces, temples and museums, which emphasize their long history and rich culture. In contrast, Dalian in the Liaoning peninsula, is a dynamic, vibrant and modern city. A hundred years back it was just a fishermen’s village, and look where it has reached. It now boasts of a maritime extravaganza, a shipping yard and a locomotive factory. And it has a lot of high rise buildings, parks and eateries. In 2007 February, it was granted the title of “China Best Tourist City” and Google called it “The most livable city in China”. The first half of these years saw power struggles between Russian, Japanese and Chinese, but now with China becoming a super power, Dalian has its singular status. Being declared a sister city of many similar cities like Vancouver, Vladivostok, Glasgow and others, there is enough potential for Dalian’s further development and tourism. But for me St Petersburg in Russia, should be called its twin city. There are very many reasons for that statement. Both the cities are ports and Dalian is more befitting as a harbor because the sea water does not freeze here, as in St Petersburg. It remains functional throughout the year. A related painting at Dalian Museum Emotionally, the residents in both these cities carry history in their heads. If St Petersburg (erstwhile Leningrad) suffered at the hands of Germans, Dalian’s previous generations also took the onslaught of misery of the struggles for power. If Leningraders get the credit of recovering from the wintry torture of the German seize (more than two years i.e. 1941 until 1943), which took them three generations, I think Dalianites will do it only in two generations. I’ve personally seen the first generation suffer in Russia and the one-night turmoil that took place when the old Ruble was converted to the new one. I shudder to think of the pensioners when their savings of life time were reduced to rubble overnight. Most of them were unable to buy a pair of shoes from their rainy day funds. It was a government-inflicted poverty, on which no one dared raise voices. How would you feel if you’re in that situation, and overnight at that? I was so moved at their impasse that I framed the old Ruble note, and kept it hanging as a souvenir in my office. It does remind me pitifully, of the so called pensionary funds, which are so fragile in the hands of the governments. I am myself a pensioner. Dalian too bore the brunt of smaller wars than the World War II, and the suffering on people was no less, – poverty, food shortages, and deaths. Thought, this agony was not emphasized in the world. May be China was hidden behind a metaphorical wall. I empathized and fell in love with these hapless residents in both the cities in my very first visit. I’ve seen them recover, and something tells me that the present generation of vibrant youth, coupled with modern internet facilities and international travels, would probably turn out equal if not better than St Petersburg. Major Benchmarks in the City All maps give you a static impression of a city. They show the placement of different benchmarks and if you’re quick-witted, you can memorize them. But it is important that, as a traveler, you grasp a mental picture instead, and do that rather quickly. That mental abstract helps you through the streets and corners of the city in your day to day wanderings. For example, in Delhi you memorize everything with reference to Ring Road, or in Paris Eiffel tower is the relevant vantage point. There were two such roads that always rang a bell in my mind in Dalian. Roads and Plazas One of them, is the Renmin road that extends from the Gangwan square to the Zhongshan square, about 4 KM long. It houses a lot of the high-rise buildings such as the Shangri-La hotel, the New Friendship Store and the like. The road presents a breathtaking view of the modern architecture, and walking on it merges you with the commoners on the street. Beyond the Zhongshan square, it extends to Zhongshan road. Brand shops at Zhongshan Area The other one is the Binhai (coastal) road, a stretch of 30 kilometers, that leads you through the sea resorts and beaches of the city. What do you think of a city that has a coastal line of about 1900 kilometers? Not a city; to me it is more like an island. Being on that road a few times, was indeed a pleasure. If you miss this road, then Dalian will remain just another metropolitan city of the lots, in your memories. Your entire travel could concentrate on or around just these two roads and you’d have covered half of the city. Most of the plazas or squares for example, Shengli (Victory) Plaza, Olympic Square, Gangwan (Bay Square in English), YouHao (Friendship) square, Xiwang (Hope) square, Renmin (popularly known as Stalin) square, Xinghai (represents the reunion of Hong Kong to mainland China) are all on these roads. Whether you stay for a week or a month, these very names will be reverberating in your mind. You can easily configure the bus routes based on these concepts of squares and radial roads. One benchmark which you can’t shut eyes to is the flyover that converts the Jeifang road to Wuhui road. The 5-star Kempinski hotel standing majestically on this turn marks the beginning of the Wuhui street. Whether you pass over it at night or in the day time you’ll simply be overawed by its glamour. If you’re not dazzled by the night illumination pampered by the hotels Meridian, Swish or Parkland, you will certainly be blown away by the gold tinted sea food restaurant which stand shoulder to shoulder to the Meridian. And what to speak of the of array of car headlights at night or when there is downpour. It is simply astounding. You cannot but choose to pass on or around the flyover. Style and Architecture The city follows the Paris style layout. Radials roads stretch between each plaza, square or space. Because in modern times such roads are prone to traffic congestion, therefore designers tend to arrange construction in avenues and blocks as in New York, Toronto or Chandigarh in India. So if you take a wrong road you could be drastically diverting from your intended destination, and returning back to the starting point will be the only choice, whether you take or leave it. Historically both the Russians and the Japanese preferred to build Dalian as a regal and majestic city, and they both followed this style. Maybe they didn’t expect such voluminous growth. And now the Chinese are continuing with the same paradigm, only they make them imposing in size. Zhongshan Square Bus stops To say that the roads and public transport infrastructure is excellent, is an understatement. The buses are in abundance and frequency of their plying is countless. The beauty is that multiple routes can be chosen for the same destination. On a major bus stop you’ll find multiple sub-bus stops, each for a different destination. If you know the destination then choose the direct route, but if not as I was in the beginning, you choose any route and you will reach your destination somehow or the other, by indirect routes. On every sub-bus stop, which may be within a few meters of each other, there is a route chart depicted on beautifully designed displays. They appear neater than a billboard. The only information lacking on these may be the maps or photographs. No commercial ads are vandalizing or defacing their surfaces, as they invariably do in India. These charts have two sides, on one side is inscribed the route in Chinese and the other side is in English. Every bus-stops in the route appears on these displays and the current stop is highlighted. If you read the display upwards, you get the route in the reverse order (that is all the stops which went past up to this point) and if you read downwards you get the stops that are forthcoming on the way ahead. So looking at all the displays on the bus-stops, you can determine which bus must be taken for a particular location. You don’t have to ask for help, if you know the name of the place that you wanna visit. Of course every stop follows a queue and one Yuan is collected from every passenger by the driver, in a box placed for this purpose. No body travels without ticket. And if you make a mistake, get down anywhere and change over to the new route. It is well affordable at 1 Yuan per trip. Cars and Public Transport And cars! you name a brand and it is there in Dalian. I found Bentley and Porsche with young girls on wheels. Both sides of the roads and streets were lined up with abundance of cars. Mercedes all models, BMW’s, Volkswagen, Volvo, Toyota and Nissan and almost all form of SUV’s are parked on both the sides. I didn’t fail to notice, and you too will find, that they were brilliantly polished and shining. And what a surprise, sometime the ladies were seen taking up the role in the car care. I’s so excited at the array and brands of cars on display, that a special section for cars and public transports was crafted in my portfolio of photographs. The cars take turns for parking; in day time the office goers park near their offices and they return at night to park close to their residences. Amazing that they find adequate space, and each parking bay is marked with paint or with bricks. I think it is a good arrangement and I wish we followed it in India. There were however excellent parking spaces in the bottom three floors of high rise buildings. Taxi drivers. they do not cheat as in other countries, probably they don’t find fresh tourists in their day to day operations. Everyone is aware of what price one should be paying for one’strip. The taxi driver is assured of 10 Yuan every trip. So why would he cheat. There are very little metros in Dalian. Out of the proposed 5 lines only one works for the time being, and I guess they aren’t emphasizing on them. Since the other systems are working without glitches. Some places within the downtown area, are connected with trams. Two types exist; one the classic type – the older version and another the newer type – the modern looking. Pricing Euphoria Yuan is the currency in China. The distinction between the terms renminbi and yuan is similar to that between sterling and pound, which respectively refer to the British currency and its primary unit. Aren’t you surprised that the one trip on local bus costs only 1 Yuan (about Rs 10) and the taxi fare varies between 10 Yuan to 30 Yuan. The local train fares are similar. Won’t it allure you to be in Dalian, and travel around? It is far too little than in Europe or in America. Are you crazy, the whole of the Dalian city can be traversed in taxi by spending less than 500 Rupees? Conclusion If what I described to you is Greek and Latin, or Chinese, you could explore the city yourself and find pleasure in abundance. Dalian – The populace  Another Day After a few days of rain, it took a break. A day without drizzle or drops. An ideal one for grocery and fruit shopping. People turned out in large numbers. The array of drench coats or wind-cheaters was probably tucked up in their messenger bags. And their shoes wore a decent sight. They were carefree about the drizzle but were equipped for a downpour. I decided to take a day off from my driving to do some solitary roaming. The humidity was restrained, the winds tolerable and the sun coolly bright. Nataliya had thought of an umbrella for me which found a convenient place in a shoulder pouch, that I was carrying every time I stepped out. It was the smartest article in my inventory of travel gear and took care of any impulse buying that I was vulnerable to. And when I walked out, my jeans blended me in the crowds. I carried a makeshift map which I’d purchased on the roadside yesterday. It had a serious handicap. It was in Chinese. It made no head nor tail to me. I couldn’t even hold it straight in the right direction. But Nataliya had marked a glaring bold spot on it, big as life, that indicated where I must return at the end of the day. It wasn’t for me but for a benevolent soul whoever wanted to help me. It came in very handy with the taxi fellows. My exit from the apartment was welcomed by children who were kicking up their heels along with their dog in the garden. The dog and the tiny tots were almost identical in size. They looked lovely. They smiled, even their dog. Were they expecting a Ne Hao from me? Sure they were, but I simply clicked a photograph in return. My walk wasn’t a slow stroll but it had pace in it, like an average Chinese. They all walked briskly unlike most of us in India. We tend to crawl even in an emergency, that is what we are. They bear with the traffic signals whereas we try to guide them instead. The only abhorrence that I found was that some of them spoke aloud even when they talked normally. Perhaps it was in their language. In a couple of minutes, I came to a spot where the road divided into two. On the left was the downtown which I’d no intention of walking early in the morning, so I took the right side. Again I reached a crossing in about 5 minutes, and my gut feel told me that the area on the left was promising. It was either the Renyi or the Nashan Jie. It did not matter so I wheeled left and pressed on. As anticipated the down-slope led me to a smallish plaza with an imposing building on the left and a smaller glamorous one on the right. The left was a hospital and the right was a language school. English School An impulse thronged me towards the school. Two adjoining buildings had impressive exteriors and they looked great. In an alien country, the sight of the three familiar words “Century English School”, were inviting. It was not a school like schools per se, but was a house which used its large compound and was extremely well decorated. Sure it could attract students. For me, it was almost an ultimate hangout for a foreigner. There were not many people inside, as I learnt later, it was closed for some holidays. I was greeted by a smartly dressed receptionist but I failed to speak even Ne Hao, I had still not mastered the accent. I was in a bit of quandary about what my inquiry should be. She took the initiative and asked me if I want to teach (Jiao) or learn (Xuéxí), she used the following construct “Do you want to learn English or teach” “Ni xiang xuéxí yingyu huò jiào”? These words ‘teach and learn’ are the two of the difficult words to understand for a foreigner. For example, I still get confused when I have to use these words in Russian. “Whether I should say “Ochit for learn” or “Ochat for teach” I simply took for granted that confusion was prevailing and I said “yes yes.” The smile was her best bet, and she used it very aptly. She left her seat and went inside to seek help. I used this time for scanning the room and the photos that were displayed. There were as many as six instructors on them. They all appeared to me expatriates from England or Canada. A few minutes later an immaculately dressed man appeared and he asked, “How can I help you, Sir”? The six words that he spoke were enough to let me know that his English was perfect. I did not think he was a Chinese or if he was, he was well brought up in English. I was a bit nervous about my Indian accent but I knew that when it came to grammar I would beat him hollow. I asked without hesitation, “Could I take up an assignment for teaching, here”? my accentuated English accent was clear in my speech. He was a bit surprised since he assumed me to be just a tourist or a migrant and wanting to learn Chinese. I noticed that the receptionist was smiling, I don’t know whether she underrated my English or she was intrigued that I wanted to learn Chinese. “Right now our school is closed for vacations and its Principal is away to Beijing. You must speak to her. She will return on 6 of May”. This was bit encouraging, because he did not reject me outright. Perhaps there was shortage of an English teacher and perhaps he thought my personality was enough for the students. I returned his admiration by saying, “Oh Yes I will. I like this building”. He was all smiles as he bid me farewell. He did not forget to remind me again, “Maria would return in the first week”. Later I saw some other schools that taught foreign languages and had the option of teaching Chinese as well. And they were all very well laid out. Before I left I thought of asking him if there was a worthy place in the vicinity for a tourist. “Yes of course. We have an exquisite children’s park right down the lane. You may like to walk up to the next crossing and then take a right turn”. This was my time to thank him and the girl. My quest for exploration continued. I had the hospital to visit first. Hospitals There is a lot to be said about the hospitals and nursing homes. But equal dilemma exists about which system of medicine’s the best to administer. Like the Greek, the Chinese alternate systems compete well with the Indian Ayurveda systems. The most important attribute may perhaps be the cost associated when life and death is not in question. Thanks to Google, I’ve seen very senior doctors surfing the net to search for the right medicine. Exactly the same dilemma came to my mind when I saw the two hospitals in Dalian. Looking at the pictures I was tempted by the traditional medication provided by the second hospital. That appeared more glamorous and two receptionists were positioned right at the entry to ease patients. But not many Chinese go into hospitals. Is it because they’re healthier than I had imagined or they have alternate systems of medicines. The age does not show on their faces and they do not limp while walking. A Chinese Traditional Hospital Park Entry During my sojourn in Dalian of a month, parks and flowers were not on my priority in the beginning but they assumed significance rather quickly. I could not avoid them on the roads, plazas, squares, or corporate offices. They were spine-tingling, hair-razing or simply out of the ordinary. When the teacher at the school advised me to visit the park, I probed its validity by referring it to the map in my pocket. The “Children Park” was no doubt shown on the map but it was rather a smaller green compared to the other greens on the map. But I was quite near the spot and it was the right benchmark to be made on the map. So might as well venture into it. I entered the park with a stereotype in mind. The overcrowded and unkempt parks in India flashed my mind. Or will it be like the sparsely populated forests in Russia. But the name encouraged me, “Children’s Park”. I speculated it to be not too bad. In fact, it deserved the name as “Children’s and Elder’s Park”, because at this time almost equal number of children and elders were present in that park. Artificial Flowers In a country where flowers are in abundance, seeing the use of artificial flowers or bushes was quite a stunner. I found them in flower arrangements where they were used in a mix with real flowers, or as standalone bushes in the larger spaces as in parks or in the condominiums. Quite innovative, I thought. And the Chinese cutting-edge technology in gardening was that they moved large number of flower pots prepared in a nursery for deployment on the traffic islands or isles. The approach to the park featured the back side of a modern building on the left and a collection of Sakura and Lilac trees on the right. Far at a distance, I could see a gathering of people of all ages. In the near vicinity, young women were taking photographs. It was a sight of happy families. Children Assembly Hall I was intrigued with the building on the left so I decided, first I must see what it was. It was an assembly hall of some kind. From its large windows I saw that children were entering or exiting the hallway. They were watched over by parents. I compared them with the children in India. In India, irrespective of the richness of the parents, children fail to get an appreciation of the “value of money”. They indulge in expensive mobiles, shopping at the malls, cars if the parents can afford, and in activities that the parents will not ultimately approve. Outdoor life is missing for most of the youth in India. In China until a few years ago when only one child was allowed, the parents took excessive care of their children. They inculcated in them dignity of labor and value of money. I was seeing a proof of that intention, here. Calligraphy What fascinated me the most in that building was a middle-aged man teaching the art and science of calligraphy to the children. Including the others, I was captivated by his skills. The vertical holding of the pen and the way he dipped the dip pen in the ink dazzled us more than the script that sprawled by his side. The shape, size, stretch and type of hair in the brush, the color and density of the ink, as well as the absorptive speed and surface texture of the paper are the main physical parameters influencing the result. The calligrapher also influences the result by the quantity of ink/water he lets the brush take up, then by the pressure, inclination, and direction he gives to the brush, producing thinner or bolder strokes, and smooth or toothed borders. According to Stanley-Baker, “Calligraphy is sheer life experienced through energy in motion that is registered as traces on silk or paper, with time and rhythm in shifting space its main ingredients.” Calligraphy has led to the development of many forms of art in China, including seal carving, ornate paperweights, and ink stones. When I was young, and still had control over fingers and hand muscles, they all called me a calligraphist. I used to write certificates because of the imperial style that was popular in our time and we wrote using a z nib or a relief nib using holders. I think it was more to do with my good handwriting. But my dream for calligraphy was renewed after seeing how it should actually be done. So my calligraphy dream remains a dream until I return back to China. Park Continue I returned to my main excursion and chose walking lazily so that I could click pictures. People’s behavior was on top of my agenda. Some of them were strolling and others preferred to walk briskly. Three girls were busy in taking shots, not selfies. It was the first time on this trip that I saw anyone wearing the famous Japanese cap with extended shade for the eyes. Other girls preferred flats over the stilettos even though they were bereft of heights. And the elders preferred sitting around tables, playing games or simply chatting. They were dressed in different costumes but one item was predominately used, the cap. Children were being escorted by mothers dragging their perambulators. It was a park with lush green grass all over the place. And this grass was natural unlike the artificial grass that is trended in many shopping malls of the world. The park was laid with concrete pathways and these were enclosed by bright lovely white balustrade. If you continued on the pathways, you could complete the full circle, but I decided to take a diversion. I passed by the side of a building where all action was taking place. People were learning to dance, dogs were being escorted, people sprawled themselves on tables and chairs, children played and so on. From here I was led into the main area in the park, that had a large lake with the backdrop of the buildings in this part of the city. It was not really a spectacle like the panorama described in another article, but it was no less. Have a look at it. While on the peripheral road of the lake, which was paved in red, I met an interesting character. He simply walked into me making me nervous about what his intentions were. He smiled and wished me in English. It was the greatest boon manifested in this people’s garden with interesting people, all engaged in their own affairs. So far, the only communication between me and them was smiles. Occasionally it was interrupted by the click of the camera shutter. But this changed for the better now. The prospects of talking opened up as this gentleman told me that he was learning English and that he wanted to go to America. “Do you need any help from me in your learning”, I thought why would he otherwise be speaking to me. “No I just want to speak in English and talking to you gives me a good person to person practice”. Sounds were coming closer from two women who continuously engaged in giggling and clicking photographs. We both were interrupted and they requested us for taking some joint pictures for them. Their target was me, because they probably saw the open camera lens that I was carrying. This man took up the assignment as a professional translator, repeating in two languages whatever transpired between us. He enjoyed the exercise. Of course, I had to correct him at times. Progressively our friendship developed and they offered me a casserole to eat. I hesitated and made it known that I was a vegetarian. This man helped me to resolve the issue. They decided that a chocolate cookie was a better and safer offer. I’ll never know whether their offer was a formality, a reward for my services or they actually wanted to show friendship. Their smiles and giggles though were natural. Hairstylists on roadside Looking at my watch, I realized that spending three hours was just adequate for this exotic place and I must move on. I arrived near the exit gate, and from a distance, did I see a silhouette of hairstylists on the roadside? Yes, I did. Impulsively I was drawn towards them. Finding them a bit like India where such roadside saloons are common. We see them in different towns, and even big cities. They are called colloquially “Ita-Saloons”, implying that they deploy a looking-glass which rests on a pair of bricks. In China, where the hair-styling art is a technology in itself, finding such saloon on the roadside was hilarious, to say the least. The Roadside Hair Styling Also, I thought China was an equal country and it lacked class difference. How then it supported this concept of poor-rich divide? The question still remained, who do these saloons cater for? Or was it only the older people who oblige the poor but skillful hairstylist; he does not even need a mirror! This certainly put me in a bit of quandary. I saw these people happy enjoying their chat, may be they discussed the golden English sentence that everyone speaks in China, “Long Live Chairman Mao”. Japanese Colony With a heavy heart I moved away from the park. Surprisingly the gate where I left, was a bit lonesome too. Was it already missing me and my clicks? In spite of the luxuriously cover of the weeping willows and rose bushes, it presented a gloomy portrayal. I was on the road now, and a lonesome walk took me to a Japanese street. It was equally desolate. Buildings of low-rise structures, quite elegant and different from the normal Dalian. Not many people lived here, but some entrepreneur found it right to have an imposing and opulent pub-cum-bar. In that state of mind, I mean somberness and melancholy, that I suddenly found myself in, there could be nothing more gratifying than being smiled at by two lovely women, understandably mother and daughter. They were kind of adjusting their dresses and posing for selfie or something. They saw me coming over and they almost jumped with joy and asked me to photograph with them or at least take a snap or two of them. This is what I term as friendliness with strangers, they had no fears and no inhibition. I of course took a few snaps on their selfie but I was not happy unless my Canon worked on these models. They were more than pleased to pose for me and I clicked them. A day well spent At the end, when I look back at the children’s park, it was really a treat. I went to this place a few times during my stay. I found here that real life was not devastated by the mobile phones or virtual chats. And I found here that there was less class distinction. Why don’t the Chinese add it to the tourist map more glaringly? Dalian – The forest zoo  Dalian – An Inimitable Zoo I am not an ardent admirer of zoos, and I haven’t been to many. But wherever I had been, namely, Wien, St Louis, Chandigarh Delhi, Mysore, Calcutta, they sparked my soul. Yet I cannot but relate myself to the incomparable Dalian Zoo, when my mind was dazed by the behavior of people and the animals in it. Never did I imagine that there was such a lot of resident love for the animals in the otherwise branded aggressive Chinese. I felt I was part of them all. And you must admire me for not failing to notice younger people mixing and talking to animals not just to the favorite Pandas and Monkeys but Lions and Bears. Hats off to the people, animals and above all the government for creating such a fantastic facility in the city. My trip to the zoo was, to put it with a pun, an accidental one. Sun Yu Jiao, was the name of the girl who met me on the galaxy of bus stops in the downtown. She knew not even a word of English and I didn’t know a word of Chinese from Adams. Looking at my expressions like an imbecile running from one bus to another looking for the route number she told me, made her to laugh out loud. Believe me there were more busses on the countless adjoining stops in the downtown area than the travelers. I was admiring the buses and comparing them to the under-maintained Delhi Transport Buses with jealousy, forgetting that I was lucky to be boarding one of them, soon. She came back to me and asked me if I needed her help for the bus exploration. And why not, how could a lonely traveler lost in the woods, refuse such a fine offer. But more surprising was she could join me for the trip to the Zoo. I doubted if she would be charging me for the service, but then I thought it could not cost more than a day time escort service. So, I decided to hire her, without knowing the damage she will inflict on my pocket. And she spent good five hours with me. Soon, I realized she wasn’t a guide or an escort but a college girl. How did I come to know about it? Again, by accident, she took me to the far end of the zoo instead of the entry end. Some co-passengers too fell into that trap. The bus route was wrong. Neither she, nor the two-honeymooning couples had bothered to check. Any way we all embarrassingly got down and took another bus that ultimately dropped us at the entry of the zoo. At what cost, unimaginable one Yuan that equals ten rupees or six dollar cents. Traveling on public transport is really cheap in China. Of course, I paid for the entry, that was steep. This is how the wrong entry looked like. This is how the real entry gate looked like. It was amazingly pleasant and a lot of children around. Some amazing aerial views inside the zoo, captivated me, and I am sure they will have the same effect on you … Inside the zoo, where we spent four hours, she didn’t take even a glass of water that I had benignly offered her along with a cold drink. She said an absolute NO, and I was embarrassed drinking the water in my possession … The exit and drive back was on my own, but we exchanged email addresses on the WeChat platform, remember Gmail does not work in China. This small travelogue is dedicated to her … I wonder if ever she will read it … Countries – put pressure on the United Nations! by Christer NylanderLund, Sweden Terrorist attacks are a daily activity on the planet and it is increasingly difficult to stop them. Climate change mitigation is far slower than needed. Robots will soon create mass unemployment. Biodiversity is endangered all over the planet. Growing flows of refugees generate fear, conflicts and extreme political views. These are only the tip of a huge iceberg of global systemic risks that seriously threaten our civilization and the planet. Most people feel that the current times we live in are quite good. It may appear so to a few billon people but the truth is horrifyingly apparent. You can ask almost anybody in high positions in the global community and you will find frustration, desperation and even resignation. This is not a good sign! I am fully convinced that it is high time that we begin to reflect on the situation on much deeper levels than we usually do. For example, ask yourself, is it possible to have hundreds of different types of problems in society that permeate every corner of this planet, without having a global systemic error? What I mean is, are all problems separate or are the connected? Today we act as if they are separate. Humankind has a strong tendency to focus on laws, regulations, incentives, surveillance, taxes, etcetera, to govern our society. This does not make much of a difference. Despite thousands of international organizations, and tens of millions of people actively involved in social issues around the world, the success of developing a resilient and sustainable planet has been meager. This should tell us something important. We are thinking and acting inside the box, from where all the problems derive. Instead, we should start thinking outside the box. Here follows my own deep reflection! The outer world we experience will always be a mirror of our inner world. What do I mean by that? First, try to think about a planet without people. Obviously, all the present problems are gone. Thus, logic tells us that humans are both the problem and the solution. Our ability to foresee, understand and act in a way that is long-term and beneficial for all involved will always decide the fate of this civilization. This ability can be called wisdom and I will describe it in more detail here below. Before entering this complex subject I would like to mention a contrary opinion. Some people would argue that it is society that is affecting humans, implying that we ought to start changing our society in order to change the minds and actions of people. So, who is right? Well, if we analyze the last argument there are at least two vital insights. The first is that humanity is already trying to do that and obviously failing. The second is, if the citizens of the world are a product of its society our fate is sealed, i.e. there is no way out of the precarious state of affairs on the planet – we can not change a society which controls us. This is called a Catch-22 situation and is apparently a dead end. Thus, it is better that we truly believe that it is possible to upgrade our knowledge, insights and inner abilities in order to collectively govern our society and the planet. So, what is wisdom? According to Wikipedia wisdom is the ability to think and act using knowledge, experience, understanding, common sense, and insight. Thus, there is a big difference between intelligence, knowledge and wisdom. I say this because some people can not separate them. But, how do you develop wisdom? Here the subject gets really confused. Even though there are tens of thousands of books describing how to develop certain abilities to handle stress, enjoy your life, be healthy, increase memory, deal with conflicts, develop leadership skills, etcetera, there is surprisingly little research and few books on how to develop wisdom in a more general sense. Or, is it really that strange that there is so little material on the subject? Probably not. If humanity could better understand the concept of wisdom, and there was a lot of research and literature on the subject, I would not have had to write this article. After reading a lot of literature from many different faculties, I began to contemplate on what kind of ingredients that are crucial for the development of the kind of wisdom that our civilization is in such desperate need of. This said, we should remember that even if wisdom is often seen as a general human quality, it is to a large degree context based. Being the president of the United States or an ordinary citizen requires wisdom, but not the same kind of wisdom. So what ingredients make the perfect soup of wisdom? I found nine inner abilities/qualities that are more significant than others. The first deals with positive social values and virtues. These are vital because they are the guiding principles of life. They transcend specific actions and situations and serve as standards or criteria. Every social value and virtue is interpreted differently by different people around the planet, but the process of developing positive social values and virtues increases the ability to take wise decisions. The second comprises the ability to understand wholeness of self, others, groups, society, nature and systems. We need to make it a habit to place every fragment into the bigger picture and clarify its roles, impacts, consequences, inter-dependencies, etcetera. The third is about leadership capacity of oneself, a team, an organization, or a nation, and includes motivation, understanding the mind, coaching, handling uncertainty, creating internal and extra stability, etcetera. The fourth deals with creativity and problem solving capability, and is characterized by the ability to perceive things in new ways, to find hidden patterns, to make connections between seemingly unrelated phenomena, and to generate new ideas. The fifth is about critical thinking, which means the intellectually disciplined process of actively and skillfully conceptualizing, applying, analyzing, synthesizing, and evaluating information generated by observation, experience, reflection, reasoning, or communication, as a guide to belief and action. The sixth involves emotional references. In order to understand other people’s feelings we have to have our own similar emotional references derived from life experiences, books, films, music, games and much more. These are important conditions for empathy. The seventh is about practical skills that are needed to understand how things work in real life so as to be able to assist in various assignments, manage our own life, create resilience and sustainability, and to be creative and problem solving. The eight includes theoretical knowledge, which is necessary to comprehend the world around us, including physical objects, concepts and ideas, our history, human interaction, etcetera. The ninth deals with conflict resolution abilities, and embraces the methods and processes involved in facilitating the peaceful ending of conflict and retribution. Some of you might wonder if it is necessary that everyone on the planet must develop their wisdom. Would it not be easier if just a few, for example politicians, put work into developing their wisdom? Unfortunately, this is not how it works. Why? Because ordinary people are voters, consumers, corporate leaders, politicians, investors, journalists, educators, experts, researchers, etcetera. None of us are unimportant. If the wisdom level of the citizens of the world is low, politicians can easily deceive them with populistic promises. Lack of wisdom leads to bad decisions. On the contrary, if all people are reasonably wise, the decisions made will probably be sound and lead to a more stable society, and social problem would decrease considerably. So how do we turn mentioned ingredients into wisdom? This is a more complex part that needs elaboration and examples. In general it involves education, training, practice, dialogue, and a lot of reflection. Usually life itself offers possibilities for these and there are some indications that higher wisdom comes with age. The challenge for humanity is that it must rapidly develop context based wisdom to cope with the global, national, regional and local issues that it faces. In practice one teacher is needed for each individual, on a daily basis, to help us. Here is where artificial intelligence (AI) becomes really interesting. The aim is not that AI should tell us what we should do, but to help us, for example, with education, training, monitoring, services and reflection. At the end of the day, it will only be conscious reflection and unconscious processes that enhance our wisdom, i.e. how we translate knowledge, training, dialogue, etcetera, into abilities that help us to foresee, understand and act wisely. I would like to stress the importance of the described inner development process, because there are many people who believe in and work to augment human abilities through implants, drugs, gene manipulation, body extension, etcetera. Humanity must deeply contemplate what this means for us as humans and for future generations. It is all too easy to play with novel technologies as soon as they are developed, because they are facinating and a source for huge economic profits. However, this is not wise. When AI assists all of us in various natural ways we are still the same humans, but with enhancement techniques we become something different. This changes our personality and identity, and to be able to afford techniques that enhance intelligence, memory, health, strength, vision, and prolong life, wealth suddenly becomes significantly more important. This issue can hardly be overstated since the gap between the rich and poor would grow even more dangerous and serious ethical considerations on who would have access to these techniques would have to be on the agenda. Needless to say, either all people on this planet are included in the game, playing according to the same rules, conditions and benefits, or there will be no game at all. We do not have to be prophets to understand this simple truth. If you are still not convinced about the need for more wisdom, think about the reality we have to face when billions of people are left behind economically and technologically, using weapons of mass destruction and bioweapons, or engage in cyberterrorism or even mass invasion. Today’s terror attacks would be minor incidents in comparison. So, how do we design and finance a whole system of tools that works on a global scale and that would provide everything we need for everyone to become wiser? Before describing it, I would like to point out some requirements that the system must fulfill. It has to be easy and interesting to use, be applicable to all kinds of human contexts and be integrated in daily activities. It must include all tools necessary for individual feedback, education, cooperation, communication, seminars, training, sharing, consultative voting, apps, inter-mediation of experts, donations and crowd-funding, mentoring, statistics, cultural events, and furthermore school activities and computer games related to the sustainable development goals (SDGs). It must be integrated with eGovernment, eHealth and eBank, and everyone must have a digital identity. It must be free of charge and be voluntary, and furthermore, it is imperative that it is not used for indoctrination. In order to visualize what a day could look like and to understand the profound impact such as a system will have, one example is described below. This instance may be a few years ahead when the maturity of AI and augmented (AR) / virtual reality (VR) has attained a somewhat more advanced level. At breakfast I chat with my avatar and tell it that I am having a meeting before lunch about a design of a new agroforestry food system for a certain city and that I am meeting Mr X, Mrs Y etcetera. I explain some of the challenges in a simple way. The avatar gives me some samples of other designs that have recently been implemented, as well as some articles related to the subject. The avatar provides information about the participants of the meeting, and perhaps some articles or lectures they have been part of. The avatar interprets the challenges of the meeting and asks me if I have thought about certain important social values and norms that I seem to have had problems with earlier in similar situations. The avatar goes through all the nine drivers of change to help me prepare for and optimize the meeting. After lunch I look at a 10 minute presentation in my AR/VR headset showing a new innovation that turns sea water into fresh water that a university would like to crowd-fund. Later I decide to give 100 dollars to the project, and I also participate in a consultative voting related to a public transport initiative that the avatar showed me a few days earlier. I tell my avatar to send off a few emails and book a time for a group AR/VR meeting next month. When I come home I attend a virtual online course in how to grow vegetables under tree canopies. Before going to sleep I give a summary of the day to my avatar, which gives me a short feedback and encouragement. The next day could be quite different. I could, for example, go on a AR/VR tour to Australia to see how the barrier-reefs are recovering. Another possibility could be that I am part of an expert group discussing a new type of house construction where people from all over the world could meet in a beautiful VR office located on a mountain hill. The avatar might recommend me to take more part in the local agroforestry food production since I have felt more stressed than usual the past couple of weeks. I can give my avatar permission to see my bank account and mobile applications, and use them to give me helpful feedback. For another person the experience could be quite different and interaction with the system could vary during the day. However, nobody can avoid reflecting over the nine drivers of change and SDGs, on a daily basis. As AI becomes more advanced so will more complex communication and feedback. The most cost-efficient way of providing everyone with these services is if, for example, the United Nations became the global hub for this with full responsibility for the system. In this way the costs could be shared among many countries. In my proposal I have named this hub Drivers of Change Platform (DOCP), because the nine abilities necessary for augmenting wisdom will be the drivers of change. An obvious counterargument would be that billions of people still do not have access to internet, or have slow connections, which do not permit them to participate. I agree. That is why I propose that 5G bandwidth, smartphones, AR/VR headsets, accessible battery charging and a digital identity should be guaranteed to all people on the planet. This will of course cost a lot. Probably more than one trillion dollars. Is it worth it? Yes, if we can avoid a global collapse of our civilization, a few trillion dollars is a very low price. But who would pay and why, and how would the financing be achieved? The rich countries possess a lot of technology and know-how that developing countries need. It will be the rich countries that will suffer the most if our civilization crashes. Thus, the incentive to assist developing countries ought to be in the rich countries. At the moment the wealthy nations are experiencing slow growth rates, which means that they have excess production capacity. So, how should this financing be achieved? There is, in fact, already a good method that is not yet being used. The central banks could buy government bonds, which is called overt monetary policy, and make the aid a form of unconditional countertrade to finance both the DOCP and the SDGs. This method would likely incentivize many potential donor countries due to the positive effects on the GDP, in contrary to pooling, which extracts financing capital from rich countries, and decreases their GDP. Are there any drawbacks? Hardly any. One possible drawback, however, could be that donor countries have to secure a reasonably low inflation by managing demand and supply. But, since climate change requires that rich countries decrease their consumption, the risk for inflation will be low. In contrary, increased export to developing countries will counteract a likely deflation. If properly designed and implemented, mass education of people, and the daily use of the DOCP, could begin within the next five to ten years. After that, the benefits of this system would grow each year. Some of these benefits would be a drop in population growth, reduced crime and terrorism, improved global governance, a reduced sectarian divide and an improved capacity to deal with climate change. Further, the capacity to build a sustainable and resilient state of the art infrastructure, industry and food production in developing countries. This is worth stressing, since any other outcome would be a global failure. How fast can we develop wisdom? The easy answer is that we do not know. It will depend on how much humanity invests in the necessary tools, the attractiveness of the user platform and on the individual conditions of nations and their citizens. I am convinced that the first steps on the wisdom ladder could be achieved quite quickly, maybe within a few decades. This general level of wisdom would be sufficient to successfully govern the planet. More advanced wisdom would require increasingly longer time to attain. Obviously, this is not a problem, because enhancing wisdom can be an ongoing activity for thousands of years. Let me summarize. With the DOCP it is feasible to upgrade the inner drivers of change in every human whatever their conditions or starting level, and simultaneously respect equal value of all human beings. When upgrading inner drivers of change, the decision-making ability of policymakers will gradually increase, and the political support from the population will grow, as will the capacity for self-governing. The model permits a high level of democracy, making it possible for citizens to influence, on a daily basis, local, regional, national and global issues. This will ensure that decisions are taken as closely as possible with the citizens, in accordance with the principle of subsidiarity, which most certainly will minimize crippling delays. The suggested DOCP model can probably be accepted by most of the UN members since it is a win-win game. Huge cost-savings can be made if all citizens on the planet speak English, either as first or second language, and many positive side-effects would be achievable related to conflicts, communication, education, R&D, documentation, translation, media coverage, and trade. The DOCP would also facilitate retraining of the global workforce enabling people to easier take up new occupations because of new technology and changed consumer demand. Furthermore, the DOCP will enable people that live in rural areas to participate in the global workforce, to obtain all kinds of education, and to enjoy the same cultural variety as people in the urban areas. This would mean a slower urbanization or even a reversed trend, and a prospering countryside. The proposed governance model generates trust and transparency by upgrading the ability of billions of people to foresee, understand, and act in a way that is beneficial for all involved. The DOCP model is highly flexible in that: a) the platform can easily develop and change, and is at its core an evolving model for change b) upgrading drivers of change and inner development is an individual task and experience, making it possible to respect different human contexts c) countries develop their own laws, measures and regulations depending on their country-specific conditions to reach the SDGs, thereby keeping their sovereignty d) the cosmopolitan democracy model can grow from infancy to maturity e) not all countries have to join in at the start f) the transformation speed will be maximized in each country, depending on how fast the inner drivers of change are upgraded and g) there is ample scope for testing new DOCP modules in different countries or regions before making them standards. So what should be done to realize the DOCP? I believe that both developing and developed countries should put this proposal, and similar ones, on the global agenda in the United Nations to create pressure. The whole proposal can be downloaded here. The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  Juli / August 2017 Global Marketplace with Hardy F Schloer moderated byMustafa Chaudhry withSometimes changes creep up on us. Will humans evolve into cyborgs? Well, if you think about how much you do through your smartphone, and how you rely on it to communicate (without speech, in general), and to make things happen in your life, then perhaps much of the transition to cyborg is already behind us and we just need the final touches to the interface (chip in the brain etc.). And what about the way we interact with the internet to get the goods we want? It is argued here that the internet-based marketplace is evolving (and AI will accelerate this) into a reactive entity where the needs and desires of people actively and rapidly affect what is offered, even what is made. Suggestive of the merging of the human mind (or minds) with computers. It makes one wonder – where do the boundaries lie? . – Paul Holister July / August 2017 The Future Now Show Unbelievable Intelligence of Plants What has now begun to be discovered is that the mycorrhizal fungi don’t surround just one tree. By using radioactive trace elements, the researchers were able to show that nutrients were being passed by the fungi between different species of trees over a large area. The trees that were not so good in the winter, like aspens, were being given food manufactured by the conifers, which do much better in winter, and vice versa. So the fungus is actually helping to distribute food amongst forest trees so that they all benefit at the right time. – National Geographic The automatic assumption that plants are victims, incapable of learning how to cope with new conditions, is an insult and runs contrary to the new evidence. – National Geographic Plant perception is the ability […]

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, September 2017, Issue 197

Content The EU Global Strategy – Year 1 What humans will look like in 1,000 years The Future Now Show: Cryptocurrencies with Hardy F Schloer The Pregnancy Panopticon News about the Future:Future of an Ageing Population / New horizons:Future scenarios for research & innovation policies in Europe – Study How Will Nanotechnology Change the World Recommended Book: Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence Trump’s Afghan Military Solution Will Fail with James Dorsey ULTRANOW Briefings: TRUE POWER Futurist Portrait: Glen Hiemstra Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal. Once upon a time there was money. It has lubricated our civilisations from the earliest days. But how many people really understand it? And if people don’t understand money, how can they understand the implications of banks being increasingly in control of, and knowledgeable about, our transactions? Then along come cryptocurrencies, which can take banks out of the equation. A fascinating evolution, or is it a battle? – Paul Holister  The Future Now Show: Cryptocurrencies with Hardy F Schloer “ULTRANOW briefings by Lise Voldeng are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously. Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman The EU Global Strategy – Year 1 Personal Message by Federica MogherinHigh Representative of the Union for foreign and security policy / Vice-President of the European Commission “A fragile world calls for a more confident and responsible European Union, it calls for an outward and forward looking European foreign and security policy. Our citizens understand that we need to collectively take responsibility for our role in the world. This is no time for uncertainty: our Union needs a strategy. We need a shared vision, and common action.” We have lived through an eventful year in Europe and beyond. If I think back to June 2016, when I presented the Global Strategy for the European Union’s Foreign and Security Policy, the world was a very different place. Since then, the Global Strategy has helped us steer the course of our foreign and security policy through difficult times. First of all, the Global Strategy has served as a springboard to relaunch the process of European integration after the British referendum. One year ago, after that referendum, many predicted an “inevitable” decline of the European Union, and imagined that the Global Strategy would stay in a drawer or would very soon look outdated. Others told us that the change the Global Strategy advocated for would have taken years to turn into reality, or might simply never happen. This has not been the case. On the contrary, we have moved fast – and united – on concrete implementation, starting with security and defence. In this field, more has been achieved in the last ten months than in the last ten years. The new command centre for EU military training and advisory missions is now reality. A coordinated annual review of national defence budgets is taking shape. Preparations for a Permanent Structured Cooperation on defence among interested Member States are moving forward. Far from being outdated, the Global Strategy has stood to the test of time in a very dense year. The Global Strategy’s push for a European Union of security and defence, in complementarity with NATO and all our partners, anticipated the debate on military burden-sharing across the Atlantic. In a moment when the crucial role of the United Nations’ system, the importance of development cooperation, or the reality of climate change are put into question, the Global Strategy has been a reminder of the European Union’s strategic interest in a cooperative world order. It has helped us swim against the tide, keeping our unity and building strong global alliances around our key priorities. A Global Strategy for the European Union In a complex, connected, and contested world, it is essential for the EU to ensure peace and security for its citizens and territory, as well as advance the prosperity of its people. On top of this, the EU needs to uphold the strength and values of democracy and champion a rules-based global order IntroductionWe have lived through an eventful year within and beyond our European Union. Internally, we faced the United Kingdom’s referendum, a succession of key elections in several European countries, the beginning of a sustained economic recovery, and the 60th anniversary of the Rome Treaties, which both celebrated our past and projected our hopes into the future. The new US Administration is reshaping America’s role in the international arena. Ongoing conflicts and tensions near and far, and the persisting threat of terrorism across all continents, including in the heart of Europe, continue to affect the daily life of ordinary citizens.All these trends and events have made the EU Global Strategy for the European Union’s foreign and security policy (EUGS), presented by High Representative and Vice President of the European Commission (HRVP) Federica Mogherini to the European Council in June 2016, a timely tool to tackle complexity within and beyond the EU’s borders. As the title of the EUGS itself suggests – Shared Vision, Common Action: A Stronger Europe – the work was not meant to stop with the elaboration of a shared vision, but to trigger a new beginning through common action. This is why EU Heads of State and Government welcomed the presentation of the Strategy and invited the High Representative, the Commission and the Council to take the work forward. Resilience of states and societies to our East and South Almost one fourth of the world’s population lives in fragile states or societies. (2) This year we have focused on preventing many of these fragile situations from turning into new wars, new humanitarian disasters, new refugee crises: we have worked to strengthen the resilience of states and societies to our East and South. We have engaged with governments and institutions as well as with civil society organisations and private actors. Our actions have spanned from security sector reform in Ukraine to the training of the Libyan coastguard, from supporting Syrian refugees and their host communities to setting up a European External Investment Plan for private companies to safely invest in fragile parts of our surroundings.Resilience is not a new concept. It is a notion that has been used for several years now amongst the humanitarian and development communities – starting with the 2012 Commission Communication on Resilience, the subsequent Council Conclusions and the Resilience Action Plan 2013-2020 – and more recently by the energy and climate as well as by the security and defence communities. To fully translate this common concept into common action, in June 2017 the Commission and the High Representative released a Joint Communication on Resilience. The Joint Communication builds on the ongoing experience in the humanitarian-development context and provides a shared policy framework within which different strands of work in the EU can become more effectively coordinated amongst themselves, and together with external partners.A particular focus is placed on resilience in the EU’s Eastern and Southern neighbouring countries. This reflects the special political commitments of the accession process and the EU’s Neighbourhood Policy. The 2015 Review of the European Neighbourhood Policy was closely coordinated with work on the Global Strategy, and implementing the Review is a major part of our work on strengthening resilience in the region. A joint report on the implementation of the European Neighbourhood Policy Review was published on 18 May 2017 An Integrated Approach to Conflicts and CrisesOur external action is increasingly attentive to conflict prevention and post-conflict peacebuilding, beyond mere crisis management. At the Brussels international conference on the future of Syria and the region, co-hosted by the EU in April 2017, the international community started to reflect also on the reconstruction of the country, which will have to begin when a political transition is firmly under way. Both regional actors and, crucially, representatives of Syrian civil society have welcomed this approach and praised its positive impact in support of peace.In Colombia, we made sure that the moment a peace deal was signed, we could step in with financial support for reconciliation. In Afghanistan, we have coupled our work for stabilisation inside the country with a renewed diplomatic push with regional powers in support of peace. Security and Defence Security and DefenceIn the area of security and defence, more has been achieved in the last ten months than in the last decade. Issues that only one year ago seemed out of reach – from a permanent planning and conduct capability for non-executive EU military missions to the activation of a Permanent Structured Cooperation between willing and able Member States – are fast becoming realities. The foundations of a European security and defence union are rapidly and solidly being built.The EUGS called for “a sectoral strategy, to be agreed by the Council” specifying “the civil-military level of ambition, tasks, requirements and capability priorities stemming from this Strategy.” The Implementation Plan on Security and Defence presented by the HRVP in November 2016 went far beyond this.Drawing on the Implementation Plan on Security and Defence, the Foreign Affairs Council Conclusions in November 2016 agreed on a new level of ambition in security and defence, based on three strategic priorities derived from the EUGS: responding to external conflicts and crises, building capacities of partner countries, and protecting the EU and its citizens. Stemming from this, the Council outlined thirteen taskings aimed at equipping the EU to realise its declared level of ambition. In December 2016 this level of ambition and work plan were endorsed by the European Council, as part of a broader defence package which included as well the European Commission’s European Defence Action Plan, aimed at facilitating and incentivising defence cooperation between Member States through the establishment of a research and of a capability window, and the implementation of the Warsaw Joint Declaration of EU and NATO leaders. Changing the way we work: a joined-up Union The implementation of the EUGS has not only meant the activation of individual work strands on the strategic goals selected by the Strategy. It has also triggered the transformation of a method of work: of the way in which the EU does foreign policy. A leitmotif in the EUGS is the notion of a joined-up Union: the idea that the full potential for EU foreign policy can only be realised if the Union works jointly across policy sectors, institutions and Member States. In implementing the EUGS in all the work strands discussed above, such a joined-up approach was followed through. The work on security and defence for example has brought together the Council and Member States, the European Defence Agency and the Commission; it has been discussed with the European Parliament and debated thoroughly by the expert community across most Member States.The same approach applies to a number of initiatives, from regional strategies to thematic ones; from climate, energy, oceans governance and economic diplomacies, to culture in international relations, youth initiatives or the European Instrument for Democracy and Human Rights (link is external).In order to deepen further this joined-up approach, the October 2016 Foreign Affairs Council selected two priorities for the first year of implementation which are horizontal by their very nature: the internal-external nexus and public diplomacy. The internal-external nexusThe internal-external nexusWorking on the internal-external nexus means that internal and external initiatives within the same policy domain must be coherent and mutually reinforcing.Given the importance that the EUGS attaches to the United Nations’ 2030 Agenda, achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (link is external) is an integral part of implementing the Global Strategy. The new European Consensus on Development promotes a coherent approach to people, planet, prosperity, peace and sustainability that is fully consistent with the EUGS, including its emphasis on building resilience at all levels. The Consensus was agreed by the European Commission, the European Parliament, the Council, as well as by the representatives of Member State governments meeting with the Council: for the first time ever, the Consensus applies in its entirety to EU institutions and to all EU Member States. Ensuring consistency between internal and external action is central to the implementation of the SDGs. For this reason, coordinated initiatives have been taken not only on the external implementation of the 2030 Agenda, but also to ensure consistent implementation through EU internal policies. This has been recently highlighted in the Council conclusions on “A sustainable European future: the EU response to the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development” Public diplomacyThe elaboration of the EUGS involved an unprecedented public consultation, both within and outside the European Union. The HRVP herself has visited extensively Africa, Asia and Latin America to promote the cooperation envisaged by the Global Strategy.We finally realise that it is essential not only to communicate the added-value of the EU’s action, but also to open new channels for European and non-European citizens to engage with EU policy-making. Too many young people feel excluded from political processes, and struggle to find a place inside our societies. During this year, we have worked to invest in existing dialogue initiatives, but also to create new opportunities for young people to have a say and new channels of participation: this is the aim of the new Young Med Voices Plus initiative, launched by the HRVP, which has already brought a group of young people from Europe and the Mediterranean to discuss policy proposals and present them to representatives of the EU institutions. This kind of initiative can also help build a network of EU-minded opinion makers in our region. The Work AheadIt was an intense first year in the implementation of the EU Global Strategy. This work does not and cannot stop here. In the year ahead, the EU will continue to pursue the work strands which have been opened so far, notably but not exclusively in the key field of security and defence. And it will continue to work in a joined-up manner, internally across institutions and Member States, along the internal-external policy nexus, or externally through its work on public diplomacy.The Council and the Commission may also consider exploring other fields for the implementation of the EUGS, possibly focusing on strategic goals such as the support for cooperative regional orders and global governance, as well as means such as the establishment or empowerment of more responsive and flexible tools in the fields of diplomacy and development, as advocated by the Strategy.The journey translating the EU Global Strategy from a shared vision into common action has begun. Let us keep up this momentum in the year ahead of us. Key DocumentsA Global Strategy for the European UnionAfter the EU Global Strategy – Building resilienceThe CARD on the EU defence table What humans will look like in 1,000 years The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  September 2017 CryptocurrencieswithHardy F SchloerArtificial Intelligences (AIs) are being increasingly used in real applications. An example, discussed here, is using them to mimic the goings-on in a simulation of a real city (or even country), from traffic flow to electricity and water consumption. This allows us to play with possible variations (which energy sources to use, extreme scenarios etc.) and make wiser decisions about the real city. But hang on; if the AIs can figure this out, why not let them manage the city for us? — Paul Holister The Future Now Show The Pregnancy Panopticon by Cooper Quintin, Staff Technologist, Electronic Frontier Foundation Women’s health is big business. There are a staggering number of applications for Android and iOS which claim to help people keep track of their monthly cycle, know when they may be fertile, or track the status of their pregnancy. These apps entice the user to input the most intimate details of their lives, such as their mood, sexual activity, physical activity, physical symptoms, height, weight, and more. But how private are these apps, and how secure are they in fact? After all, if an app has such intimate details about our private lives, it would make sense to ensure that it is not sharing those details with anyone, such as another company or an abusive family member. To this end, EFF and Gizmodo reporter Kashmir Hill have taken a look at some of the privacy and security properties of nearly twenty different fertility and pregnancy tracking applications. While this is not a comprehensive investigation of these applications by any means, we did uncover several privacy issues, some notable security flaws, and a few interesting security features in the applications we examined. We conclude that while these applications may be fun to use, and in some cases useful to the people who need them, women should carefully consider the privacy and security tradeoffs before deciding to use any of these applications. Read the report: “The Pregnancy Panopticon”. This document is a technical supplement to “What Happens When You Tell the Internet You’re Pregnant” published by Kashmir Hill on jezebel.com News about the Future Future of an Ageing Population People in the UK are living longer than ever before – a major achievement of modern science and healthcare. Older people make up a growing proportion of the population, and so make an increasing contribution to society. They are our workers, volunteers, taxpayers and carers. However, the UK is not making the most of the opportunities afforded by an ageing population. Too many people are forced out of work in later life by poor health or unwelcoming attitudes in the workplace. Too few people access the training they need to adapt to a changing labour market. Too many families face the choice between working and providing care for a loved one. Too few homes meet the needs of older people. The ageing of the population also challenges the UK’s model of service provision. If an older population means fewer workers at the same time as greater demand for public services, this raises questions about the sustainability of the current models of working lives and care provision. The UK has a choice. Will the growing number of people in later life be predominantly empowered, skilled, healthy and able to contribute fully to society? Or will we be increasingly unhealthy, disempowered and dependent? Answering this challenge cannot be Government’s job alone. Employers will need to adapt to an ageing workforce. Families and communities have a role to play in supporting their loved ones to age well. Individuals can, and must be supported to, make choices which will better prepare them for a happy, productive and fulfilling later life – The Rt Hon Oliver Letwin MP Future scenarios for research & innovation policies in Europe – Study The growing complexity of the world will require that society develop more options for coping. Options will come from new discoveries, inventions, ideas – in short, from research and innovation. This foresight report, commissioned by the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Research and Innovation, draws on a broad range of sources about megatrends shaping the world today and projects them forward into the 2030s. The report describes two possible outcomes: That the trends go on unmanaged and uncontrolled, or that society takes action. The first outcome would be negative: climate… How Will Nanotechnology Change the World by National Geographic Recommended Book Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligenceby Max Tegmark Knopf How will Artificial Intelligence affect crime, war, justice, jobs, society and our very sense of being human? The rise of AI has the potential to transform our future more than any other technology — and there’s nobody better qualified or situated to explore that future than Max Tegmark, an MIT professor who’s helped mainstream research on how to keep AI beneficial. Trump’s Afghan Military Solution Will Fail James Dorsey tells Paul Jay, The Real News Network, that Trump’s plan is to force the Taliban to negotiate, but there is no reason for them to do so. See also The Future Now Show James Dorsey – 2016 & 2017: Quest for Change ULTRANOW BRIEFINGS: TRUE POWER ULTRANOW briefings are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously. ULTRANOW briefings are brought to you by Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. and UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. UAI is an accelerator. We train individuals to lead themselves, their lives, their organizations, and their countries with joyous, prosperous integrity. We forecast developments across every sector of civilization. We develop product solutions for every sector of civilization. And we invest in, advise, and mentor individuals and organizations. www.ultraagentindustries.comULTRA-AGENT INDUSTRIES INC.[ worldbuilder luxe. for warrior worldbuilders. ]shows: ULTRANOW LETTER BRIEFING:TRUE POWERInsight courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. Title credits music courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng and Elad Marish. Supported by the Club of Amsterdam. Lisa (Lise) Voldeng: CEO, creator, futurist, and investor. Runs accelerator Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. Loves icecream and integrity. Voldeng consistently forecasts global developments (across every sector of civilization) and successfully implements solutions to help us prosper. She builds brands, markets, organizations, platforms, products, and experiences. She invests in, advises and mentors individuals and organizations who want to prosper integrously. Futurist Portrait: Glen Hiemstra Glen Hiemstra is the founder and owner of Futurist.com. Glen is dedicated to disseminating information about the future to assist individuals, organizations, and industries in effective strategic planning. An internationally respected expert on future trends, long-range planning and creating the preferred future, Glen has advised professional, business, and governmental organizations for two decades and has served as a technical advisor for futuristic television programs. Audience members for Glen’s keynote speeches and clients for his long-range planning say things like, “Once you hear Glen Hiemstra speak, the future will never look the same.” A writer as well as a speaker and consultant, Glen is the author of Millennial City: How a New Generation Can Save the Future,Turning the Future into Revenue: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know to Shape Their Future (Wiley & Sons 2006). Previously he co-authored Strategic Leadership: Achieving Your Preferred Future. If you listen carefully, you can learn what the future is telling you Glen has worked with many leading companies, government agencies and organizations across a wide variety of domains. These include Microsoft, The Home Depot, Boeing, Adobe, Ernst & Young, PaineWebber, ShareBuilder, Ambrosetti (Italy), Club of Amsterdam, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – Savannah District, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers – Pacific Ocean Division, Northern Telecom, REI, Weyerhaeuser, Hewlett Packard, Novo Nordisk, U.S./Mexico JWC, APAX Partners, Costa Rica Hotel Association, Atlanta 2060, Tulsa 2025, Idaho Transportation 2030, Michigan DOT 2030, Federal Highway Administration Advanced Research, Eddie Bauer, Procter & Gamble, ACE Hardware, IHOP, John Deere, Weitz Construction, Lexis Nexus, Land O Lakes, GHD Engineering (Australia), SONAE (Portugal), and others. Glen Hiemstra Keynotes Lundbeck Global Conference printable version

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, October 2017, Issue 198

Content Biomimicry, Climate Change & Architecture: an interview with Michael Pawlyn Internet Society Global Internet Report 2017 The Future Now Show: Digital Twin Cities & Artificial Intelligence with Igor van Gemert Yuval Noah Harari on the Rise of Homo Deus News about the Future: A Sustainable Future Powered by Sea / Special Report: The Maker Movement MycoTree Recommended Book: A History of the Future: Prophets of Progress from H. G. Wells to Isaac Asimov European Inventor Award 2017 ULTRANOW Briefings: A MOUNTAIN AND MACGYVER Futurist Portrait: Chris Skinner Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal. Artificial Intelligences (AIs) are being increasingly used in real applications. An example, discussed here, is using them to mimic the goings-on in a simulation of a real city (or even country), from traffic flow to electricity and water consumption. This allows us to play with possible variations (which energy sources to use, extreme scenarios etc.) and make wiser decisions about the real city. But hang on; if the AIs can figure this out, why not let them manage the city for us? – Paul Holister The Future Now Show: Digital Twin Cities & Artificial Intelligence with Igor van Gemert “ULTRANOW briefings by Lise Voldeng are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously. Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Biomimicry, Climate Change & Architecture: an interview with Michael Pawlyn by Biomimicry Institute | Jul 30, 2017 Megan Schuknecht, the Biomimicry Institute’s director of design challenges, is interviewing the world’s foremost thought leaders in biomimicry and sustainability to explore nature-based solutions to the world’s most pressing climate change issues. With each interview, we’ll delve into the top three areas where climate and sector leaders think we should intervene to affect the most change, take a deeper look at the most promising solutions on the horizon, and explore where they think the next big opportunity will be. Michael Pawlyn is an architect and has a well-earned reputation as a pioneer of biomimicry. Megan: What’s one surprising thing about climate change that most people DON’T know? Michael: I always find it kind of absurd when I meet some property consultants in London who insist that buildings have to be air-conditioned and that increasing temperatures will make that even more the case. When they do that, I point them to the example of the Eastgate Centre, the office building that’s pretty close to the equator and works without any air conditioning. Megan: Within the built environment, what are the top three areas where we need to intervene in order to truly impact climate change? Michael: A lot of people would argue that it’s refurbishing existing buildings, and I think that is a pretty strong case because in the U.K. we only rebuild about 1 percent of our building stock every year, which means a hell of a lot of the buildings that will be standing by 2040 or 2050 are the ones that already exist. And by 2040 or 2050, we need to almost completely decarbonize our economies and our built environment. So that makes it clear just how big the challenge is, and of course, the sooner we do it the better. So that’s definitely one. The context for which we are designing is becoming more and more demanding of radical change. The other thing is, I’m constantly frustrated that the pace of change is so slow. We have nearly all the solutions we need to make buildings much more efficient for new build or existing buildings, and yet this stuff is just not getting implemented. And that’s a serious problem. If anything the construction industry in the UK is getting more conservative, when the context for which we are designing is becoming more and more demanding of radical change. The whole aspect of transport and the public realm in cities needs some urgent rethinking. That can, and should, have a big impact on climate change, and thankfully, most of the changes we need to make will actually improve people’s quality of life as well. So it shouldn’t be too big an ask to bring about those kind of changes. And of course the kind of changes I’m referring to are shifting away from single-occupancy private cars towards much more sustainable forms of transport – walking, cycling, and forms of mass transit. Megan: Is there a nature-inspired solution out there that makes you hopeful, related to climate change? Michael: Well, one of the projects we’ve been working on, which is perhaps the most radical in a way, is one that’s called the Biorock Pavilion. The starting point for that was the Vostok ice-core graphs. The part that everyone focuses on is the bit showing how CO2 and temperature have risen exponentially since the start of the industrial revolution. That’s the bit that people tend to focus on, for good reason, because it does look alarming. But in many ways I find the earlier part of the graph more interesting, because that shows how for nearly half a million years, and probably for much longer still, the CO2 and temperature levels varied within a fairly steady band, which raises the question of — what is the controlling mechanism that used to maintain that equilibrium? The conclusion you could draw from [James Lovelock’s Gaia theory] is that the way biology would solve the challenge of climate change is to make more things from atmospheric carbon. The most persuasive explanation I’ve heard is the one that is related to James Lovelock’s Gaia theory, which says that it is coccolithophores and other marine microorganisms that have boomed during periods of higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations. So they make their skeletons partly out of carbon in the form of calcium carbonate dissolved in the ocean. Because they’ve got quite short lives and they fall to the ocean floor as what’s called “ocean rain” when they die, they build up layers of limestone, and by doing that they transfer carbon from the atmosphere into the lithosphere and restore the balance. The conclusion you could draw from that is that the way biology would solve the challenge of climate change is to make more things from atmospheric carbon. So we’ve been looking quite a bit at the idea of how you can grow materials. Wood is an obvious example. But biorock appealed to us because it allows for greater control of the forms that you can create. It’s a way of growing structures in seawater using electrodeposition of minerals. It’s mainly calcium carbonate and magnesium hydroxide. And it’s simple – you put a steel frame in the seawater, you pass a very low-level electric current through it, perfectly safe for wildlife, and you get fairly rapid deposition of minerals on that steel frame. After about a year, it can be 20-25 mm thick and it can be as strong as reinforced concrete. So we’ve proposed growing a whole building that way. We’re also looking at other ways of making materials out of atmospheric carbon. Some of the things that Neri Oxman is doing at MIT are very interesting, basically 3D printing with biologically-derived polymers. If we could really scale that up as a proposition, then we would be doing what we need to be doing, which is taking carbon out of the atmosphere and turning it into building materials. Megan: So the Biorock Pavilion is something you’ve made using the mineral deposition technology? Michael: Not yet. We experimented with Biorock in our Sahara Forest Project in Qatar where we grew some structural elements. And we’ve done a design for the Biorock Pavilion, but we haven’t gotten as far as actually doing any prototyping work yet. Megan: Going back to something you said earlier – basically, I think you were referring to the fact that we also need a shift in mindset – the science is there but you’re frustrated that we aren’t implementing things more rapidly. Do you think there is a role for biomimicry in encouraging implementation of existing solutions? Michael: Yes, I do, and probably in a number of ways. But the way that comes most immediately to mind is the way that biomimicry helps tell persuasive stories. And when I say that, I don’t mean that in any kind of belittling way at all. Telling stories is becoming increasingly important, or at least the importance is becoming increasingly apparent. We’ve seen in recent years that there are a lot of people who just aren’t interested in data. You can talk to them about numbers until you’re blue in the face, and it won’t actually change their minds. You need to communicate on a slightly different level. What I’ve found can be very useful about biomimicry is you can start off with a story about a biological organism that does something pretty fantastic, and then you can show how you can translate that solution into something that suits human needs. So one example would be, if I were to get up in front of an audience of people and say, “Yeah, this thing’s called the Sahara Forest Project, and we thought we would make water in the desert and turn the desert green and make energy” and so on, I think most people would be crossing their arms and looking at their watches and thinking, “How long is this guy on for?” Whereas if I start with describing how the fog-basking beetle harvests water, then people are immediately grabbed and they’re leaning forward thinking, “Well, if a beetle can do it then we ought to be able to do it because humans are ingenious,” right? So I’ve found that biomimicry can be very useful for grabbing people’s attention and then getting them over a kind of skepticism threshold so that they are receptive to a new way of looking at things. Megan: I think you just addressed this in a small way, in terms of helping people get over some skepticism and possibly thinking about doing things in a new way, but do you have any advice on how to get more people involved in addressing climate change issues? We could also limit it to your sphere, how to we get more people in the built environment engaging with climate change issues? Michael: I always try to get people excited about positive possibilities, rather than getting them depressed about gloomy realities. In truth we need a bit of both. But, at least in this country, people have heard all of the gloomy stuff. They know that biodiversity is plummeting. They know that climate change is happening. And what we need is a much more lively conversation about solutions. In my talks and when I teach students and so on, I always try to get them to think positively about how you can shape the future. So rather than thinking about the future as something that just happens to you, think about it as something you really can shape. A bit like the way Hans Rosling said you should be neither an optimist or pessimist, because both of those positions imply some sense of inevitability. What you should be is a serious possibilist. You should decide on the kind of future you want and then you set about creating it. Be deliberate about shaping the future. I think that kind of call to action does address one of the problems that a lot of people – this is less true of students, but still some students – are rather lackadaisical when it comes to grabbing hold of something and implementing it. Biomimicry can be very useful for grabbing people’s attention and then getting them over a kind of skepticism threshold so that they are receptive to a new way of looking at things. Megan: Along those lines, we do work with a lot of young people who are very excited about shaping possibilities. But they don’t always know how to get past or work through or stay excited in the face of doing things in a very different way and becoming young inventors or young entrepreneurs. Do you have any particular advice for young biomimics? Michael: In the second edition of my book [Biomimicry in Architecture], I did include an expanded sort of primer on how to actually apply biomimicry. One of the things I say to students, and to architects, is when you’re doing these biomimetic approaches, you can run into difficulties, particularly if you’re trying to mimic ecosystem levels. It can get really complicated, and there’s often a strong temptation to just go back to something that is simpler and more familiar. I’ve noticed this particularly with ecosystem models, where you’re trying to get a number of different elements to be synergized, so the output for one becomes the input for something else. You’ve actually got quite a lot of interconnected flows and interdependencies, and sometimes it’s quite difficult to see what’s going to happen if one link in the chain gets broken and so on. There’s a lovely quotation from an author called Ben Okri who said, “Adversity is not the end of a story, but where there is courage and conviction, it’s the start of a new story, a richer one than existed before.” So if you run into difficulties, I always encourage people to try to apply the same level of ingenuity and imagination as you did at the start rather than feeling defeated. Think about what you can add to the system to solve the problem rather than simplifying it. A good example of this would be the Biorock story. On Sahara Forest Project in Qatar, one of the key inputs to the whole system is seawater. We were told that our seawater pipe would get encrusted with scale very quickly, and our industrial partner said that they would have to use large quantities of bleach to keep the pipes clean. We thought that sounded insane, but they were serious about this being a problem. So we thought about this. The scale is not a problem per se, it’s quite a hard, useful material. It’s just forming in the wrong location. So we proposed the idea of actually growing structural elements in the sea pipe that is supplying the project using biorock. That would take the scale out of the seawater and it would accumulate on these elements of steel structure rather than on the pipe itself. Then the seawater within the pipe downstream would be slightly more acidic, which would be enough to prevent scale formation on the rest of the pipe. Think about what you can add to the system to solve the problem rather than simplifying it. The serendipitous discovery was that the Biorock process also releases very small amounts of chlorine into the water, enough to suppress biofouling, which was another one of our concerns about the pipes getting clogged. There was something very nice about being able to grow elements to expand the project within the pipe that is supplying the project. And it showed that by being imaginative about problem solving, we were able to add a significant new element to the system. Michael Pawlyn Michael Pawlyn established the architecture firm Exploration in 2007 to focus on environmentally sustainable projects that take their inspiration from nature. He has lectured internationally on biomimicry and innovative approaches to sustainability. In 2007 Michael Pawlyn delivered a talk at Google’s annual ‘Zeitgeist’ conference and, in 2011, became one of only a small handful of architects to have a talk posted on TED.com. In the same year, his book Biomimicry in Architecture was published by the Royal Institute of British Architects. Prior to setting up the company Michael Pawlyn worked with Grimshaw for ten years and was central to the team that radically re-invented horticultural architecture for the Eden Project. He was responsible for leading the design of the Warm Temperate and Humid Tropics Biomes and the subsequent phases. He initiated the Grimshaw environmental management system resulting in the company becoming the first firm of European architects to achieve certification to ISO14001. Internet Society Global Internet Report 2017 Paths to Our Digital Future Executive summary The Internet has profoundly shaped our world and has changed our lives in both big and small ways. The technology change around us has happened both quickly and imperceptibly. The very first connections between computers nearly fifty years ago have been transformed into a wave of connectivity that covers the planet. New devices and innovations have given us more ways to harness the power of connectivity wherever we go and have given us functionality we could never have imagined. Vint Cerf Interview The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  October 2017 Digital Twin Cities & Artificial Intelligence withIgor van GemertArtificial Intelligences (AIs) are being increasingly used in real applications. An example, discussed here, is using them to mimic the goings-on in a simulation of a real city (or even country), from traffic flow to electricity and water consumption. This allows us to play with possible variations (which energy sources to use, extreme scenarios etc.) and make wiser decisions about the real city. But hang on; if the AIs can figure this out, why not let them manage the city for us? — Paul Holister October 2017 The Future Now Show Yuval Noah Harari on the Rise of Homo Deus Prof. Yuval Noah Harari is the author of Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind and Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow. He was born in Haifa, Israel, in 1976. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Oxford in 2002, and is now a lecturer at the Department of History, the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. He specialized in World History, medieval history and military history. His current research focuses on macro-historical questions: What is the relation between history and biology? What is the essential difference between Homo sapiens and other animals? Is there justice in history? Does history have a direction? Did people become happier as history unfolded? News about the Future A Sustainable Future Powered by Sea OIST researchers develop turbines to convert the power of ocean waves into clean, renewable energy. Professor Tsumoru Shintake at the Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University (OIST) yearns for a clean future, one that is affordable and powered by sustainable energy. Originally from the high-energy accelerator field, in 2012 he decided to seek new energy resources—wind and solar were being explored in depth, but he moved toward the sea instead. “Using just 1% of the seashore of mainland Japan can [generate] about 10 gigawats [of energy], which is equivalent to 10 nuclear power plants,” Professor Shintake explains. Special Report: The Maker Movement Whether you grew up tinkering with radios or cars or built gadgets from scratch, your hobbies might have inspired you to become an engineer. That same sentiment is now spreading far and wide in what’s called the maker movement. In this special report, The Institute takes a look at IEEE’s involvement in the movement. IEEE volunteers are setting up booths at some of the world’s largest maker fairs, which attract tens of thousands of people. We also showcase several members’ projects, including an android named Ken, a robotic Rubik’s cube solver, and 3D-printed prosthetic hands.The 3D printer helped usher in the maker movement, and its capabilities have evolved impressively. We feature a bioprinter being used in classrooms so students can print living organisms for experiments. And the Gigabot 3D printer from the startup re:3D is making it affordable to produce large objects, like airplane parts and flooring tiles. To help turn your big idea into reality, Alon Hillel-Tuch, cofounder of RocketHub, shares his tips on how to raise money by crowdfunding. We also profile IEEE Senior Member Samir Chatterjee, a professor who is transforming classrooms at two schools with the makerspace concept: equipping students with tools to solve problems and to help them turn their ideas into prototypes and even profitable ventures MycoTree MycoTree is a spatial branching structure made out of load-bearing mycelium components. Its geometry was designed using 3D graphic statics, keeping the weak material in compression only. Its complex nodes were grown in digitally fabricated moulds. MycoTree is the result of a collaboration between the Professorship of Sustainable Construction at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) and the Block Research Group at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) Zürich. It is the centrepiece of the “Beyond Mining – Urban Growth” exhibition at the Seoul Biennale of Architecture and Urbanism 2017 in Seoul, Korea curated by Hyungmin Pai and Alejandro Zaera-Polo, and will be on display in Pavilion i7 at the Donuimun Museum Village from September 1st to November 5th 2017. Utilising only mycelium and bamboo, the structure represents a provocative vision of how we may move beyond the mining of our construction materials from the earth’s crust to their cultivation and urban growth; how achieving stability through geometry rather than through material strength opens up the possibility of using weaker materials structurally and safely; and, ultimately, how regenerative resources in combination with informed structural design have the potential to propose an alternative to established, structural materials for a more sustainable building industry. A Necessary Paradigm ShiftAs populations and aspirations grow, so does the demand for materials and resources to support them. Although such resource demands were once satisfied by local and regional hinterlands, they are becoming increasingly global in scale and reach. This phenomenon has generated material flows that are trans-continental and planetary in scope and has profound consequences for the sustainability, functioning, sense of ownership and identity of future cities. However, the global concentration of the construction industry on a selected few materials puts high pressure on our natural resources. If we talk about the future city, it is clear that it cannot be built with the same resources as existing ones. The 21st century will face a radical paradigm shift in how we produce materials for the construction of our habitat. The linear concept of “produce, use, and discard” has proven itself unsustainable in the face of scarce resources and exponentially increasing urban populations. Instead, to achieve a cycle of production, use, and re-use, we must explore alternative materials and approaches to construction. Materials that were previously considered unwanted and low-strength may present possibilities to end this undesirable state of affairs. Building with materials that can be effectively cultivated on site or nearby and designing in compression to produce structures that can span space despite the low tensile capacity of their components may bring about changes that are desperately needed. Recommended Book A History of the Future: Prophets of Progress from H. G. Wells to Isaac Asimovby Peter J. Bowler In this wide-ranging survey, Peter J. Bowler explores the phenomenon of futurology: predictions about the future development and impact of science and technology on society and culture in the twentieth century. Utilising science fiction, popular science literature and the novels of the literary elite, Bowler highlights contested responses to the potential for revolutionary social change brought about by real and imagined scientific innovations. Charting the effect of social and military developments on attitudes towards innovation in Europe and America, Bowler shows how conflict between the enthusiasm of technocrats and the pessimism of their critics was presented to the public in books, magazines and exhibitions, and on the radio and television. A series of case studies reveals the impact of technologies such as radio, aviation, space exploration and genetics, exploring rivalries between innovators and the often unexpected outcome of their efforts to produce mechanisms and machines that could change the world. European Inventor Award 2017 The European Inventor Award or European Inventor awards (formerly European Inventor of the Year Award, renamed in 2010), are presented annually by the European Patent Office, sometimes supported by the respective Presidency of the Council of the European Union and by the European Commission, to inventors who have made a significant contribution to innovation, economy and society in Europe. Inventions from all technological fields are considered for this award. The winners in each category are presented with an award shaped like a sail. There is no cash prize associated with the award. ULTRANOW BRIEFINGS: A MOUNTAIN AND MACGYVER ULTRANOW briefings are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously. ULTRANOW briefings are brought to you by Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. and UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. UAI is an accelerator. We train individuals to lead themselves, their lives, their organizations, and their countries with joyous, prosperous integrity. We forecast developments across every sector of civilization. We develop product solutions for every sector of civilization. And we invest in, advise, and mentor individuals and organizations. ULTRA-AGENT INDUSTRIES INC.[ worldbuilder luxe. for warrior worldbuilders. ] www.ultraagentindustries.com shows:ULTRANOW ICRECREAM BRIEFING: A MOUNTAIN AND MACGYVER Insight courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. Title credits music courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng and Elad Marish. Supported by the Club of Amsterdam. What did I do when I got stuck in a bathroom (while doing laundry in said bathroom) in a cabin on 7 isolated acres on the side of a mountain, where no one else was expected to visit for at least 3 days? I listened to my own knowing, I breathed, I swore, and I morethanMacgyvered, my way. Lisa (Lise) Voldeng: CEO, creator, futurist, and investor. Runs accelerator Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. Loves icecream and integrity. Voldeng consistently forecasts global developments (across every sector of civilization) and successfully implements solutions to help us prosper. She builds brands, markets, organizations, platforms, products, and experiences. She invests in, advises and mentors individuals and organizations who want to prosper integrously. Futurist Portrait: Chris Skinner Chris Skinner is known as an independent commentator on the financial markets and fintech through his blog, the Finanser.com, as author of the bestselling bookDigital Bank and its new sequel ValueWeb. In his day job, he is Chair of the European networking forum: the Financial Services Club. He is on the Advisory Boards of many companies including Innovate Finance, Moven and Meniga, and has been voted one of the most influential people in banking by The Financial Brand (as well as one of the best blogs), a FinTech Titan (Next Bank), one of the Fintech Leaders you need to follow (City AM, Deluxe and Jax Finance), one of the Top 5 most influential people on BankInfoSecurity’s list of information security leaders, as well as one of the Top 40 most influential people in financial technology by the Wall Street Journal’s Financial News. Described by Seth Wheeler, Brookings Guest Scholar and Former Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy at the White House, as “one of the most authoritative voices on Fintech anywhere”, Chris has previously written many books covering everything from European regulations in banking through the credit crisis to the future of banking. His new book is a sister to his last book, Digital Bank. ValueWeb describes the impact of Fintech and how mobile and blockchain technologies are changing the face of finance in building an internet of value. As a result of the emerging internet of value, banks have to become digitalised, and Digital Bank provides a comprehensive review and analysis of the battle for digital banking and strategies for companies to compete. The Financial Services Club is a network for financial professionals, and focuses on the future of financial services through the delivery of research, analysis, commentary and debate. Founded in 2004, the Financial Services Club meets regularly in Austria, England, Ireland, Norway, Poland, Scotland, Slovakia and Sweden. Mr. Skinner is a regular commentator on BBC News, Sky News, CNBC andBloomberg about banking issues; he is a Judge on many awards programs including the Asian Banker’s Retail Excellence Awards, as well as working closely with leading banks such as HSBC, the Royal Bank of Scotland, Citibank and Société Générale, as well as the World Economic Forum The future of money, trade and finance – Chris Skinner, at USI printable version

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, November 2017, Issue 199

Content Spread of ESGs could herald new global movement Plant trees while you search the web The Future Now Show: Demography of Europe with Michael Akerib Hanlon Lab News about the Future:New report: Establishing Best Practice for Forensic DNA Databases / Changing Societies through Urban Commons Transitions Hashgraph – The Future of Blockchain Recommended Book: Home Made Bio Electronic Arts BLOOM – Smart surface for spatial acoustics ULTRANOW X Briefings: UBERBABE SOS WOW NOW Futurist Portrait: Olakunle Soriyan Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal.  The Future Now Show: Demography of Europe with Michael Akerib “Musings on the future are often quite narrow in scope (e.g. specific technologies) and time. The near future is obviously of great interest as it’s our next page, but it’s one page in a very long book and sometimes you need to read the whole book to get the best sense of what the next page might hold. That approach is taken here when considering the demographics of Europe – the story starts 9000 years ago and spans the planet. Sit back, soak it in, and only then wonder about the future.” – Paul Holister Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Spread of ESGs could herald new global movement By Frank-Jürgen RichterGlobal Times, September 24, 2017 An ESG is a financial product that complies with environmental, social and governance rules, and until recently it was just part of financiers’ jargon – their chat is full of short-form acronyms that many of us do not understand. But recently ESG has come into common parlance. This is good, as it represents a new global inclination to save the planet and to save ourselves from investments we do not understand. Of course, working together in this way is a splendid idea; it creates efficiencies and develops innovative solutions supporting emerging world-wide goals, with many set within the UN Sustainable Development Goals to be met by 2030. ESGs are fast becoming a vital set of criteria for investment development and they demand new measurements of company performance. But there are much broader and more subtle aspects to this movement. Cheating has been commonplace ever since lending and borrowing became institutionalized. William Shakespeare in 1596 aptly commented upon “… this pound of flesh” as something that is owed and ruthlessly claimed in repayment. In more modern times there was the Asian Financial crisis in 1997 expanding out of Thailand, as banks were seen to be over-indebted and could not pay back their customers. China learned much from that and developed its sovereign reserves, thus helping it to weather the 2008 global financial crash emanating from the US. These crashes forced central banks to increase regulation and oversight as well as developing fresh rules such as the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act reforming Wall Street investment and curbing speculation. The EU in 2004 developed the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, which will be updated by January 2018 as MiFID II (yet another acronym). Although these rulings are primarily US or EU-based, they include all the global operations of firms registered in either the US or EU, in an effort to restrict global corruption. But it is well known that corruption is still widespread, as is the fact that it is the poorest who suffer the most, often losing their jobs if a firm ceases trading while the corrupt boss with good legal aid may well escape punishment. There are many economies that suffer from corruption, especially among the developing nations. The developed world is not exempt, as regulators and the judiciary often bring wrong-doers to trial. One instance is the Libor scandal that was perpetuated by major global banks. The banks falsely set the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor), which is the average interest rate underpinning well over $350 trillion in derivatives. The skewed rate benefited the banks in question. The perpetrators have been removed from office and new regulations devised. However, few people connected with this crime have been convicted as the evidence against them was not strong enough, though banks have been heavily fined for allowing the fixing to take place. Other heavy fines for banks have concerned their non-disclosure of hidden savings. Swiss banks have long been known as secretive, closely guarding their clients’ assets – as are certain offshore tax havens. Now global regulations demand that banks open their lists to the relevant tax authorities and failure to do so has resulted in massive fines. This means that rich people have fewer places to hide their undeclared gains. Also, India recently scrapped the use of large-denomination currency notes to crimp their black economy. That shock caused some havoc and temporarily reduced its quarterly growth figures and reduced the wealth of the super-rich by 1 percent. In the future India may halt the use of credit cards, moving instead to biometrics – validating transactions by an eye or thumb scan. I began this piece by suggesting that ESGs are blossoming worldwide. It may be a case of there being a time when influential individuals all have the same idea at approximately the same time. This is noticeable in science when breakthroughs happen in different parts of the world by groups apparently unconnected to each other. Of course they are not “unconnected” as they will have studied the same things and been to the same conferences, but the groundswell ensures the development bursts forth. Perhaps it is time for the world to become more transparent, more inclined to observe better environmental practices, to support better social policies and to adhere to strongly principled rules of governance applied to political as well as commercial practice. We are all facing huge global pressures – it is time to be concerned about our future and it is time for strong global leadership. The 19th National People’s Congress in October may be a defining moment for China to define new developments for the world’s second-largest economy. Dr. Frank-Jürgen Richter is founder and chairman of Horasis, a global visions community dedicated to inspiring our future. Horasis is using its unrivalled history of partnership with corporations from emerging markets to create a powerful platform for cooperation between emerging and developed markets. Plant trees while you search the web Ecosia is a social business run by a small group of dedicated people. We work together to create tools that empower everyone to easily do good by planting trees. We believe our trees have the power to make this world a better place for everyone in it. Ecosia is a social business run by a small group of dedicated people. We work together to create tools that empower everyone to easily do good by planting trees. We believe our trees have the power to make this world a better place for everyone in it. The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  November 2017 Demography of Europe withMichael Akerib Musings on the future are often quite narrow in scope (e.g. specific technologies) and time. The near future is obviously of great interest as it’s our next page, but it’s one page in a very long book and sometimes you need to read the whole book to get the best sense of what the next page might hold. That approach is taken here when considering the demographics of Europe – the story starts 9000 years ago and spans the planet. Sit back, soak it in, and only then wonder about the future. — Paul Holister Table of ContentHistory 1:16Now 25:52Migration 28:27Opportunities 48:58 The Future Now Showfeatures Credits Michael Akerib, Rector, Swiss UMEF University. www.umef-university.chPaul Holister, Editor, Summary Text The Future Now Show Hanlon Lab Hanlon Lab is largely devoted to camouflage and the highly interdisciplinary approaches necessary to study its mechanisms and functions. We conduct a good deal of field work to understand the sensory world and natural behaviors of marine animals that can change their appearance within one or a few seconds. Our main focus is on cephalopods although recently we have studied flatfish, filefish and groupers that can also produce Rapid Adaptive Camouflage on a time scale somewhat similar to squid, octopus and cuttlefish. We also study terrestrial organisms when appropriate. Our greatest source of inspiration – and our guidance of laboratory studies – has come from field research. We conduct a wide range of experimentation in the laboratory to tease out the details of camouflage that we observe and quantify from field studies. These include mechanisms of visual perception and sensory integration as well as the functional morphology of the complex skin that produces the changeable body patterns. We are highly collaborative and work at multiple levels of integration: from molecules to behavior to ecology. Our central focus is the whole organism, and we use a comparative approach in nearly all of our studies. We often combine art and science in our research, and in some cases our work extends to materials science and engineering. We are consistently involved in public outreach, particularly through natural history television and science-based stories on the world wide web. We welcome inquiries regarding our research. Octopus vulgaris Camouflage Change News about the Future New report: Establishing Best Practice for Forensic DNA Databases This report was developed by the Forensic Genetics Policy Initiative using an innovative consultative approach. The final report reflects input from civil society groups around the world from a human rights perspective. The project began as a result of civil society concerns about the lack of public input and debate regarding the development and expansion of forensic DNA databases around the world. The seven-year project has included extensive monitoring of press articles and legislation from 132 countries, visits to a number of countries with forensic DNA databases or developing new legislation (including UK, USA, China, India, Brazil, South Korea), and extensive discussion with civil society groups, policy makers, lawyers, forensic scientists and academics from many other countries. The project has taken the innovative and unique approach of developing best practice international standards by engaging civil society in extensive discussion and debate. As a result, this report is the most wide-ranging and definitive analysis of human rights safeguards for forensic DNA databases that is available worldwide. The report Changing Societies through Urban Commons Transitions examines the re-emergence of the urban commons as both a bottom-up emergence by citizens/commoners and a radical municipal administrative configuration. Starting with an exploration of the relationship between cities and the commons, with a particular focus on the recent revival and growth of urban commons, we attempt to answer the question of why urban commons are so crucial for a social-ecological transition. Then we review grassroots initiatives for urban commons transitions both in the global north and south, but with specific attention towards the municipal coalitions of Barcelona, Bologna, Naples, Frome and Ghent. As a conclusion we propose an institutional framework for urban commons transitions. We look to answer the following questions: i) what can cities do to respond to the new demands of citizens as commoners; ii) what their role may be in facilitating a social-ecological transition; and iii) what institutional adaptations would favour such a role. Hashgraph – The Future of Blockchain Hashgraph – The future of decentralized technology. Core concepts For the full document THE SWIRLDS HASHGRAPH CONSENSUS ALGORITHM: FAIR, FAST, BYZANTINE FAULT TOLERANCE click here The hashgraph consensus algorithm is based on the following core concepts.• Transactions – any member can create a signed transaction at any time. All members get a copy of it, and the community reaches Byzantine agreement on the order of those transactions.• Fairness – it should be difficult for a small group of attackers to unfairlyinfluence the order of transactions that is chosen as the consensus.• Gossip – information spreads by each member repeatedly choosing another member at random, and telling them all they know• Hashgraph – a data structure that records who gossiped to whom, and in what order.• Gossip about gossip – the hashgraph is spread through the gossip protocol. The information being gossiped is the history of the gossip itself, so it is “gossip about gossip”. This uses very little bandwidth overhead beyond simply gossiping the transactions alone.• Virtual voting – every member has a copy of the hashgraph, so Alice can calculate what vote Bob would have sent her, if they had been running a traditional Byzantine agreement protocol that involved sending votes. So Bob doesn’t need to actually her the vote. Every member can reach Byzantine agreement on any number of decisions, without a single vote ever being sent. The hashgraph alone is sufficient. So zero bandwidth is used, beyond simply gossiping the hashgraph.• Famous witnesses – The community could put a list of n transactions into order by running separate Byzantine agreement protocols on O(n log n) different yes/no questions of the form “did event x come before event y?” A much faster approach is to pick just a few events (vertices in the hashgraph),to be called witnesses, and define a witness to be famous if the hashgraph shows that most members received it fairly soon after it was created. Then it’s sufficient to run the Byzantine agreement protocol only for witnesses, deciding for each witness the single question “is this witness famous?” Once Byzantine agreement is reached on the exact set of famous witnesses, it is easy to derive from the hashgraph a fair total order for all events.• Strongly seeing – given any two vertices x and y in the hashgraph, it can be immediately calculated whether x can strongly see y, which is defined to be true if they are connected by multiple directed paths passing through enough members. This concept allows the key lemma to be proved: that if Alice and Bob are both able to calculate Carol’s virtual vote on a given question, then Alice and Bob get the same answer. That lemma forms the foundation for the rest of the mathematical proof of Byzantine agreement with probability one. Mance Harmon, CEO of Swirlds, describes Hashgraph compared to the rest of the market, both in terms of performance and security. Learn more about Proof of Work, Leader-Based, Economy-Based, Voting-Based, and Virtual Voting Systems. September 19th, 2017, TechCrunch Disrupt San Francisco Recommended Book Home Made Bio Electronic Artsby D. Landwehr, V. Kuni “Science for everyone” is the motto of a new movement involving biology and electronics. Here the do-it-yourself approach that is already well-established on the electronics and computer scene is applied to the field of natural sciences, blurring the borderlines between art and science. The artists and scientists who work in the interdisciplinary way refer to themselves as bio-hackers or bio-punks and deliberately take up the creative impetus provided by those two movements. Their research aims to communicate scientific knowledge that is otherwise reserved for insiders only. BLOOM – Smart surface for spatial acoustics BLOOM : A smart, shape-shifting textile surface for acoustic modulation from Yeadon Space Agency on Vimeo. BLOOM regulates acoustic issues in large spaces by opening and closing a knitted surface to provide the right amount of sound attenuation when it is needed. During the development of this project, our team was captivated by the idea of an acoustic cloud that can be folded as simply as origami paper, by using technical knits, smart materials, coded movement, and small modular components. We envision the invention to be suspended from ceilings, where it is sensitive to sound and therefore interacts and behaves intuitively, opening or closing to create a responsive environment. The structure of BLOOM’s surface opens to absorb sound waves and prevent direct reflection of noise. When reverberant sound is desirable, the surface closes up to permit increased reflection around the space that BLOOM inhabits. The geometry of the knitted origami surface is based on pedesis, wherein slightly dissimilar triangular shapes repeat in an aperiodic manner, thus absorbing a broad range of sound frequencies. Additionally, the fibers that are used in the technical knit have a fluffy, hollow structure, with desirable properties for absorbing sound. The fluffy surface interrupts sound reflection so that the sound waves propagate within the surface itself. An increase in the volume of noise that one experiences in a room causes the surface to unfold, exposing more and more fibrous surface area to absorb the unwanted din. Hence, BLOOM can manage the quality of sound that is needed for a specific situation and crowd. Each flower cluster that makes up the surface of BLOOM is designed and tailored from fiber to shape. By being able to custom design the fiber yarns, we control the acoustic qualities of BLOOM, and its lightweight construction. Every single stitch is digitally programmed, which creates the shape and folds instantly for direct application. PRODUCTION Creating a modular system provides us the freedom to easily customize BLOOM for clients. The system could be installed in intimate restaurants and conference rooms, or large airports, schools, auditoriums, and libraries. Each basic module contains a standardized actuator component with a six arms that are digitally controlled by a microprocessor, combined with weighted battens that are integrated into the textile. The entire system is designed to be infinitely variable. Thus, BLOOM has the capability to be adjusted in scale, material and color, due to the use of digital knitting technology and the repetition of modular, manufactured components. The production of BLOOM for a specific installation would ideally be done near the location of the project, by providing digital files to regional fabricators, but the entire system can also be easily shipped for installation. The lightweight, folding pieces makes transport relatively efficient and inexpensive. ULTRANOW X BRIEFING: UBERBABE SOS WOW NOW ULTRANOW briefings are advisory bullets traversing every sector of civilization – providing forecasting, analysis and advisory insights on how to prosper integrously. ULTRANOW briefings are brought to you by Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. and UAI CEO Lise Voldeng.  UAI is an accelerator. We train individuals to lead themselves, their lives, their organizations, and their countries with joyous, prosperous integrity. We forecast developments across every sector of civilization. We develop product solutions for every sector of civilization. We develop and direct missions. And we invest in, advise, and mentor individuals and organizations. ULTRA-AGENT INDUSTRIES INC.[ worldbuilder luxe. for warrior worldbuilders. ] www.ultraagentindustries.com shows : Insight courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng. Title credits music courtesy of UAI CEO Lise Voldeng and Elad Marish. Supported by the Club of Amsterdam. In the covered wagon days of the Internet, I used to tell my Hollywood peers something like, “If you can tell a beautiful story around a campfire, you can tell a beautiful story in any medium.” Today I say, it started it starts with love, singing true. Here is an excerpt from my triple trilogy of my true campfire stories, “uberbabe: sos (stars over shootland), wow (worlds over war), now (nucleus of wonder).” Lisa (Lise) Voldeng: CEO, creator, futurist, and investor. Runs accelerator Ultra-Agent Industries Inc. Loves icecream and integrity. Voldeng consistently forecasts global developments (across every sector of civilization) and successfully implements solutions to help us prosper. She builds brands, markets, organizations, platforms, products, and experiences. She invests in, advises and mentors individuals and organizations who want to prosper integrously. Futurist Portrait: Olakunle Soriyan Olakunle Soriyan – a MasterMind .. Futurist .. Thought Revolutionist .. NATION-BUILDER .. NORMALCY is NOT my thing .. & CONFORMITY is an ADVERSARY. Olakunle Soriyan is based in Nigeria. THE OLAKUNLE SORIYAN COMPANY is a research-driven training, consulting and coaching nation-building social enterprise mapping out solutions to African challenges, developing insight on the most pressing issues, shaping culture and impacting the course of history by mobilizing, inspiring and empowering society’s thinkers, decision makers and influencers; as well as supporting and defending the most vulnerable. “Why I Exist? I am a research-driven nation-building entity mapping out solutions to African challenges, developing insight on the most pressing issues, shaping culture and impacting the course of history by mobilizing, inspiring and empowering society’s thinkers, decision makers and influencers; as well as supporting and defending the most vulnerable amongst us. I primarily exist to improve the state of Africa by ensuring that the people, institutions and organizations of Africa are on the list of the world’s most purposeful, inventive and impactful entities by the year 2035 and beyond. This is why I exist. It is timeless and will never change.” Why Nigeria has bad leaders printable version

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, December 2017, Issue 200

Content Europe’s slow suicide by Michael Akerib Europe – too old to grow? by Miraç Yazici The Future Now Show: Happy Rain with Isabelle Antunès Cryptocurrencies & AI with Quinn Michaels News about the Future: Metasonics / NexLoop Build on Water Recommended Book: Eating Promiscuously: Adventures in the Future of Food by James McWilliams Music with Plants with Mileece Futurist Portrait: Morgaine Gaye Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal.  The Future Now Show: Happy Rain with Isabelle Antunès Storytelling is a fundamental part of what makes humans successful. This is a story about how farming communities in Bangladesh were transformed by an idea that allowed them to profit from the monsoon season instead of migrating away and waiting for it to pass. But it’s also a story about a story, about the documentary that was made and how this has been woven in to the evolution and spread of this transformative idea. – Paul Holister Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Europe’s slow suicide by Michael Akerib, Owner of Innovax, Rector, Swiss UMEF University. www.umef-university.ch ‘I felt that Europe, in its state of derangement, had passed its own death sentence – our sacred home of Europe, both the cradle and the Parthenon of Western civilization.’Stefan Zweig ‘The ageing of populations has touched several populations in history: Greece, Rome and Venice are the most famous examples. Every time, this has led to the death of that particular population.’Alfred Sauvy A brief history The original European population was Homo antecessor and Heidelberg followed by Neanderthals eventually replaced by the Homo sapiens migrants. There seems thus to be an original bias in favor of Europeans as the Heidelberg man had a larger brain than the original Asian population. It is our ancestors who invented agriculture. Migration is a phenomenon as old as humanity and is a well-proven strategy to have better opportunities for both the migrants and their children as well as for escaping natural catastrophes or political oppression. There have also been cases of forced migration, and the slave trade has been one of them.The Dark Ages saw a general decline in Europe – of population, but also of trade, and conversely, an increase in immigration and epidemics. However, in the later period, and until the thirteenth century, the population tripled, reaching 60 million. Europe had a period of intense technological progress in the first millennium, sometimes based on original Chinese inventions and sometimes on inventions that had originated during the period of the Roman Empire, then forgotten and rediscovered. Black Death, in the 13th and 14th century led to a population decline. The 15th century saw the beginning of the Age of Discovery during which European explorers and sea captains sought new trade routes and new lands. Improved ships and firepower allowed them to succeed in acquiring precious metals such as gold and silver as well as spices, but also food and oil. It boosted several industries such as shipbuilding and fisheries. Straddling the 18th and 19th centuries, Malthus (1766 – 1834) published his Essay on the Principles of Population, putting forward the argument that the exhaustion of limited resources such as land and food would limit population growth. Hence, population growth will be limited, he thought, by famines. He has been proven wrong due to technology, the import of foodstuff from the new lands, immigration of Europeans towards other countries and early forms of family planning. The Industrial Revolution, which started at the same time as Malthus published his book, saw the European population grow by 100 million in a century, to reach 266 million by 1850. Technology no doubt contributed greatly by decreasing poverty and thus allowed more money to be used for bringing up the children. Population growth continued to reach 487 million by 1920. Urban centers, whether London or Paris, grew at an even faster rate. European population growth took place in spite of an important child mortality,, with half the children dying before the age of 5 when those with the poorest parents will be placed to work in factories in conditions unimaginable today. Causes of death of the population generally are dysentery, influenza, plague, smallpox and typhus. Even though worldwide population grew to reach 900 million by 1800 with both Europe’s and China’s population doubling, mostly due to a slight increase in the birth rates, by 1850, Europe’s population overtook that of China in a demographic and economic breakthrough that has been called The Great Divergence. The contribution of Europe and the Americas to world output increased to reach 51%, with a corresponding decrease of China’s share. Europe’s Industrial Revolution was the fruit of slave labor, unfair trade practices, and cheap energy from coal. The impact of the Industrial Revolution also touched agriculture and allowed an increase in productivity and therefore an improved nutrition for the entire population. Families were able to finance and provide financing for the new industries. Child mortality decreased due to the reduction in infectious diseases. Families reduced the number of births. Reduced smoking, improved nutrition and increased exercise contributed greatly in improving longevity. So did the frequent use of soap and the boiling of water. Europe will thus take advantage of the demographic dividend. The increased number of the working-age population led to an immigration boom to the American continent where labor was scarce. In fact, 60 million Europeans immigrated to the American and African continents as well as to Australasia in the 19th century. This allowed Europeans to control increasingly large amounts of land, with a peak of 84% of the world’s land in 1914. The twentieth centuryThe 20th century saw the world’s population soar from 1.6 billion to 6 billion, infant mortality drop by between 70% and 80%, and life expectancy double to reach 60. Since the medical industry was focusing on adults rather than children, it is the adults who saw their diseases being successfully controlled – dysentery, malaria, scurvy, syphilis, among others. Vaccination was also a major step in reducing mortality. Simultaneously, a number of public health improvements took place particularly with regards to milk and water supply, the poisoning of rats, slum clearing and swamp draining. The end result was the near eradication of death from infectious diseases, allowing a doubling of life expectancy. Europe witnessed a fast growing economy from 1945 to 1973, making it the second fastest growing zone after Japan, by whatever economic measure. 1973 brutally ended that period. Production in many industries fell considerably, jobs moved from industry to services, high unemployment followed. Average salaries decreased. Very large migratory movements occurred in the 20th century, essentially due to wars and to the decolonization process and the consequent break up of certain countries such as India. Today The European Union is today the world’s largest single market and its currency, the Euro, the world’s second biggest currency. The level of unemployment which peaked at 12% in 2013 is now back to 9.5%. However, 40% of the jobs are not permanent positions and nearly 20% are part-time positions. Youth unemployment remains a major problem. This is partly due to the fact that legislation protects people who have jobs and therefore corporations are afraid to hire. Many Europeans have doubts and even negative attitudes towards the European Union, viewing it as a bureaucratic organization to which they do not relate. The numerous rules and regulations are viewed as an infringement on freedoms. There is also the issue of the refugees to which the EU does not seem able to give a coherent response. Decolonization and economic expansion in Britain and France brought to their shores migrants from the former colonies with major population flows from 1960 to 1973, reaching up to 6% of the European workforce. It was a very different population from today’s migrants. Unemployment, large wage differentials between Europe and developing countries and inside their own country, are the driving factors of today’s immigration flow. However, increasing salaries in developing countries appears to be counterproductive as it allows individuals and families to be able to afford a safer crossing into a host country. Today there is an estimated 250 million migrants, of which only 10% are women, including both legal and illegal migrants, representing 3% of the world’s population. Immigration from Africa to Europe is not likely to shrink, in particular due to wars and climatic warming, to the delight of corporations but to the watchful eyes of governments that have to bear the cost of social services. 2015 saw over one million immigrants arrive in Germany. The total number of legal migrants in the EU is of 11 million and there is an unknown number of illegal migrants. Many immigrants do not integrate and live in ghettos, uninterested by education and therefore limiting their access to employment with a carry-over effect of up to three generations. However, this is definitely not the case for all immigrants. Over a third of them have a college education and many of them have an entrepreneurial spirit. Immigrants have been blamed by working class people of having taken their jobs, when in fact this is due to the transfer of production units to Asia. The labor pool has become global and a new category of workers retain a base in their home country which they leave a few months per year to work abroad and return with their savings. A more serious issue has been the fear of loss of national identity. Systems and procedures to halt migration can be put in place and there are presently discussions in the EU to decide which, if any, are to be adopted, in particular concerning refugees and asylum-seeker. The United Nations refugee agency numbers them, across the world as being 10 million. Some have been admitted legally, others have reached Europe’s shores by raft. In view of the diverging points of view of the various member states of the EU, taking a decision is not easy and has led to major tensions in the Union. Immigration has been considered a problem to which the state should offer solutions. Nowadays, there seems to be some agreement among the Member States’ governments in order to jointly deal with questions concerning immigration and asylum: the impossibility of tackling this problem independently. At the same time, the peculiarities of each State in relation to this phenomenon and the perceptions and national normative references regarding the content of the immigration process complicate the attainment of clear and binding agreements. The futureThe future is unpredictable, but trends can be detected and projections made. With the present fertility rates, Europe’s population in 2060 will represent only 5% of the world’s. The continent’s GDP will have dropped significantly. It will also be the world’s oldest region with a median age of 45. Immigration cannot be viewed as a reasonable solution as it would require allowing 13 million migrants per year if one is to keep the ratio of 4 to 5 active persons for each pensioner. It seems we can safely say that Europe is dying by suicide both through the sharp decline in demography and through its attitude to the rest of the world, almost excusing itself for its very existence. The massive entry of foreigners, in particular from the Middle East and Africa, is changing the ethnic composition and the culture of the continent in ways that were not predicted as assimilation has been the key word over the last fifty years. However, it has not happened. The hybrid culture that many intellectuals believed in has also not happened. Instead, we are witnessing a rise in the number of Moslems entering the country and maintaining their own way of life and wishing to Islamize Europe. The Islamization of Europe is unlikely to happen in the immediate future as the number of Moslems is not sufficient and unlikely to grow out of proportion. Further, the third generation is generally not sufficiently religious. The death of Europe? Europeans generally have lost faith in their political institutions and Europe seems to have gone into a decaying process like previous old civilizations before our time. One of the most important issues has become the change in Europe’s ethnic composition. The divide has been between those praising European culture, identity and liberal values, and wishing to maintain it, on the one hand and those praising diversity on the other hand. The position of this last group is based, among other thoughts on the fact that there is no country in the world that has a homogeneous population and identity due to the various migrations that have occurred over centuries. Diversity assumes that immigrants will want to blend and not maintain their own ethnic profiles. There is also the issue of access to jobs and to public services. The confrontation between the two has led those in favor of diversity to accuse the others of racism. What is certain is that the liberal values so dear to the Europeans are severely put into question. Movements closely recalling fascism are gaining ground and democratic forces seem reluctant to fight for their own values. Europe is committing a slow suicide. It no longer believes in its right of existence. The long build-up of European culture seems to have hit a wall. Our children and grandchildren will soon be taught at school that they should be ashamed of being European. Europe – too old to grow? by Miraç Yazici, Intern at Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, Nevsehir, Turkey The elderly population is rising faster than all younger age groups globally. It is a global phenomenon and called population ageing. Population aging is the increase of the share of people aged 65 and over among other age groups in a society, due to rising life expectancy and fertility declines. Europe has the greatest percentage of population aged 60 or over, with 25 per cent. Hang on tight, population aged 60 or over will reach nearly 250 millions in 2050 and it is more than one- third of European population. [1] Facts about population agingWhen looking at population aging from an economic perspective, the question is: can an ageing society sustain growth? A recent study conducted in US finds that a 10 percent increase in the population ages 60 and over decreases the growth rate of GDP per capita by 5.5 per cent. Two- thirds of the reduction is due to slower growth in the labor productivity of workers, while one-third is from slower labor force growth. It also finds that GDP growth will slow by 1.2 percent this decade and 0.6 per cent next decade due to population aging in US. [2] Population aging leads to declining workforce, lower fertility, and an increase in the age dependency ratio (the ratio of working-age to old-age groups). The demographic age dependency ratio set to nearly double over the long- term.This implies that the The European Union would move from having 4 working- age people for every person aged 65 and over to about 2 working-age persons by 2060. Total workforce in European Union members is expected to contract by 11.8 per cent between 2020 and 2060. [3] Population ageing will tend to lower both workforce participation and savings ratios, This process will negatively impact economics growth in European Union. Total labour supply in The European Union is projected to stabilise between 2013 and 2023, while it is projected to decline by 8.2 per cent between 2023 and 2060, representing 19 million less people. [4] In addition to rising old-age dependency, declines in the share of young workers among working population are believed to have negative consequences on innovation. There is a fresh study about population ageing and innovation relationship. Study on OECD countries, finds that population aging leads to declines in innovation activity. [5] Last but not the least, growing older population means higher healthcare costs and long- term healthcare spending may cause a fiscal sustainability risk. Increasing costs of public systems of health care, pensions and social protections for a growing older population will also have negative impact on economic growth through higher tax rates. [6] Population aging is creating new opportunitiesWhile having mentioned adverse effects of population ageing, there are also positive effects of this global phenomenon like big business opportunities. Baby boomers travel more than ever before, so travel and tourism industry will benefit from demographic transition. [7] Additionally, companies in healthcare sector will also enjoy increasing profits. Based on US, an investment bank’s research found that people over 65 spends five times more than under 25, on healthcare. [8] Also growing demand for independent living communities, assisted living communities and nursing homes will boost real estate sector. [9] Companies have their own methods to tackle with consequences of demographic change in their labor markets, which increasingly consist of older workers. BMW is one of them, a pilot production line was staffed with workers with an average age of 47, to represent a year-2017 mix of employees. which solve increasing older workers problem. [10] To some extent, there are more sectors benefiting from population ageing like financial services, pharmaceuticals and leisure services. Growth of the elderly population in Europe is effecting society in economic, social, political aspects. In the next decades, Europe will face population ageing related challenges and opportunities intensively. It doens’t have to be a time bomb. Every kind of change has pros and cons. Companies in European economies, which can adapt fast and efficient will mostly benefit from this unique demographic transition terms [1] United Nations, Population Division, Population Facts, No:2017/1, accessed on 31 August 2017. [2] The Effect of Population Aging on Economic Growth, the Labor Force and Productivity, Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen and David Powell, accessed on 31 August 2017. [3] Europe’s Shrinking, Aging Population, Stratfor, 13 June 2012, accessed on 31 August 2017. [4] The 2015 Ageing Report, European Economy 3/2015, accessed on 31 August 2017, European Commision. [5] Medium-Run Implications of Changing Demographic Structures for the Macro-Economy, Yunus Aksoy, Henrique S. Basso, Ron P. Smith, National Institute Economic Review, Volume: 241 issue: 1, page(s): 58-64, accessed on 31 August 2017. [6] Population Ageing is One of the Greatest Challenges Facing the 21st Century, thewire.in, Joseph Chamie, 16 August 2017, accessed on 31 August 2017. [7] Forget millennial backpackers – globe-trotting baby boomers are transforming travel, 06 April 2017, accessed on 31 August 2017 [8] How to make money from the world’s ageing population, The Telegraph , Richar Dyson, 20 July 2013, accessed on 31 August 2017. [9] How ToMake Money From The Global Aging Megatrend,,Forbes, Richard Eisenberg, 9 May 2016, accessed on 26 August 2017. [10] The Globe: How BMW Is Defusing the Demographic Time Bomb, Harvard Business Review, March 2010, accessed on 13 September 2017. The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  December 2017 Happy Rain withIsabelle Antunès Storytelling is a fundamental part of what makes humans successful. This is a story about how farming communities in Bangladesh were transformed by an idea that allowed them to profit from the monsoon season instead of migrating away and waiting for it to pass. But it’s also a story about a story, about the documentary that was made and how this has been woven in to the evolution and spread of this transformative idea. – Paul Holister Support and collaborations required to use Happy Rain to provide 5 million people with food, jobs and improved livelihood in floodplains!  Turning floods into an assetin BangladeshProject  proposal presented by  Dr. Isabelle  Antunès Credits Isabelle Antunès, Documentary film maker, Francewww.isabelleantunes.com/contactwww.isabelleantunes.com/happy-rain Paul Holister, Editor, Summary Text The Future Now Show Cryptocurrencies & AI Quinn Michaels and Jason Goodman to discuss AI and investigate the connections between cryptocurrency and Artificial Intelligence. The SingularityNET protocol enables a global AI marketplace. As it matures, it will contribute to a decentralized, market-based artificial general intelligence for the benefit of all. News about the Future Metasonics Metasonics technology has been developed by a team of researchers at the Universities of Sussex and Bristol.Enhanced control over sound will give technology greater power to enhance people’s lives. From bespoke therapeutic wearables to personalised multi-sensory experiences, Metasonics will give customers the flexibility and freedom to do much more with products.Controlling acoustic fields is crucial in diverse applications such as loudspeaker design, ultrasound imaging and therapy, or acoustic particle manipulation. Here, using a process of analogue-to-digital conversion and wavelet decomposition, we develop the notion of quantal meta-surfaces. The quanta here are small, pre-manufactured three-dimensional units – which we call metamaterial bricks – each encoding a specific phase delay. These bricks can be assembled into meta-surfaces to generate any diffraction-limited acoustic field. This powerful methodology dramatically simplifies the design of acoustic devices and provides a key-step towards realising spatial sound modulators Team NexLoop developed the AquaWeb to help urban local food producers collect, filter, store, and distribute atmospheric moisture with a modular, all-in-one water sourcing and management system. AquaWeb harnesses freely available rain and fog and uses passive strategies to distribute this water so that urban farms, including greenhouses, indoor vertical farms, and container farms, can save energy and become more resilient to disturbances.Each aspect of AquaWeb’s design was inspired by living systems. These include how cribellate orb weaver spider webs collect fog from the air, how drought-tolerant plants like the crystalline ice plant store water, and how mycorrhizal fungi like the Jersey cow mushroom distribute water. The team also looked to the dwarf honey bee’s hexagonal nest structure for AquaWeb’s efficient and modular design. How Nanotechnology Will Bring The End of Scarcity Venezia Japan to build cities in the ocean Building for the future featuring Koen Olthuis The world’s first floating city will emerge in 2020 Recommended Book Eating Promiscuously: Adventures in the Future of Foodby James McWilliams The human practice of farming food has failed. There are 7,500 known varieties of domesticated apples; we regularly eat about five. Seventy-five percent of the world’s food derives from five animals and twelve plants. Factory-farmed meat is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions (about 14 percent, larger than transportation) and consumes 75 percent of the water in drought-prone regions such as the West. We are stuck in a rut of limited choices, and the vast majority of what we eat is detrimental to our health and the welfare of the planet. But what if we could eliminate agriculture as we know it? What if we could start over? James McWilliams’s search for a more expansive palate leads him to those who are actively exploring the fringes of what we can eat, a group of outliers seeking nutrition innovation outside the industrial food system. Here, we meet insect manufacturers, seaweed harvesters, road kill foragers, plant biologists, and oyster farmers who seek to open both our minds and our mouths – and to overturn our most basic assumptions about food, health, and ethics. Eating Promiscuously generates hope for a more tasteful future – one in which we eat thousands of foods rather than dozens – with a new philosophy that could save both ourselves and our planet. Music with Plants Mileece is a sonic artist and environmental designer who’s developed the technology to give silent seedlings a portal to their own sonic expression. Mileece is the stage name of Mileece Abson, an English sound artist and environmental designer. She makes music with plants. Meet the Sonic Artist Making Music with Plants: Sound Builders Futurist Portrait: Morgaine Gaye Dr Morgaine Gaye is Director of Bellwether: Food Trends, an annual B2B future-food trend research compendium and has her own healthfood product range of functional food blends called Dr Gaye, which is sold globally online. Morgaine looks at food and eating from a social, cultural, economic, trend, branding and geo-political perspective. Her work involves consulting for food companies and manufacturers, delivering bespoke trend briefings and new product development ideation. “As a Food Futurologist, I don’t look into crystal balls and predict that the future is filled with tall, dark handsome waiters but I do get to talk about food in all different contexts and capacities (I don’t make tubes of food for space ships, or invent new substances like edible lycra – although I’d quite like to and I’m open to offers…) I am passionate about what I do because of how food affects us all on a daily basis. I have a team of wonderful researchers who help me search, scour, interview, write and compile an food trend compendium Bellwether : Food Trends www.bellwetherft.com which forecasts 3 years in advance and I present and deliver some of that content or more bespoke research. Food is a complex topic and involves society, behaviour, geo-politics, culture, beliefs, history, trends, fads, art, marketing, sensorial perceptions, biology and, well, almost everything. On this site you’ll see a variety of ways in which these elements inform different aspects of the work. I apply modern scientific research to history, nature and global cultural theory, branding, marketing and consumer behaviour and help ad agencies, PR companies and brands with new brand extensions/NPD, future gazing and trend reports. Amongst other things, this also involves public and private lectures/seminars, keynote speaking, academic research and publications, journalistic insights into food trends and helping established companies to revive their food brands. In short, as a Food Futurologist, I explore all the facets of food; future food trends, why we eat what we eat, believe what we believe and what the future of food looks like printable version

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, February 2018, Issue 202

Content Does Passion Ignite Perception by Mara Lemanis The Library of Congress The Future Now Show: Social Banking with Christian Heyner World’s biggest ‘smart city’ to rise in Philippines News about the Future:This is how money grows from trees / UNICEF Sudan Humanitarian Situation Report, December 2017 How Nanotechnology Will Bring The End of Scarcity by James Burke Recommended Book:Dawn of the New Everything: A Journey Through Virtual Reality by Jaron Lanier Common Sense – helping kids thrive in a world of media and technology Futurist Portrait: Bertalan Meskó Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal.  The Future Now Show: Social Banking with Christian Heyner It is a strange and unfortunate fact of life that many things people in the developed world pay little for cost substantially more in the developing world. One of these is banking, often costly in the developing world while in much of the developed world banks now offer you money to encourage you to open a charges-free account. Meanwhile, the once highly praised micro-credit systems are now charging loan shark interest rates in some poor countries. This is the story of a new attempt to change all that by creating a global low-cost banking service cleverly designed to be accessible to the poorest. And you can play a part. – Paul Holister Felix F Bopp, Founder & Chairman Does Passion Ignite Perception by Mara Lemanis So many of us have grown up with and then outgrown the division between passion and reason. But early imprinting still urges us to demote one or the other as we set out on our personal course or career, convictions intact. Hamlet’s cry: “Give me that man that is not passion’s slave, and I will wear him in my heart’s core,” is a great motto for many. Conversely, in The Mirror and the Lamp, the great critic M.H. Abrams refers to a quote from the 18th c. playwright John Dennis: “The more passion there is, the better the Poetry.” But I admit to having read poems where passion peaks into barbaric yawps. We’ve been flooded by many therapeutic formulas both to quiet raging passions and skim top-heavy doses of intellection. One of these, especially trendy in today’s culture, is “Mindfulness,” which some objective heads deride as “McMindfulness” — a marketing tool. In fact the mindfulness technique has proved effective at reducing anxiety and stress in many people, deprogramming harmful emotions and addictive passions. It’s an approach that works. Apparently it’s also a program that has become a commodity. To Be or Not To Be Mindful We know it too as a concept birthed through Buddhism. Its original aim was meant to generate unbiased perception of actual events in the world, understanding of one’s own involvement in those events, and compassionate reaction toward all participants, especially those suffering adversity. It underscored exercising compassion for those on opposite ends to one’s own perceptions. But as practiced in the west mindfulness often glosses over the original Buddhist emphasis on compassion, which welcomes foreign and contrary viewpoints that challenge our personal perceptions. Yet following the western model, it can’t be denied that when we’re less depressed or anxious, or less obsessed, we’re prone to make more room for the anxieties and woes of others. I think it’s worth reflecting on how compassion swells into passion. Compassion absorbs sympathy for another person’s sensibility and pain and grows into a strong desire to stop the pain. At that point it transforms into empathy; so it makes sense that strong desire equates with passion. But this is not the common measure. Compulsion or Passion? Clinical psychologists distinguish between compulsive passion and voluntary passion. Clearly compulsions are not under one’s control, whereas voluntary passions are engaged in freely. One of the most valuable insights of Buddhism is how it alerts us to awareness of things in relation to each other, evolving into an awareness of their relative value – prodding us to remember (Smriti) that whatever emotion we experience exists in relation to a mosaic of feelings with either benevolent or noxious outcomes. In remembering, one rises past present-centered, non-judgmental mindfulness toward insights keenly retained. Often this catalyzes a call to ethical action. In the west mindfulness strives to dispose of prejudices, to foster awareness of the moment – the self present in the moment. But retention and remembering can also stir our attention toward sensory experience. Which doesn’t mean that the sensation we have retained necessarily craves after something. Instead it embraces the experience (anubhavah) of our being in the world, often inspired through the medium of art – music, dance, drama, poetry – and leads us to self-knowledge. Because this knowledge can come as a sudden insight, its culmination can be enlightenment, self-revelation, even rapture. Insights Inviting Ecstasy What elation, for instance, when we evoke the memories of perfumes that suffused our senses as we strolled in a garden full of lilacs, freesias, or honeysuckle, or tread through a forest, inhaling the fragrance of pine. And though the moment of exhilaration is transitory, it unites the self with the natural world. It boosts consciousness. Mindful memory enables us to freely recall the feeling of blissful attention evoked by strands of music, images in particular paintings, glints of wit and vision released by certain poems and texts. Or the euphoric scent of intimacy when we make love in contrast to the tang of physical contact when we have sex. Embracing one’s awakened being expresses itself too in the continuous pleasure of work we perform at the peak of our abilities and give to others. In all these ways mindfulness morphs into self-actualization. The character of self-actualized people is autonomous. They don’t cater to societal approval; they seek fulfillment in purposes beyond themselves. Such people detail many instances of “peak experiences” kindred to a sense of ecstasy and oneness with the universe, sustained within a strong, calm, centered self. Probably the most dramatic kind of mindfulness beyond ego, involving millions of people, is witnessed in social reform. This is well-documented in the passionate self-sacrifice of persons like Gandhi; Martin Luther King; the civil rights worker Viola Liuzzo, a white woman relentlessly struggling against segregation before she was felled by a gunman. Their biographies are clear accounts of empathy with those made wretched by injustice and detail their passionate efforts to kindle mankind’s humanity. The passion for reform among such people can’t be reduced to ego drives. They consider themselves as a vehicle to rouse others who are more concerned with personal acquisition, or, for that matter, personal liberation. Critical Thinking From the Buddha Here is where the standardized objective of Buddhism – nirvana, which translates to no/not craving – branches off from liberation for oneself (with the rationale that what you do for yourself automatically contributes to others) and grows into the pursuit of liberation for all humanity. And here again, it is persons like Bhimrao Ramji Ambedkar, born into the caste of untouchables, who launched human rights campaigns for India’s oppressed and later converted to Buddhism; A.T. Ariyaratne, a high school teacher who helmed a grassroots movement to upgrade agriculture, education, and health that was enacted throughout 15 thousand villages in Sri Lanka; and Buddhadasa Bhikku, who initiated “engaged Buddhism” in Thailand, motivating Theravada monks to do actual work in their communities instead of solely cultivating meditative mastery. Many of these adherents have become “Development Monks” in Thailand and Cambodia. They engage in physical as well as spiritual development to reforest and recultivate the environment and foster economic growth without destroying the countryside. All these movements inspired mindfulness not just beyond ego and passionate avowal but beyond the formal creeds of Buddhism. It was Gautama Buddha himself who warned against accepting his own teachings without first studying, thinking, observing, and investigating before deciding what is true. He strongly advocated freedom of thought and freedom of inquiry. And he invited criticism. Not negation of thought or rationality. Gautama’s attitude highlights the kind of mindfulness in which attentive thoughts are followed by actions that bear fruit. These percepts rise to a flame of passion that does not burn out but ignites the sense of what it means to bear loving kindness for the world and its people. Mara Lemanis has been a teacher and scholar of literature and film at Stanford and Yale; her essays have been selected for 20th CENTURY LITERARY CRITICISM and are included in undergraduate student textbooks in the U.S. She has worked as an archivist for Historical Preservation with particular interest in the study of Oglala Sioux sites at Pine Ridge and Wounded Knee. Her recent work has been with the IRC to assist refugees in Oakland, California. Her father, Osvalds J. Lemanis, was an internationally renowned Latvian choreographer (The Royal Order of Vasa – Gustav V). The Library of Congress The Library of Congress (LOC) is the research library that officially serves the United States Congress and is the de facto national library of the United States. It is the oldest federal cultural institution in the United States. The Library of Congress claims to be the largest library in the world. Its “collections are universal, not limited by subject, format, or national boundary, and include research materials from all parts of the world and in more than 450 languages. The Library has kept the “American Memory” name for its public domain website, which today contains 15 million digital objects, comprising over 7 petabytes. American Memory is a source for public domain image resources, as well as audio, video, and archived Web content. The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  February 2018 Social Banking withChristian Heyner It is a strange and unfortunate fact of life that many things people in the developed world pay little for cost substantially more in the developing world. One of these is banking, often costly in the developing world while in much of the developed world banks now offer you money to encourage you to open a charges-free account. Meanwhile, the once highly praised micro-credit systems are now charging loan shark interest rates in some poor countries. This is the story of a new attempt to change all that by creating a global low-cost banking service cleverly designed to be accessible to the poorest. And you can play a part. – Paul Holister The Future Now Show Credits Christian Heyner, President of the board at 1bank4all Gründungsverein www.1bank4all.net Paul Holister, Editor, Summary Text Credits Katie Aquino, aka “Miss Metaverse”, Futurista™, USA The Future Now Show and join the dialogue in ourLinkedIn Group: The Future Now Show World’s biggest ‘smart city’ to rise in Philippines Philippines FUTURE BIGGEST PROJECTS 2018-2030 “You will see the mega projects that will change the philippines. Philippines passed form a poor country to a emerging country in less than a generation. Manila is now very modern and is full of skyscrapers,malls and other modern things. The skyline of Manila is one of the best in the world. The philippines is a place to travel and visit. The 3 mega projects that will change the country are :the manila mega subway, the Eco friendly city and the city of pearl. One day, Phlippines will be developed . In 2030, the country will be a middle income country. The city of pearl will be the biggest smart city on earth and the manila mega subway will be the biggest infrastructure project of the country.” BBC HardTalk On The Road in the Philippines News about the Future This is how money grows from trees BioCarbon Engineering is featured in a ground-breaking report from World Resources Institute and The Nature Conservancy. As we encounter constraints in the planet’s resources, pressure is growing to find new ways to enhance productivity and recover lost natural assets. Land restoration offers a path forward. Companies that develop profitable and scalable business models for restoration have the potential to grow substantially. UNICEF Sudan Humanitarian Situation Report, December 2017 In addition to the response to the protracted humanitarian situation, caused by armed conflict, floods and epidemics, UNICEF responded in 2017 mainly to three new emergencies related to the high rates of malnutrition in newly accessible areas, the Acute Watery Diarrhoea outbreak and the high influx of South Sudanese refugees. Also, the year marked a huge step forward in protecting children from violations in armed conflict by implementing the Action Plan signed between UN and the government. In numbers2,300,000 children in need4,800,000 people# of people who need Humanitarian Assistance (Source: Sudan Humanitarian Needs Overview 2017) 1,100,000 children2,300,000 people# of internally displaced people (Source: Sudan Humanitarian Needs Overview 2017) 126,987 children192,404 people# of South Sudanese refugees since January 2017 (Source: ’Sudan: Refugees from South Sudan as of 15 December 2017’ reported by UNHCR. Around 66% of South Sudanese refugees are children) How Nanotechnology Will Bring The End of Scarcity by James Burke Recommended Book Dawn of the New Everything: A Journey Through Virtual Realityby Jaron Lanier Jaron Lanier, ‘the father of Virtual Reality … a high-tech genius’ (Sunday Times), tells the extraordinary story of how in just over three decades Virtual Reality went from being a dream to a reality – and how its power to turn dreams into realities will transform us and our world. Virtual Reality has long been one of the dominant clichés of science fiction. Now Virtual Reality is a reality: those big headsets that make people look ridiculous, even while radiating startled delight; the place where war veterans overcome PTSD, surgeries are trialled, aircraft and cities are designed. But VR is far more interesting than any single technology, however spectacular. It is, in fact, the most effective device ever invented for researching what a human being actually is – and how we think and feel. More than thirty years ago, legendary computer scientist, visionary and artist Jaron Lanier pioneered its invention. Here, in what is likely to be one of the most unusual books you ever read, he blends scientific investigation, philosophical thought experiment and his memoir of a life lived at the centre of digital innovation to explain what VR really is: the science of comprehensive illusion; the extension of the intimate magic of earliest childhood into adulthood; a hint of what life would be like without any limits. As Lanier shows, we are standing on the threshold of an entirely new realm of human creativity, expression, communication and experience. While we can use VR to test our relationship with reality, it will test us in return, for how we choose to use it will reveal who we truly are. Welcome to a mind-expanding, life-enhancing, world-changing adventure. Common Sense – helping kids thrive in a world of media and technology Common Sense is the leading independent nonprofit organization dedicated to helping kids thrive in a world of media and technology. We empower parents, teachers, and policymakers by providing unbiased information, trusted advice, and innovative tools to help them harness the power of media and technology as a positive force in all kids’ lives. Media and technology are at the very center of all our lives today — especially our children’s. Kids today spend over 50 hours of screen time every week. The media content they consume and create has a profound impact on their social, emotional, cognitive, and physical development. Learning how to use media and technology wisely is an essential skill for life and learning in the 21st century. But parents, teachers, and policymakers struggle to keep up with the rapidly changing digital world in which our children live and learn. Now more than ever, they need a trusted guide to help them navigate a world where change is the only constant. Futurist Portrait: Bertalan Meskó Dr. Bertalan Meskó MD, PhD. – The Medical Futurist, Private Professor at Semmelweis University, keynote speaker, author, visionary. A geek physician with a PhD in genomics and Amazon Top 100 author, he envisions the impact of digital health technologies on the future of healthcare, and helps patients, doctors, government regulators and companies make it a reality. The mission of The Medical Futurist Institute is to initiate public discussions about how the old paradigm of the paternalistic model of medicine is transforming into an equal level partnership between patients and professionals and how it is aided and augmented by disruptive technologies. By providing reports, publications and daily commentary on new technological innovations, the Institute aims at preparing every stakeholder of healthcare for adopting digital health in a way that the human component remains decisive. Under the term “digital health”, advanced medical technologies, disruptive innovations and digital communication have gradually become inseparable from providing the best practice healthcare. While the cost of treating chronic conditions is increasing and doctor shortages are imminent worldwide, the needed transformation in the structure of healthcare and medicine fails to catch up with the rapid progress of the medical technology industry. This transition is slowed down by strict regulations; the reluctance of stakeholders in healthcare to change; and ignoring the importance of cultural changes and the human factor in an increasingly technological world. With access and adoption of technology getting higher, the risk of patients primarily turning to an accessible, but unregulated technological solution for their health problem is likely to increase. We need to acknowledge the ongoing cultural transformation and include digital health in the practice of medicine. Grand Challenges Embrace disruptive medical technologiesMedical professionals and patients must prepare for a technological revolution in medicine – the only way to make healthcare effective and more humanistic. Put patients in the center of healthcarePatients must become experts on their own health so they can be involved in decisions about their health, while also taking part in designing healthcare Digitize Healthcare InformationDigitalization can make care affordable and available, ensuring sustainability and growing our understanding of disease. Shift focus from treatment to preventionLive healthier lives and prevent disease by reforming healthcare based on widespread access to health data. Technology and the Future of Medicine printable version

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Club of Amsterdam Journal, March 2018, Issue 203

T Content How to make smart cities human again by Nick Malleson & Alison Heppenstall China’s Demography Challenge by Miraç Yazici The Future Now Show:Wearable technology for breast cancer patients with Victor Portes hosted by Miss Metaverse Powering Businesses with Space Data News about the Future: Engineers create plants that glow / Atlas of Sustainable Development Goals 2017 Holo Recommended Book:The Silent Intelligence – The Internet of Things by Daniel Kellmereit, Daniel Obodovski The Still Small Voice in the Eye of Contradiction by Mara Lemanis Futurist Portrait: Nancy Giordano Club of Amsterdam SearchSubmit your articleContactSubscribe Welcome to the  Club of Amsterdam Journal. The Future Now Show: Wearable technology for breast cancer patients with Victor Portes hosted by Miss MetaverseBreast Cancer has a massive impact on a woman’s physical, psychological, social-cultural economical well-being. This extends to their families and in some cases, to entire communities. Continuous research and development of materials and technologies include wearable technology, artificial intelligence, 3D scanning and 3D printing solutions forthe purpose of realizing external customized breast prosthesesthat provide comfort, functionality and their personal lifestyle. Felix B Bopp, Founder & Chairman How to make smart cities human again By Nick Malleson, Associate Professor of Geographical Information Systems, University of Leeds & Alison Heppenstall, Professor in Geocomputation, University of Leeds Huge quantities of networked sensors have appeared in cities across the world in recent years. These include cameras and sensors that count the number of passers by, devices to sense air quality, traffic flow detectors, and even bee hive monitors. There are also large amounts of information about how people use cities on social media services such as Twitter and foursquare. Citizens are even making their own sensors – often using smart phones – to monitor their environment and share the information with others; for example, crowd-sourced noise pollution maps are becoming popular. All this information can be used by city leaders to create policies, with the aim of making cities “smarter” and more sustainable. But these data only tell half the story. While sensors can provide a rich picture of the physical city, they don’t tell us much about the social city: how people move around and use the spaces, what they think about their cities, why they prefer some areas over others, and so on. For instance, while sensors can collect data from travel cards to measure how many people travel into a city every day, they cannot reveal the purpose of their trip, or their experience of the city. With a better understanding of both social and physical data, researchers could begin to answer tough questions about why some communities end up segregated, how areas become deprived, and where traffic congestion is likely to occur.Difficult questions Determining how and why such patterns will emerge is extremely difficult. Traffic congestion happens as a result of personal decisions about how to get from A to B, based on factors such as your stage of life, your distance from the workplace, school or shops, your level of income, your knowledge of the roads and so on. Congestion can build locally at pinch points, placing certain sections of the city’s transport networks under severe strain. This can lead to high levels of air pollution, which in turn has a severe impact on the health of the population. For city leaders, the big question is, which actions – imposing congestion charges, pedestrianising areas or improving local infrastructure – would lead to the biggest improvements in both congestion, and public health. The irony is, although modern technology has the power to collect vast amounts of data, it doesn’t always provide the means to analyse it. This means that scientists don’t have the tools they need to understand how different factors influence the way cities function and grow. Here, the technique of agent-based modelling could come to the rescue. The simulated city Agent-based modelling is a type of computer simulation, which models the behaviour of individual people as they move around and interact inside a virtual world. An agent-based model of a city could include virtual commuters, pedestrians, taxi drivers, shoppers and so on. Each of these individuals has their own characteristics and “rules”, programmed by researchers, based on theories and data about how people behave. After combining vast urban datasets with an agent-based model of people, scientists will have the capacity to tweak and re-run the model, until they detect the phenomena they’re wanting to study – whether it’s traffic jams or social segregation. When they eventually get the model right, they’ll be able to look back on the characteristics and rules of their virtual citizens, to better understand why some of these problems emerge, and hopefully begin to find ways to resolve them. For example, scientists might use urban data in an agent-based model to better understand the characteristics of the people who contribute to traffic jams – where they have come from, why they are travelling, what other modes of transport they might be willing to take. From there, they might be able to identify some effective ways of encouraging people to take different routes or modes of transport. Seeing the future Also, if the model works well in the present time, then it might be able to produce short-term forecasts. This would allow scientists to develop ways of reacting to changes in cities, in real time. Using live urban data to simulate the city in real-time could help to inform the managers of key services during periods of major disruption, such as severe weather, infrastructure failure or evacuation. Using real-time data adds another layer of complexity. But fortunately, other scientific disciplines have also been making advances in this area. Over decades, the field of meteorology has developed cutting-edge mathematical methods, which allow their weather and climate models to respond to new weather data, as they arise in real time. There’s a lot more work to be done before these methods from meteorology can be adapted to work for agent-based models of cities. But if they’re successful, these advancements will allow scientists to build city simulations which are driven by people – and not just the data they produce. China’s Demography Challenge by Miraç Yazici, Intern at Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies, Nevsehir, Turkey China is the most populous country in the World, at least for now. India and China are expected to have nearly a population of 1.44 billion each, by 2024, according to UNPD forecasts. By the 1970s, China was facing food and housing shortages and in 1979, decided to limit couples to have only one child and sustained this rule until 2016. Adopting one-child policy created drastic demographic imbalances between old and young population, also between men and women that it could take decades to return to normal. Less babies and more singles As a result of 35 years of the one-child policy, the country has an exceptionally low fertility rate with the sex ratio at birth for every 100 girls to 114 in 2015 according to national statistics. On the other hand, China’s singles population is increasing, it has reached 200 million. The proportion of single men and women within the whole population increased from 6 percent in 1990 to 14.6 percent in 2013. In 2015, It is projected that there won’t be enough brides for almost a fifth of males born today in China, by 2035. Over time, an increase in the number of single people can lead to an aging population and a decrease in the birth rate. In 10-20 years, China might face with a decreasing number of working-age people and the problem of maintaining pensions and pension insurance will arise according to Zhang Ning, an economics expert at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. Two-child policy: First Outcomes China has changed its rules to allow all families to have two children in 2016, after 35 years of one-child policy rule. The new policy is widely regarded as a countermeasure to cope with low fertility rates and the country’s rapidly aging population, but it is highly uncertain whether it will, in fact, positively affect China’s fertility rate. In 2016, there was an increase of newborns more than 2 million compared with 2015. But those figures fell short of what policy makers expected. The one-child years left social scars: Many couples aren’t convinced that two children are better than one child. New Approaches for the challenge There is an extraordinary approach practising to increase fertility rate in China. Communist Youth League organises blind date matchmaking activities across China to help young people find the right partner. What’s more, other government bodies such as labor unions and women’s federations also plays cupid in China. Encouraging fertility has become common in many sectors of Chinese society. For instance, many television stations are making efforts to create a climate of respect for families and fertility, as illustrated by television programs on CCTV’s annual Spring Festival Gala. The Future Now Show Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. Shape the future now, where near-future impact counts and visions and strategies for preferred futures start. Do we rise above global challenges? Or do we succumb to them? The Future Now Show explores how we can shape our future now – where near-future impact counts. We showcase strategies and solutions that create futures that work. Every month we roam through current events, discoveries, and challenges – sparking discussion about the connection between today and the futures we’re making – and what we need, from strategy to vision – to make the best ones. The Future Now Show  Wearable technology for breast cancer patients withVictor Porteshosted byMiss Metaverse Breast Cancer has a massive impact on a woman’s physical, psychological, social-cultural economical well-being. This extends to their families and in some cases, to entire communities. Continuous research and development of materials and technologies include wearable technology, artificial intelligence, 3D scanning and 3D printing solutions forthe purpose of realizing external customized breast prosthesesthat provide comfort, functionality and their personal lifestyle. The Future Now Show Credits Victor Portes, Chairman at STICHTING FIGURA NOVA FOUNDATION, the Netherlandswww.figuranova.foundation Katie Aquino, aka “Miss Metaverse”, Futurista™, USAwww.facebook.com/missmetaverse The Future Now Show Powering Businesses with Space Data The European economy is powered by space, so you might already be considering how to use it in your business. At ESA Business Applications we’ve been driving change across the world for years, and our network continues to grow. We want you to be a part of that. We have invested an average of half a million euros in more than 500 businesses across Europe, supporting them in leveraging space in commercial ventures. And it goes way beyond the money. We’ll set you up with a dedicated consultant, access to our global network of experts, investors and incubators, a collection of space resources and a mark of credibility that’ll propel your business well beyond its launch. What will you build with the combined resources of space at your fingertips? Find out about our Industry 4.0 and High Value Manufacturing Kick-Start Activities:https://business.esa.int/funding/invitation-to-tender/industry-40 Find out more about our funding schemes here: https://business.esa.int/funding-schemes https://business.esa.int/funding-schemes News about the Future Engineers create plants that glow Imagine that instead of switching on a lamp when it gets dark, you could read by the light of a glowing plant on your desk. MIT engineers have taken a critical first step toward making that vision a reality. By embedding specialized nanoparticles into the leaves of a watercress plant, they induced the plants to give off dim light for nearly four hours. They believe that, with further optimization, such plants will one day be bright enough to illuminate a workspace. “The vision is to make a plant that will function as a desk lamp — a lamp that you don’t have to plug in. The light is ultimately powered by the energy metabolism of the plant itself,” says Michael Strano, the Carbon P. Dubbs Professor of Chemical Engineering at MIT and the senior author of the study. Atlas of Sustainable Development Goals 2017: From World Development Indicators With over 150 maps and data visualizations, the new publication discusses measurement issues, and charts the progress societies are making towards the 17 Sustainable Development Goals. Holo We are a community of passionate humans building a distributed cloud, owned and run by users like you and me. Holo provides a way to unleash the enormous idle capacity in everyone’s computers. This gives us the power to build vibrant cloud hosting communities that will challenge how the Internet monopolies control our data and our interactions. Holo offers each of us the ability to participate by sharing, earning, and building the future of the web. When the gift you wish to share with the world is a decentralized mode of measuring the subtlest streams of value; river, rain, and tidepool metaphors begin to take on more meaning. Eric Harris-Braun, Fernanda Ibarra, and Art Brock’s intuitions about distributed computing and (r)evolutionary human collaboration became a rich floodplain, gathering together techno-culture enthusiasts, activists, media theorists, healers, next economy geeks, artists, and leading thinkers in collective intelligence. Some were in the business of manifesting social entrepreneurship. Others were pursuing their crafts. A few were furthering their studies. Each effort was a steady flow, chipping away the same myth, layered in centuries of thick sediment: humans function best when responding to a central authority-from-above, whether in governments, schools, businesses, or in our increasingly networked digital lives. A year before the financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency projects, many of the Holo team began dreaming, together as part of the MetaCurrency Project, or separately, driving deep explorations in work and life, of new modes of coordinating and new tools to increase our capacity to affect and be affected by one another. In 2018 we proudly break the levee, bringing to bear a concerted groundswell from our robust team of communicators, programmers, strategists, and artists. The Holo project was created to bring the benefits of distributed apps to anyone with a web browser. Casting light on the abyssal zones of our computational culture, we aim to redistribute the wealth and health made possible by our mounting interconnectivity. Recommended Book The Silent Intelligence – The Internet of Thingsby Daniel Kellmereit, Daniel Obodovski The Silent Intelligence is a book about the Internet of Things. We talk about the history, trends, technology ecosystem and future of Connected Cities, Connected Homes, Connected Health and Connected Cars. We also discuss the most exciting growth areas for entrepreneurs and venture capital investors. We share exciting stories and unique opinions of more than 30 industry veterans, experts and visionaries from Google, Ericsson, AT&T, Qualcomm, SAP, MIT, Jawbone and many others. We called this book The Silent Intelligence because most of the activity and growth in the space so far has been outside of mainstream visibility. Our aim is to help executives, entrepreneurs, investors and everybody who is interested in this topic, better understand the opportunities and challenges of the Internet of Things. We also hope that the new growth opportunities discussed in this book will be as exciting to you as they are to us. The World In 2050 The Real Future Of Earth by Mara Lemanis Though The Law of Excluded Middle claims that two distinct states can’t co-exist in the same time and space, in fact our minds often do battle with a state of cognitive dissonance. If one is striving for little more than the acquisition of power, one’s mind will find a fairly straightforward path toward cognitive consistency. But when cultures seek an accord between each individual’s inner meanings and the social midst through which those meanings ripen, mankind needs supple skills to map a steady path. This is no different from how we all wend our way through life. Like people walking between tall hedges in a maze, we tread in the eye of contradictions. In a famous quote F. Scott Fitzgerald once said, “The test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time, and still retain the ability to function.” It isn’t really a matter of holding ideas like galloping horses, sweating to rein them in so they don’t fling the rider into a ditch. If we are aware we know, and if unaware we feel the push and pull of polar opposites. To confront this duality means to come up against the age-old divisions: between reason and emotion;between individual and community;between material and spiritual;between life and death. Except those times when we’re particularly stressed or under siege from painful trials, these oppositions don’t cause strife. We typically acknowledge them through irony-“I’m proud of my humility”…or, “As I’m a saint I see the devil in your heart.” More simply put, we incorporate the polarities. Attempting to prevent disputes and enmities, cultures seek to collaborate. Yet despite its goodwill motives, each community encounters contradictions-between advocacy and self-defense; prowess and deficiency; business zest and public dearth. The mind can be trained to hold most attitudes in harmony. “I love how you boost me” vs. “I hate how you hype me”; “I’m proud of my money” vs. “I’m ashamed of what I do for it” are oppositions susceptible of binding together to streamline goals and focus. Finding cognitive consistency is a normative act. It takes a balancing act-accommodation — to neutralize the force in each polarity. But the best and brightest functions of our brain can turn oppositions into unities. If this sounds like a dialectical turn, it is still not Hegelian. Yet a synthesis is created. That synthesis is less a climax than a fusion, and it is a fusion that heals. Because whatever we believe to be responsible for fulfilling this valued equilibrium, the impact revitalizes. We may believe it is a series of biological moments-neural firings and integration — or we may believe it is a spiritual gift, an intercession beyond clinical analysis. Regardless, it works. It only seems to betray us at times of deep emotional turmoil or a catastrophic event that thrusts us out of our reliable orbit. The sudden imminence of death is such an event. It can overwhelm us. Though we float in the eye of the life-death spectrum, at once absorbing both survival and extinction, the alarming demise of someone close — a sudden forecast of our own end — throws us way off course. We may be hurled so far that it will take some wandering — maybe the balm of therapy and even medication, a suspension of regular activity — before we’re able to return. But when we do return, we come back redeemed by that which integrated us again and made us whole. We can call it a chemical-biological rescue, or we can say our spirit intervened; that God breathed into us. In the final analysis even if we contend that our neurons found a way to reassemble and point out the quick of our path again, a spiritual impulse, like a law of fusion, could be stamped into those neurons. It’s not impossible to state that they have always been and always are inspired. The art in our personal balance and the stability of our culture is to stop the tortuous stumbling away from our core path and let our minds re-mind us we must stop obsessing over one polarity or the other-cease fixating on death but no less on life. In admitting the contradiction and letting our neural grid act as our spiritual guide, we are able to submit and reconcile ourselves. When we keep the contradiction constant, we keep duality at bay. Opposing forces cannot tear or break us. We are not at the mercy of emotional storms. And through that constant within ourselves and our extended community we can once more be joined, at one, made whole. Futurist Portrait: Nancy Giordano Nancy (Patierno) GiordanoStrategic Futurist + Gatherer + Speaker Strategic Futurist | Corporate Strategist | Event Catalyst | Keynote SpeakerDescribed as endlessly optimistic, Nancy is a strategic futurist with a drive to help enterprise organizations and visionary leaders transform to meet the escalating expectations ahead. Recognized as one of the world’s top female futurists, she has spent her career building, shaping and evolving a portfolio of $50 billion worth of major global brands with her unique abilities to sense and synthesize the shifts ahead and to guide those ready to build more relevant and sustainable solutions for us all. With an early career at several of the most influential ad agencies in NY, Chicago, and LA, Nancy has spent the past 10 years as Founder/CEO of Play Big Inc, a strategic inspiration company, applying her broad understanding of the intense cultural and technological shifts we’re facing. Her extensive knowledge of the drivers shaping our future (and driving business) have guided transformation projects with The Coca Cola Company, Brinker International, Sprint, Nestle, Acumen, Energizer, Mercedes Benz and many other Fortune 500 companies. And through keynote talks to CXO leaders in wide range of industries including entertainment, travel, food, business, homebuilding, culture/talent and more. Diving more deeply into the intersections of tech, business and society, she recently worked to frame the internal culture and talent infrastructure for a provocative artificial intelligence company and currently is producing Gigaom Change, a Leader’s Summit diving into the seven most disruptive technologies for enterprise. She has been ranked as one of the World’s Top Female Futurists (research by Ross Dawson) and was voted 7th Woman of Influence on the Future of Leadership list (Women Speakers Association). She was the first global TEDx licensee and currently leads a youth-led team to produce one of the globe’s largest TEDx events for teens, hosting nearly 1000 annually. Nancy’s distinctive ability to design meaningful, future-forward solutions and pathways is honed by her active collaboration with idea-centric organizations such as TED, The World Future Society, REX, Voice & Exit, and the newly forming Global Synthesis Network. She partners with (and learns from) many of the most provocative influencers currently building our collective futures — whom she describes as PYNKrs: people you need to know. Nancy lives in Austin with three fast growing, very curly teens and her ideas can be found on her blog Cultural Acupuncture, often featured on The Huffington Post. printable version