Futurist (definition): (Twelve) Types of Futures Thinkingby: Acceleration Studies Foundation, Understanding the nature, common pitfalls, and limits of human inquiry can help us avoid classic traps and dogmas, including the false threats and promises of many of the most successful memeplexes in global culture, and allow us to see through scenarios which are more a reflection of our own human-centric fears and idealizations than a realistic assessment of what the universe seems busily engaged in doing. We need the ability to be humble and to truly look and listen to see beyond our own individual and collective limitations.more…. IFTF’s Map of the Decadeby: Institute for the Future Each year, IFTF steps out beyond the edge of today’s common knowledge and asks uncommon questions about the trends and innovations that are likely to reshape our world in the coming decade. Innovation – a hybrid connection between old practices?by: Humberto Schwab, The Club of Amsterdam LABs lead to a change in internal dialogue; people really need a strong dialogue with other beings to change their internal reflections and dialogues. This will directly lead to action, when you make shared action plans and design a sustainable dialogue with the stakeholders. To shift from a money driven society to a value driven society needs a new way of talking: the real human dialogue.more…. Mapping the Global Futureby: National Intelligence Council,type: Articlesin: 00 The Future Report of the National Intelligence Council’s 2020 Projectmore…. Navigating in a Rough Seaby: Franz Tessun,type: Articlesin: 00 The Future The enterprise relevant scenarios are the basis for a FSC-supported [Future Scorecard] business management. Starting point is the vision what the enterprise should have reached in three, five or ten years and what is its position in the market compared with the competitors. more…. On the responsibility of visionby: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz,type: Articlesin: 00 The Future Reaching our full potential – as a civilization, society, organisation, or community – requires goals that challenge us to exceed that potential. Unfortunately, in this most instrumental of ages, daydreaming is unfashionable. An educational system inherited from the industrial era teaches us to keep our attention on the task at hand; the drive for upward mobility focuses our creativity on immediate problem-solving and practical matters of management. The age of deconstruction awards more points to critiques than to castles in the air. Given these barriers, little wonder that people are uncomfortable with the verbs “vision,” “imagine,” “dream.” If not for the cases cited in recent leadership and management literature which underscore the utility of vision for motivating exemplary performance, it would be difficult to convince professionals to engage in visioning. Yet it is something humans do naturally, that in fact we must be trained not to do. Reinstating visioning as a powerful creative tool is simply re-balancing our internal environment: giving equal pride of place to intuition and imagination next to logic and calculation. Envisioning a preferred future requires them all. more…. Summit for the Future Report 2005by: Club of Amsterdam,type: Articlesin: 00 The Future
by Frank Brüggemann 1 Introduction 1.1 BackgroundA lot of companies expand their business into international markets. In most cases, the motive is a search for improved cost efficiency or looking for the chance to expand and achieve growth. Today, companies are able to respond rapidly to many foreign sales opportunities; this is made easier by technological, governmental, and institutional developments. They can shift production quickly among countries because of their experience in foreign markets and because goods can be transported efficiently from most places. Companies can also distribute component and/or product manufacturing among countries to take advantage of cost differences. Once a few companies respond to foreign market and production opportunities, others may see that there are foreign opportunities for them as well. All this is a part of the so called “globalisation”. In operating globally, a company has to consider what the company will seek to do and become over the long term (mission), its specific performance targets to fulfil its mission (objectives), and the means to reach its targets (strategy). There are many factors that may influence companies to succeed in doing global business and remaining competitive in the global arena. Many companies are riding on the wave of globalisation; some of their employees might get tangled up in the flow of the wave with more and more personal involvement as the borders between the working day and the private life become “grey”. They are challenged with a multi-lingual working environment, exposure to different cultures, an increase of pace and stress, they must adapt in order to succeed. The job profiles and working conditions of an international company are nowadays aligned to totally different factors as possibly to a decade ago. The markets are not limited anymore to the exclusive region in which the company is based, but to the whole world. Additionally, technological developments have promoted a flood of communications on every level of economy which helped to ease the way of globalisation. 7 Conclusion – Part 4 Is the daily work life affected by the process of globalisation, which is influencing the attitudes of the company or the employers? Generally yes, it is. We have seen that this company and the whole economy changed their orientation on the market and thus their attitudes and policies to their employees. Tremendous revolutions took place in the plot of the working life of an employee in contrast to decades before “globalisation” made pace. The examined company moves in a global environment. The requirements to do so for this company no longer exclusively refer to their core competencies and activities, e.g. within the production goods range from purely a technological view. But include far more interdisciplinary entwinements (labour unions; wage policies; etc.), which the company and the employee must go around. Having observed items the employee depends on, tendencies in the answers such as the sorrows and insecurities the employees have because of changed work conditions, we can conclude there are several interactions between the economy, the society, the enterprises and the single employee, but there is only a little focus on the impacts on this little “cog-wheel” – the employee and his private life. Even in literature there are only a few scientists who researched in this environment. Scientists on the subject of globalisation like GOSHAL, BARTLETT and YIP are mainly focused on the economy and the enterprises – not on the humans “behind all this”. So, there is a wide field for investigation on how our society, and the individuals in it, are going to change in the coming years with regard to ongoing globalisation. The major difficulty during globalisation is, like in material existing communism, the human being. It is not foreseeable how an employee is acting in a company that is going global. Because of this each person may think egoistically first, and also company heads provide first for their company and their profit. And furthermore each state puts first its own interests at expense of the other. A good example of this is the European Union, in which only important resolutions come to tough negotiations. No technical invention, no political development, and no social change – automatically leads exclusively to change for the better or worse for everyone. No well intended ideology or policy will bring eternal peace. Wealth for all is not realisable, neither by economic systems, nor by globalisation. Every employee in a global company is affected by globalisation – even though everyone is not yet fully aware of how it currently functions.So, he must try to understand what is happening and why and he must regard globalisation as a personal challenge and take personal action. Finally in such a work situation he will and has to pay attention more than ever to his job and his personal life, in order to be able to exist in a global job market. In fact, the “Impact of globalisation on daily working life” is there. The company passes on the pressure of globalisation to each and everyone of the workforce – it has to. But first of all globalisation is neutral. It holds risks and even chances for a nation state, a corporation and finally also for the single employee even in his daily job situation. Globalisation is furthermore not a natural phenomenon. It is sought and made by people. That is why every single employee can also change, shape and guide it in the right direction. What counts is what the single employee makes out of the new possibilities. As far as the company is globalised, or better spoken, as far as the company is determined by the characteristics of globalisation, e.g. entering into new cultures, as far are the employees forced to adapt to those habits, just as being highly flexible also goes with it. Deficits in qualifications and flexibility of the workforce could destabilise the position of the company in a global “arena”. Consequently the company cannot make use of the workforce in a way it would like to do, to fulfil the requirements in global markets. The needs of workers themselves have changed. There is more and more talk about the need to balance work and family or personal responsibilities. The labour force has become increasingly diversified, and this means that ongoing training has become a necessity. Moreover, workers want a greater say in workplace organisation. Despite this movement toward globalisation, there remain significant environmental differences between countries and regions. Managers in an international business must be sensitive to these differences and also must adapt to the appropriate policies and strategies for dealing with them (YIP, 1995). Significant aspects of globalisation with regard to influences and altering processes in the daily job are e.g. the trend to shift toward more highly skilled jobs, as it is shown in Table 2 and the trend that production and jobs have progressively shifted from the goods sector to the service sector, so that knowledge-based industries have grown. That means more and more occupations take place in the office and not as much in a workshop as before. But all the evidence is that these changes would be taking place – not necessarily at the same pace – with or without globalisation. In fact, globalisation is currently making this process easier and maybe less costly to the economy as a whole by bringing the benefits of capital flows, technological innovations, and lower import prices. Thus, all the challenges and changes an employee has, could not have been avoided. Economic growth, employment and living standards are all higher than they would be in a closed economy, so the economy as a whole will of course flourish from policies that embrace globalisation by generally promoting an open economy [8], and coincidently by undertaking of the industry and the government to focus on education and vocational training, to make sure that workers and employees have the opportunity to acquire the right skills in dynamic changing work environments. The philosophy of world companies such as Sony, Coca Cola or McDonald’s “to produce and sell theirs products on the whole world” became generally accepted more and more: Today liberty is defined as boundless consumption. The problem of this variant from free-market economy is however: If there is only the market, everything and everyone becomes the commodity. Companies with ten thousand employees are sold back and forth several times in one year. The individuals fate apparently of no interest, as long as the dividend is good. Are there any possibilities to defend oneself against this? Numerous other socio-economic factors currently affect the workplace and the people in it. The rapid pace of technological change is transforming the workplace and the job experience. It is facilitating the growth of various non-standard forms of work, especially home work, telework and part-time work.7.1 Recommendations It has been shown how the requirements in a globalised working environment have changed over the years. Here are some recommendations to be implemented or at the very least considered in order to fulfil these requirements in the daily working life. Upon closer consideration of all previous thoughts it has become clear that, in general learning in and for the daily job is of most significance for anticipating your future employability and an ongoing satisfaction in the current job. This requires some education, and because learning new skills takes time, it is additionally important to plan ahead and identify the types of skills that will make the employee most employable in the job market. It had been already said that what counts is what the single employee makes of the new possibilities. Thus the employee has to cope with his personal situation and should gain an overview of his work environment and the associated possibilities. Derived from the situational facts some more questions arise, which ought to be considered for further action and planning: Ø How do global shifts in the market and workplace apply to the employee? The hierarchical structures and the discrepancies between the divisions that are global focused and those that are local focused in this very company are an example of shifts in that very workplace. At the edge of an internal merger of these divisions it has to be evaluated if an increase e.g. in travel is really feasible for the employee; if working in a global team is desired due to different cultures and habits; and if the employee is able to communicate in an unfamiliar environment. Ø What opportunities do those global shifts create for the employee? Those shifts could of course in general have positive or negative effects upon the employee. If the employee is keen on getting to know new people and able to communicate in a proper and adequate manner, he might see this shift as a true opportunity, and thus it could contribute to his career. If he is not enthusiastic toward that shift, it might cause some trouble for him because he has to e.g. learn a foreign language or work together with colleagues who have a totally different mentality. This could cause dissatisfaction in the job, psychological problems may be, and could lead to a certain lack of productivity for the company. Ø How can the employee prepare himself for the possibilities of the future? It is critical to stay current with and be aware of what new skills are needed to remain highly employable. The employee should tune in to formal and informal information channels that relate to his work, especially in the areas of technological developments, economic influences, globalisation, legislation, and competition. He should discover where he can use his strongest, most enjoyed skills to meet a need or to solve an important problem. When critical changes arise at the horizon – and in a globalised work environment which, is almost every day – it is most important to undertake learning projects to be prepared for dealing with those situations. In fact, the ability to learn effectively is a very important skill to have in a globalised world in which knowledge increases rapidly every year. For companies and employees alike, being on the competitive edge in global processes means, being on the learning edge. It is not enough to simply perform as you did yesterday or last week. As someone working in a globalised company you also should constantly build “performance capability”. Increasingly, the degree or professionalism is determined largely by the ability to quickly acquire new information and adjust to new situations. In fact, a key measure of learning is how well the acquired knowledge is applied and converted into improved performance. Helpful for this is also reflecting upon and exchange of past experiences and reaching conclusions about them for future application. This really means deriving actions from those findings. Some individual benefits of learning from day-to-day experiences is keeping ahead of and attuned to change, finally attaining a greater sense of work satisfaction. 7.1.1 Further recommendations for the company The Company should not only deliver “technical” knowledge or just facts in the manner of language courses e.g. for preparing their workforce, but they should offer the possibilities of getting to know the real characteristics of a foreign colleague – what makes a Chinese a Chinese for example. This could e.g. be done by multicultural parties in different locations sponsored and held by employees of several foreign subsidiaries. Or the company could offer a forum for exchange: If the company would have a data base in which everyone who is interested in going into a foreign country would be registered. The assumption of this topic is that someone who is personally interested in doing so, has a deep desire and motivation for this. Thus it makes it easier for the company to promote only the “right” persons for working abroad. If a company is going global it has to take care that it is possible for everyone in that company to experience the process of globalisation and its meaning on a local and individual level. 7.1.2 Further recommendations for the employee It is generally important to deal with stress at work in the right manner; therefore it is also of importance to make clear in which environment one is working. If the company has several subsidiaries located in different time zones, it will definitely arise one day that the employee would have to come into the office early in the morning or late at night, if there is a live video conference e.g. Thus he should be mentally prepared for that to avoid stress in that specific situation. If the employee prefers to have regular working times, he should rather join a local acting team or company. To stand against this pressure put on him by the characteristics of globalisation, he should actively get up – actively means not to wait until the stress comes up or occurs, but to do something against it in advance. This could be joining vocational trainings, knowing more about your rights in the working place, maybe participating in a labour-union, or just conscious of the challenges in a positive manner and break through without being stressed. All this could be done or better still should be done to overcome personal obstacles in a globalised work environment and to “survive” all the implications and unpleasantness of “globalisation”, and thereby enjoy more fully the positive aspects which would lead to greater job satisfaction. 7.2 Outlook We live in the age of globalisation: A growing mobility, the dismantling of borders and trade barriers and other blurred frontiers accompanied with technological developments and radical changes enable the global village to develop. There is already a 24-hour financial market and increasingly there is the 24-hour working, shopping, and banking day. All this has consequences upon patterns of working which in turn refract into our personal lives and relationships. We generally have to change our way of thinking concerning work in future. And we have to change our habits if we are to work in a globalised company or one that is affiliated to such. We should get rid of imaginations that deal with going to an office early in the morning and returning late in the afternoon. We should get rid of working in the same profession all life long. The scientist CHARLES DARWIN once said: “It’s not the strongest species that survive nor the most intelligent, but the most responsive to change”. This is, I believe, one of the most important aspects of globalisation with regard to influences and altering processes inthe daily job. Each employee should be aware of that, when planning his personal job career or just joining a global company and especially when confronted with these issues. Moreover and concluding according to my opinion, is the development and influence of information and communication technology the synonym for the move towards a knowledgebased economy which is the real meta driving force. This can be compared with the great leaps forward such as when steam powered the industrial revolution and transformed agriculture and electricity ignited consumerism. I suppose that a knowledge based revolution will have an impact on all aspects of human endeavour and will cause us to review and redefine economic, social, cultural, and political activity, and thus my daily job. This impression isgained by the experiences made in the company during the last years when more and more activities focus and refer on an increasing number of data bases, so called “Knowledge Banks”. The knowledge in the institutions grew so rapidly during the last decades that it became necessary to handle this knowledge on a global base in an appropriate way. This assumption of a “new age” is confirmed by the KONDRATIEFF CYCLE, which says that the general development happens in waves with an approximately wave-length of 50 years. The full report can be downloaded as a *.pdf click here
by John Stewart Evolutionary adaptability Adaptability is of central importance to the evolutionary process. It is through adaptation that organisms are able to survive in changing environments, become better suited to their existing environment, or expand into new environments. In general, organisms that are more adaptable can be expected to be more successful in evolutionary terms. A major improvement in adaptive ability is a major evolutionary advance. Humans are the most adaptable organism to live on this planet. We use our rapidly improving science and technology to survive and satisfy our adaptive goals in a wide range of environments. Whatever adaptive problem we put our minds to, we can generally find a solution. We have proven far more adaptable than organisms that evolve by gene-based evolution. It took millions of years for genetic evolution to discover how to produce reptiles that fly, while humans developed the technology to achieve this in a few thousand years. The massive adaptive improvements seen in human capacities over recent centuries are significantly greater than could be achieved by genetic evolution over hundreds of millions of years. Whatever our wants, whatever our needs, we are very effective at finding ways to manipulate our environment to achieve them. But we are very poor at achieving things that we do not want. We don’t use our creativity to find better ways to achieve things we are not motivated to achieve. In evolutionary terms, this turns out to be the central limitation in human adaptability. Typically we do not see this as a limitation. It does not prevent us from doing anything that we want to do. It does not stop us from living happy and fulfilled lives. We do not feel restricted because we have no desire to do what we have no desire to do. If we evaluate our adaptability by asking whether it enables us to satisfy our needs and wants, we continue to see ourselves as being highly adaptable. But if we measure our adaptive ability in evolutionary terms, we reach a very different conclusion. What if our continued evolutionary success demands that we adapt in ways that conflict with the satisfaction of our existing needs and wants? What if our existing motivations and needs do not produce the behaviours that are best in evolutionary terms? These sorts of conflicts between our needs and evolution’s needs seem highly likely to emerge during our evolutionary future. It is improbable that the needs and wants implanted in us by our evolutionary past will produce the behaviour that is also optimal for our future. This means that our adaptability is seriously limited in evolutionary terms. There is an enormous range of behaviours, life styles and technologies that we would not want given our current needs and motivations. But these might be critically important for achieving evolutionary success in the future. We have a very large evolutionary blind spot. We are not motivated to explore an immense variety of adaptive possibilities, no matter how useful they may be in evolutionary terms. Until we overcome this limitation, we will continue to use genetic engineering, artificial intelligence and other technological advances to satisfy our past evolutionary needs and conditioning, rather than to achieve future evolutionary success. If we are to be successful in evolutionary terms in the future, we will need to overcome this adaptive limitation. We will have to be able to do whatever it takes for future success. Humanity will need to free itself from the needs and wants installed in us by our biological and cultural past. For this we will find that we will need to develop in ways that have traditionally been classified as spiritual. Humanity will need to widely adopt the practices currently associated with spiritual development if we are to continue to be successful in evolutionary terms. To get a better understanding of how human adaptability would need to change in the future, it is useful to see how adaptability has improved during the past evolution of life on Earth. This will enable us to locate the current level of human adaptability within a long sequence of evolutionary improvements. We will see how our current level surpassed previous abilities, but how it too is limited. This will help identify the new capacities we would have to develop if we are to overcome these limitations. It will point to the new psychological skills and capacities we need if we are to overcome our current deficiencies. The evolution of adaptability There are a number of quite distinct mechanisms that adapt organisms on our planet[1]. One of the first to emerge was gene-based natural selection. With this mechanism, organisms produce offspring that differ genetically from each other and from their parents. The genetic difference might produce a change within the organism that carries it. This changed characteristic might in turn make the individual more successful and have a greater number of surviving offspring. If so, the proportion of individuals that carry the genetic difference will increase, and the genetic difference will spread throughout the population. The population will be better adapted, having acquired an improved characteristic. Gene-based natural selection discovers adaptations by trying out changes amongst offspring. But gene-based natural selection operates only across generations. It does not adapt individual organisms during their life. It is unable to discover new adaptations by trying out changes within the individual while it lives. Obviously an adaptive mechanism that could do so would have a significant advantage in evolutionary terms. It could discover and implement improved adaptations continuously within individuals, long before genetic evolution was able to do so. Somewhat ironically, the adaptive arrangements that operate within organisms during their life were discovered and established by genetic evolution. Genetic evolution has developed the superior adaptive mechanisms that have the potential to replace it, at least in humans. The first adaptive mechanisms established by genetic evolution searched for better adaptation by trying out changes within the organism, using trial and error. But how could the organism’s systems know whether a particular change had improved the organism’s adaptation? This was a key challenge for genetic evolution—it had to install the organism with some way of identifying the internal changes that were beneficial in evolutionary terms. This challenge was easier in the case of changes that produced some immediate improvement in the functioning of the organism. The efficacy of a change could be judged against its immediate effects within the organism. For example, changes to the amount of oxygen delivered to a tissue could be evaluated by their effect on the metabolic rate in the tissue. The challenge could not be met so easily for changes that might produce longer-term evolutionary advantage, without immediate beneficial effects on the organism. Behaviour that leads to sexual reproduction provides a clear example. These behaviours have no immediate pay-off for the organism. They do not improve its functioning, and may even impede it. How could evolution fit out organisms so that they implemented behavioural changes that led towards successful reproduction, and rejected behaviour that did not? The answer discovered by genetic evolution was to install organisms with an internal reward system. This system rewards individuals internally when they try out behaviours that are beneficial in evolutionary terms, and punishes them when they do otherwise. We experience these internal rewards as various kinds of attractive feelings, motivations and emotions. The habits and behaviour patterns that an organism adopts are those that are positively reinforced by its internal reward system. Its behaviour and lifestyle is shaped by the goals that are established by its motivations and emotions. The internal rewards and punishments act as proxies for evolutionary success. Genetic evolution tunes the system of motivations and emotions so that when an organism pursues its internal rewards, it acts in a way that leads to evolutionary success. An organism’s motivations and emotions guide it to discover and implement adaptations that are beneficial in evolutionary terms. If circumstances change, and a particular behaviour is no longer optimal in evolutionary terms, genetic evolution will modify the internal reward system so that the behaviour is no longer reinforced. Genetic evolution adapts the internal reward system so that the organism’s goals continue to be aligned with evolutionary success. Other important developments in the evolution of adaptive mechanisms within organisms were learning and imitation. Once an organism discovered by trial-and-error that a particular change was useful in particular circumstances, learning enabled it to implement that adaptive change whenever those circumstances arose again. And imitation enabled an organism to adopt an adaptive change discovered by another individual, without having to discover it for itself. Both these improvements reduced the amount of trial-and-error that organisms had to use to adapt. But the most significant and far-reaching advance in adaptability came with the development of a capacity for mental modelling[2]. This capacity is very familiar to us—it is most fully developed in humans. We use thinking and other mental representations to model the effects of our behaviour on our environment. So instead of having to try out alternative actions in practice, humans can use mental models to predict their effects. We can try out possible adaptations mentally. This significantly reduces the need for costly trial and error in the search for adaptive behaviour, and enables us to take account of the (predicted) future consequences of our actions. Our ability to test alternative behaviours mentally is the basis of our capacity to plan ahead, imagine alternatives, invent and adapt technology, build structures such as houses and roads, radically modify our external environment for our adaptive goals, establish long-term objectives, imagine how we might change the world, develop strategic plans, design projects and undertake activities that pay off only in the future (such as plant crops and feed animals). The acquisition of language was a critically important step forward in our ability to construct mental models. Language and associated forms of communication enabled humans to share the knowledge used for building models. Communication enabled all members of a society to acquire and use the knowledge discovered by any individual. It also enabled knowledge to be accumulated across the generations. The progressive accumulation of knowledge has enabled humans to model a greater range of interactions with our environment, and to predict the consequences of our actions over wider scales of space and time. This has enabled us to discover more effective ways of achieving our adaptive goals and obtaining positive reinforcement from our internal reward systems. Our ability to construct and manipulate models has also improved as we have learnt to augment our mental abilities with external artefacts such as pen and paper, books, recording devices, computers and other forms of artificial intelligence. Our mental adaptability can be expected to continue to improve as humanity accumulates more knowledge about how the external world responds to our interventions and as artificial intelligence is developed. The full evolutionary potential of mental modelling is obvious. Once organisms have accumulated sufficient knowledge, their modelling will often be superior to the internal reward system at identifying the adaptations that are best in evolutionary terms. No longer would the organisms have to be guided towards evolutionary success solely by a system of motivations and emotions. Instead the organisms could use mental modelling to identify and implement the actions that would enable it to survive and flourish into the future. Mental models have the potential to be far superior than the internal reward system established by genetic evolution in the organisms’ evolutionary past. The motivations and volitions (moral or otherwise) that were favoured by Darwinian selection in their evolutionary past are highly unlikely to be optimal for their successful survival throughout the next million years. And as circumstances change into the future, the values and motivations that are optimal are likely to change repeatedly. But mental modelling is not able to fulfil its enormous adaptive potential when it first emerges. Initially, it does not have the capability to take over the adaptation of the organism. It has not accumulated the detailed knowledge and information needed to predict the future consequences of a wide range of alternative actions. As a result, modelling will be less effective than the pre-existing motivation and reward systems at discovering the best adaptations. However mental modelling will still provide immediate advantages. It enables the organism to find better ways of achieving its internal rewards and motivations. The organism can use mental models to identify the behaviours that will achieve outcomes that produce desirable internal states. Initially mental modelling will not establish or change the adaptive goals of the organism—it begins as a servant of the pre-existing motivation and reward systems. Limitations of human adaptability It is easy to locate humanity within this evolutionary sequence[3]. Humans are not yet organisms that use mental modelling to adapt in whatever ways are necessary for future evolutionary success. We are still organisms that spend their lives pursuing proxies for evolutionary success as ends in themselves. We use our mental modelling to work out how to achieve the goals set by our internal reward and motivation system—goals that we have been fitted out with by natural selection and that are modified to a limited extent by conditioning during our upbringing. We use the enormous power of mental modelling to see how we can act on the world to produce desirable psychological states and avoid unpleasant ones. For most this means using modelling to pursue sex, wealth, popularity, satisfying relationships, social status, power, feelings of uniqueness, and so on. And we spend our lives trying to avoid undesirable psychological states such as those associated with stress, guilt, depression, loneliness, hunger, and shame. But when our evolutionary interests clash with these motivations and emotional responses, our evolutionary interests lose out. We have not yet developed a comprehensive capacity to free ourselves from the dictates of our biological and social past. We cannot adapt or modify at will our likes and dislikes, our emotional reactions, our motivations, what it is that gives us pleasure or displeasure, our habits, or our personality traits (eg we cannot change from extrovert to introvert at will). Few of us can effortlessly ‘turn the other cheek’ even when we can see mentally that it is in our interests to do so. This is the case whether these predispositions are largely inherited, or the product of individual experience during our upbringing. As a result, the evolutionary adaptability of humanity is seriously limited. We do not use the immense capacity of mental modelling to pursue evolutionary ends. Adaptations exist that are superior in evolutionary terms, we can see that they are superior, but we do not implement them. Instead we spend our lives chasing positive reinforcement from our internal reward system. If humanity is to realise the full evolutionary potential of mental modelling, we will have to free ourselves from our biological and cultural past. Can humans develop such a psychological capacity? Or will our ability to adapt be forever constrained by the predispositions resulting from our evolutionary history? Will we be able to adapt only in directions currently rewarded by our internal reward system, irrespective of what is best for our evolutionary future? Or can we develop the capacity to move at right angles to our history and conditioning, and to adapt in whatever ways will produce future evolutionary success? Modern scientific psychology has not yet developed an understanding of how we can develop a psychological capacity along these lines. To date it has concentrated on understanding how our psychology currently operates, and how pathologies can be corrected. It has little to say about our potential for future psychological development. Spiritual development But humans have accumulated an extensive body of knowledge and practice about how we can develop these new psychological capacities. This knowledge is embodied in religious and spiritual systems. Although some systems are more explicit about it than others, and some have a number of other goals for spiritual development, the world’s major religious systems all advocate the development of an ability to free oneself from particular emotional responses, desires and motivations. Furthermore, all systems contain methodologies and practices that can assist the development of such a capacity. Despite the fact that religious systems use widely different terminology to describe their practices and beliefs, it is possible to identify a broadly common approach to spiritual development. Most practices are directed at promoting the emergence of a new self that stands outside the individual’s emotional states, thoughts, and sensations. This new observing self is not bound up in the flow of thoughts and feelings and sees them as objects of attention. The individual experiences herself as the new observing self, as separate from her thoughts, feelings and sensations, and able to treat them as objects that can be managed and modified[4]. What were once part of the subject are objects in relation to the new self, and can be managed and controlled by it[5]. This contrasts with the individual’s experience before a new observing self is developed. Previously the individual tended to be absorbed in and identified with emotional reactions and thoughts, was not aware of herself as separate to them, and could not easily choose whether to be influenced by them. The individual experienced herself as her motivations and thoughts, and defined herself through them and through the personality traits and behaviour patterns they entrenched. The new self is given a wide variety of names in various religious and philosophical systems, including the silent witness, the true self, Buddha mind, the Lord, the observer, the soul, atman, the master, Christ consciousness, the observing “I”, an emergent metasystem transition[6], and the higher self. Religious systems generally promote the emergence of the new self through practices that separate the mind into an observing part and an observed part. The observing part is the precursor to the new self. These practices typically operate by turning attention and awareness inwards, and directing it at mental contents—at sensations, emotions, motivations, mental images and thoughts as they arise in the mind. For example, many religious systems require adherents to struggle against the dictates of their ‘lower’ desires and impulses. Doing so directs attention inwards, makes these mental states objects of attention and begins the separation of the mind into an observing part and an observed part. The waging of an internal war against desires and impulses will assist the development a new self that stands outside them and is no longer identified with them. Other practices also enhance the separation of the mind into an observing part and an observed part. Meditation typically involves turning attention inwards and making thoughts and emotional states objects of attention[7]. Similarly the mindfulness practices of Buddhism and the self-observation[8] of Gurdjieff promote the development of the new observing self during ordinary life. These practices focus attention on the physical sensations, emotions, mental images and thought that arise as the individual goes about daily activities and interactions. All these techniques emphasise that self-observation it to be passive and non-judgemental. This assists in ensuring that the new observing self does not identify with or become absorbed in mental contents as they arise. A number of practices help the observing self to remain separate from mental contents. Some of these operate by dampening mental activity and reducing the incidence of intense emotional experiences. This makes it easier for the new self to stand outside the flow of mental contents without becoming absorbed and identified with them. Examples include practices that take individuals away from the pressures of normal life such as retreats, monastic life, asceticism, and pilgrimages. Many systems have also discovered that meditation is an effective method of tranquillising mental activity, and that prayer and devotion can have similar effects. Most systems emphasise that repeated effort and vigilance is needed to maintain separation—the individual will tend to slip back into identification with thoughts and emotional states, and will find it very difficult to stand outside and observe them for extended periods. These practices also develop the ability of the individual to dispose attention wilfully and to break the control of attention by emotional states. Devotional practices also enhance this ability—they require the individual to continually bring attention back to the object of devotion and away from distractions. The new self that can be developed as a result of these practices is relatively free of the adaptive goals of the internal reward system. Once the emerging new self can remain functionally separate from motivations and emotional impulses, it can decide whether or not to be influenced by them. Instead of ‘going with’ these impulses as they arise, it can decide not to act on them. This functional separation also enables the new self to control the disposition of attention. The new self can direct attention and energy only at activities that serve the aims of the self. As the observing self accumulates knowledge about the operation of the motivational and emotional system, it improves its capacity to manage them. The individual learns how to modify the goals of her internal reward system, and is then able to align them with goals and objectives of her choosing. As a result, the individual can find motivation and emotional satisfaction in whatever activities serve her goals and objectives. For example, if an individual chooses to pursue evolutionary success as her ultimate goal, she will be able to align her internal reward system with evolutionary goals[9]. The metaphor of a carriage (or chariot) drawn by horses has been used by a number of religious and philosophical systems to represent the psychology of a person who has developed these capacities[10]. Generally the driver is the intellect, the horses the emotions, the carriage the body, and the master in the carriage (or lord of the chariot) is the new self. The master coordinates the actions of the various components so that they cooperate together to serve the objectives and goals set by the master. Importantly, this metaphor emphasises that the new self does not repress, override, or take over the functions of the emotions and the body. A competent higher self, like a competent manager of a modern corporation, or like the conductor of an orchestra, works with and makes best use of the special abilities of the elements it manages. Why have religions developed this extensive body of knowledge and practice about freeing humans from the requirements of their motivational and emotional systems? A key reason is that religions generally promote adherence to ethical systems that conflict with the dictates of our internal reward system. Religions have learnt that it takes much more than an intellectual commitment to an ethical system before an individual is able to implement it. Reason does not control the passions until the individual has developed a new psychological structure that has the capacity to manage the individual’s internal reward system. Another reason for religions’ deep interest in this area is the intuition that only a self that has transcended emotional impulses could conceivably live beyond the body. A self that is bound up in bodily desires and emotional responses will surely die when the body that gave rise to them dies. A number of religious traditions that take this position also believe that the end point of spiritual development is the fusion of this transcendent self with the absolute (eg God). Of course, the great majority of the members of religions do not develop a higher self. Most do not adopt in full the practices prescribed by their religion, and few understand the practices and beliefs in the terms described here. Very few Christians develop the capacity to effortlessly turn the other cheek in the full sense of that metaphor. If the practices of spiritual development are to succeed in transforming the psychology of humanity in general, they will need to be enhanced and developed. This is most likely to be achieved if the practices are investigated by modern scientific psychology, and eventually integrated into it. If spiritual practices are subjected to the sceptical scrutiny and rigorous testing of modern science, the practices and beliefs that are grounded in fact could be separated from those that are embedded in supposition and baseless mysticism. And the powerful techniques and extensive resources of modern science could be used to discover new and better practices. This process would continue the progressive expansion of science into new domains that has taken place throughout its relatively young history. Science has grown by incorporating and developing bodies of knowledge that were initially unsystematic and riddled with contradictions and folk knowledge. The future Until we humans develop the capacity to free ourselves from our biological and cultural past, our evolutionary adaptability will be seriously constrained. We will not use the enormous potential of mental modelling to identify and implement the actions that will contribute most to the evolutionary success of humanity. Instead of using our technological advances and economic resources for evolutionary goals, we will continue to use them only to serve the needs and wants established by our evolutionary past and conditioning. Humanity will continue to spend its time on this planet masturbating stone age desires, going nowhere in evolutionary terms. Alternatively we could massively enhance our evolutionary adaptability by freeing ourselves from the dictates of our biological and cultural past. We could develop the ability to align our internal reward and motivation system with evolutionary goals. This would enable us to find satisfaction and motivation in whatever adaptations serve these goals. With this capacity we could choose to implement whatever actions would advance the evolutionary success of humanity, and would find satisfaction and motivation in doing so. This would enable us to use the immense power of mental modelling to pursue evolutionary goals, rather than continue to blindly pursue outdated and inaccurate proxies for evolutionary success as ends in themselves. If we make this transition, humans would become self-evolving beings, able to adapt in whatever directions are necessary for future evolutionary success, relatively unfettered by our biological past or by our previous life experiences. As we move out into the solar system, the galaxy and the universe, we would be able to change our adaptive goals and behaviour in whatever ways were demanded by the challenges we meet. We would be able to continually recreate ourselves, to change human nature at will, to repeatedly sacrifice what we are for what we can become, to continually die and be born again. ——————————————————————————- [1] For a more detailed discussion of the evolution of these mechanisms see Dennett, D. C. (1995), Darwin’s Dangerous Idea (New York: Simon and Schuster). [2] The evolutionary significance of mental modelling was first clearly recognised by Popper, K. R. (1972), Objective knowledge – an evolutionary approach (Oxford: Clarendon). [3] For a fuller discussion see Stewart, J. E. (2000), Evolution’s Arrow (Rivett: Chapman Press) [online at http://www4.tpg.com.au/users/jes999/ ]. [4] For more on the relationship between the new self and mental contents, see Nicol, M. (1980b), ‘The Four Bodies of man’, in Psychological Commentaries on the Teachings of Gurdjieff and Ouspensky (London: Watkins) 1, pp. 218-35. [5] This point is made very well by Keegan, R. (1994), In over our heads – the mental demands of modern life (Cambridge: Harvard University Press). [6] See Heylighen, F. (1991), ‘Cognitive Levels of Evolution: from pre-rational to meta-rational’, in The Cybernetics of Complex Systems – Self-organisation, Evolution and Social Change, F. Geyer Ed., (Salinas, California: Intersystems) pp.75-91. [7] For example, see Goleman, D. (1988), The meditative mind – the varieties of meditative experience (New York: G. P. Putnam’s Sons). [8] For more on self-observation see Nicol, M. (1980c), ‘Commentary on Self-Observation and ‘I’s’, in Psychological Commentaries on the Teachings of Gurdjieff and Ouspensky (London: Watkins) 1, pp. 302-17. [9] This notion is developed in greater detail in Stewart, J. E. (2001), ‘Future psychological evolution’, Dynamical Psychology [online at http://www.goertzel.org/dynapsyc/ ]. [10] For example, see the Katha Upanishad, Plato’s Phaedrus, and Gurdjieff’s Beelzebub’s tales to his Grandson. John Stewart is a member of the Evolution of Complexity and Cognition Research Group, the Free University of Brussels
by Milverton Wallace The new Corinthians: How the Web is socialising journalism Milverton Wallace The momentum of change is with the new Corinthians. The open source ethos and method of work/production, which began in the periphery with collaborative software development, is moving to centre stage by way of the blogging revolution and open standards in web services. In tagging, syndication, ranking and bookmarking we have the rudiments of a peer-to-peer trust, reputation and recommendation system well suited to self-regulating collaborative networks. James Cameron[1] (1911-1985), arguably the greatest British journalist of the last 100 years, always insisted that journalism is a craft. Now “craft” implies pride in work, integrity in dealing with customers, rites of passage, and long years of training to acquire the requisite skills/knowledge. But that was then. Today, journalism is a “profession”. Many aspiring hacks now need a university or other accredited “qualification”, and, except in the Anglo-American world, a government issued licence to “qualify” as a journalist. In some countries you’re compelled by regulations to belong to a recognised association and to obey its code of standards in order to practice and earn a living as a journalist. The march towards professionalism began with the rise of the mass media in the latter part of the 19th century, a development made possible by the invention of the rotary printing press, cheap papermaking from wood pulp, and mass literacy. Cheap mass circulation newspapers gave proprietors the kind of political influence they never had before. The press was becoming an increasingly powerful social force, a counter-balance to big business and the state. However, this power was fragile. Corporations and governments resisted the press’s self-appointed role of watchdog and muckraker. But the press barons fought back. In response to state and corporate resistance to openness and disclosure of information, they raised the banner of “the public’s right to know” as a fundamental democratic freedom. To counter charges of irresponsible reporting, journalists developed rigorous techniques for gathering, distilling and presenting information; and, to standardise these procedures and wrap them in an ethical framework, a normative model for reporting, carved in stone, was crafted: impartiality, objectivity, accuracy, transparency. Thus was Cameron’s craft gradually “professionalised”, and, in the process, turned into an exclusive club with a privileged membership. Today, this carefully constructed edifice is crumbling as the read/write web blows away the need to be a member of any such club to be able to practise journalism. Arguments about who is or isn’t a journalist is a sideshow, a pre-occupation mostly of self-styled guardians of truth. The inexorable fact is that the genie is out of the bottle and a significant number of “unqualified” people are “doing journalism” without permission from anyone. So, let us accept that the “authorities” can no longer decide who is or isn’t a journalist. We have no choice. But we need to ask some crucial questions: Who will now enforce the rules and codes? What is to become of them? Should we care? Do we still need them? Are they “fit for purpose” in the digital age? Digital media, and in particular, it’s social offsprings – social media such as blogs, vlogs, wikis, IM; social networks such as MySpace, Facebook, Bebo, Tagworld, Orkut etc., and social bookmarking services such as Furl, Del.icio.us, DIGG, StumbleUpon, MyWeb – have enabled the amateurisation of the media. The barbarians have entered the gates. Is the empire on the verge of collapse? Nowadays, the word “amateur” is being deployed by media professionals to belittle the media-making efforts of bloggers and others who create media productions outside the journalism guilds. Such reporting is deemed “unreliable”, “biased”, “subjective”; they are “unaccountable”, the facts and the sources “unverifiable”. All of this must be puzzling to historians of the modern mass media. Consider the first newspaper in English, a translation of a Dutch coranto, printed in Amsterdam in December 1620 and exported to England. It began with an apology, a typographical error, a number of lies and disinformation. The apology appeared in the first line of the publication: “The new tydings out of Italie are not yet com”. The error (in spelling) was in the date: “The 2. of Decemember”. The lies? The dates of many events were brought forward to make the news appear fresher than they were. The disinformation? Many news items in the Dutch edition which might have displeased the English government were not translated for the English edition out of fear that the authorities would seize or ban the publication.[2] Verily, a very unprofessional beginning! And who were the “reporters” for the early periodical press? Postmasters, clergymen, sheriffs, burghers, shipping clerks, court officials, merchants, travellers. In a word, “amateurs”! So now we’ve come full circle: from 17th /18th century amateurism, to 19th/20th century professionalism and back to amateurism in the 21st century. Here we use “amateur” in the noble, Corinthian sense – someone or an activity motivated by love. And therein lies the problem. Amateur ethics, motivated by love, crashes against professional ethics, driven by commercial gain. Can they be reconciled? The opposing principles characterising the amateur and professional worldviews may be summarised thus: Amateur Play for love Participation primary,winning secondary Play to develop team spirit,Cooperation, org skills Fair play, the game’s the thing Professional Play for pay Winning is everything Play only to win Zero sum game, win at all cost However, the differences between 17th century amateur reporters and 21st century citizen journalists go beyond stark polarities. The former were contributors to the new media of their age but over whose operation, growth and development they had no influence or control; their 21st century counterparts, on the other hand, are contributors to a new media which they themselves are creating. What started out as people’s desire for unfiltered, independent self-expression is threatening to overthrow the old order in the world of media. Howcome? The old media model was/is based on assembling disparate and varied information – news reports, share prices, weather reports, crosswords, classified ads, sports scores, horoscopes etc. and selling this ensemble to readers. Today that cornucopia is being unbundled: content is cut loose from the formal wrapper, messages from their media container. (Note the dire fate of newspaper classified ads, financial information, product reviews, real estate and job ads as they become Craiglisted and Monsterised). This unbundling has serious implications for the economic foundation of the media business as we’ve known it. For the journalists employed in these institutions, two critical changes, among many, stand out: their roles as gatekeepers between you and the world outside your window is irrevocably undermined and the line between themselves as producers of “tydings” and the former audience as consumers has become blurred. There’s a big misconception among professional journalists that the new media is about news. Wrong. It’s about self-expression, it’s about participating in defining and shaping the information/communication environments in which we live. The various forms of digital media – blogging, podcasting, social bookmarking and networking etc – are merely the means and the channels for achieving this. An entire generation – call them the digital natives or the new Corinthians – is creating an open, collaborative, networked communications infrastructure in opposition to the closed, top down, hierarchical traditional media organisations which have dominated the media universe since the 19t century. Demanding that these digital natives adhere to old methods of discovering and learning about the world won’t do. They’re crafting their own methods, thank you very much. Ten years ago Slashdot, Kuro5hin and others pioneered peer-to-peer coverage of technology. Stories gained credibility through the trust and reputation of peers. Digg has added collaborative filtering via powerful algorithms; Del.icio.us lets you organise the world via shared social taxonomies. Even some of the backend functions of the news business have been socialised: Wikipedia for reference, Answers.com for expert sources, Flickr for pictures. All these new ways of understanding, making and managing media are only a specific case of the mass participatory culture made possible by digital technology. All of a sudden, unprecedented numbers of people can express themselves and connect with each other on a global scale. And here’s a salient feature of this mass participation: it’s organised activity without a central organisation. More precisely, it’s a self-organised collaborative endeavour in which people combine their ideas, knowledge, talents, skills without an hierarchy controlling and co-ordinating their activities. Confronted by a disruptive technology, process or service, the disrupted party has only a limited number of responses: they can ignore it – not a viable choice for survival; they can try to destroy it – this is the “kill the messenger” option which may destroy the messenger (e.g. Napster) but fail to kill the message (i.e. file sharing); they can posit competitive offerings – but note the fate of newspaper “facsimile editions” versus RSS; or they can co-opt or embrace the new – note media mogul Rupert Murdoch’s “Damascene conversion” and his subsequent moves in the digital media space.[3] It is hard for a mature, long-dominant culture to make radical changes to its ideology and practice. And that’s why many newspaper groups still cling to the command and control model even as their businesses head for the butchers4 and their customers “head into the cemetery”[5]. Bold and adventurous though he is, Rupert Murdoch has only chosen co-optation (buying the number one social networking service MySpace); however, full embrace of the new world is a revolutionary step, a rupture in the old order. Anyone doubting the difficulty of such a move need only look at the upheavals and dislocations being experienced by the UK’s Telegraph Groups as it re-engineers it news gathering/reporting processes towards a networked journalism model. The momentum of change is with the new Corinthians. The open source ethos and method of work/production, which began in the periphery with collaborative software development, is moving to centre stage by way of the blogging revolution and open standards in web services. In tagging, syndication, ranking and bookmarking we have the rudiments of a peer-to-peer trust, reputation and recommendation system well suited to self-regulating collaborative networks[6]. These could be taken as analogous, but not identical to, the “checks and balances” of traditional journalism, but we shouldn’t belabour the points of difference too much. In mainstream media “editorial authority” is concentrated in the hands of a single, all-powerful person whereas in social media it is distributed among many voices. This could be seen as a weakness and critics point to it as the Achilles heel of Web journalism. Yet in many instances, the networked world, e.g. the blogosphere, has proven to be much better (and quicker) at correcting errors, falsity, lies and distortions than the mainstream media. As the number of people who participate in open, collaborative, networked communications increases, the veracity of messages will improve and the need for corporate gatekeepers and standards-setters will decrease. Will we all become Corinthians then? [copyright 2006 Milverton Wallace] Notes 1) See http://tinyurl.com/ykdalv 2) Mitchell Stephens, A History of News. Wadsworth Publishing. 1996. 3) “Speech by Rupert Murdoch to the American Society of Newspaper Editors”(http://www.newscorp.com/news/news_247.html) 4) Vin Crosbie, “A Date with the Butcher” (http://tinyurl.com/ljjh3) 5) “Buffett: Newspapers are ‘a business in permanent decline’ “(http://tinyurl.com/ycx4a5) 6) Tim O’Reilly, “The Architecture of Participation”(http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/wlg/3017)
by Rutger Rienks, Anton Nijholt, Paulo Barthelmess Introduction Meetings are often inefficient. Starting with probably the first meeting ever held by humans, people have looked at techniques and protocols to enhance them. The development of technology to support meetings has therefore long been a subject of research. Meetings can nowadays be assisted by a wide variety of tools and technologies, facilitating interaction, saving money and time, and creating opportunities that would not be possible without technology. The foremost benefit of technology so far is its support for meetings in which participants are distributed. Being able to attend meetings remotely results in substantial savings of time and money that might have been otherwise spent on travel. Tele-conferencing systems augmented with additional advanced services such as instant messaging, file transfer and application sharing are becoming more and more prevalent. In the near future meetings will be possible in virtual worlds where participants will be represented by virtual humans. There is also evidence that technology-enabled processes can positively impact meeting performance. Studies reported by De Vreede et al. and Nunamaker Jr. et al.show a significant reduction in labor cost and overall project duration when Group Support Systems (GSS), or Electronic Meeting Systems (EMS) are used. These systems support alternative, technology-enabled meeting processes that can help participants with the formulation of and search for solutions to ‘problems’ listed on the agenda. A participant generally has a computer terminal connected to a central server at his or her disposal through which several problem resolution tools are available. Typical tools are an electronic brainstorming tool, an idea organizer, a topic commenter and a voting support tool. Despite the huge savings and proven increased efficiency brought about by GSS and similar technology, its adoption has proven sometimes problematic. There are instances in which the use of these systems has been discontinued due to stakeholders’ objections to the (radical) changes in work practices that are introduced by them. This leads us to investigate alternative means for positively influencing meeting outcomes in ways that would encounter less resistance. In particular, we want to investigate how pro-active meeting assistants can be exploited to reap the benefits of technology-enabled meetings instead of being exposed to its drawbacks. Successful automated meeting assistants can potentially integrate themselves into their surrounding social environment, offering support that blends more seamlessly into users’ work practices. Technology in the field of meeting support ranges from completely passive objects like microphones to pro-active autonomous actors such as virtual meeting participants. In earlier work we defined several dimensions that can be distinguished in this spectrum, with the major ones being the reasoning ability, the acting ability and the sensing ability. In this paper we will focus on pro-active meeting assistants that are able to act autonomously. Pro-active meeting assistants are those that (preferably in real-time) support the participants and act autonomously in the process either before, during, or after a meeting. For this type of assistants, its operating dimensions are highly dependent on their functionality. This functionality or sophistication directly depends on the state of the art of automatic collection of appropriate meeting information (the sensing) as well as on the required intelligence to use it (its reasoning ability) and the means through which the assistant can influence a meeting (its acting ability). To aid in this process, so-called ‘smart’ meeting rooms appeared. These smart rooms embed all sorts of sensors, providing data about the meeting and hence create the opportunity to collect and learn from this data in order to build models. These models may in turn provide insights into interactions and their contents. The first project presenting ideas to augment meetings with various ‘smart’ technologies was probably Project Nick. This project discussed the incorporation of screens displaying both the agenda and live meeting statistics to aid the meeting process. From that point onward smart meeting rooms appeared at several institutionswhere large meeting corpora were recorded. In the last four to five years there has been a surge in interest in meeting support. Many large projects were established, including consortia with partners from all over the globe, working on meeting collection, and research on meeting models and support technology [IM2 Website, CALO Website, Nectar Website]. The remainder of this paper will elaborate on the concept of pro-active meeting assistants, in particular software agents that aim to assist the meeting process and thereby facilitate more effective and efficient meetings. As there are a lot of ideas but hardly any implemented systems yet, we will, apart from looking at the existing ideas, show how to get from ideas to a full requirements specification. We also present a Wizard of Oz experiment where we simulate several forms of pro-active meeting assistants designed to streamline the meeting process. Meeting Assistants Meeting assistants have been the topic of research in various projects, e.g., the Neem Project. In Neem, a basic premise is that assistance has to be provided along multiple dimensions, including the organizational, but also the social and informational. A good meeting is one in which organizational goals are achieved, but not at the expense of the social well-being of a group. Support in Neem revolves around tools and virtual participants, both of which are designed to explore aspects along the organizational, social and informational dimensions. Tools are artifacts that crystallize certain aspects of an interaction, allowing for participants to become aware of and be able to influence these aspects. (e.g. by being able to manipulate items of discussion within an agenda tool.) Virtual participants are anthropomorphic assistants. They are designed to have consistent personalities and well-determined roles. Kwaku is a virtual participant that takes care of the organizational aspects of a meeting. Kwaku for instance reacts to discussions that extend over the pre-allocated period of time by reminding participants that they might want to move on to the next agenda item. Kwaku “listens” to the reaction of the group (by examining transcribed speech and text message channels) and will either update the agenda tool, moving it to the next agenda item in case of agreement, or leaving it in the current item if its perception is that the suggestion was overruled by the group. Kwabena on the other hand is a social facilitator. Kwabena looks after the participants’ social well-being, monitoring the actions a group would want to undertake at each point in time, such as take a break, switch topics, change the level of detail, or pace of the interaction. These wishes are expressed via a ‘Moodbar’ tool that displays a set of possible actions that participants can select by clicking on corresponding buttons. A mechanism is provided to poll the input from the different participants. Kwabena takes the initiative to suggest the course of action (e.g. taking a break) expressed by the group. (e.g. by voicing the suggestion via all participants’ audio systems.) Conversely, if a particular participant is expressing wishes that disagree with the rest of the group, Kwabena communicates in private with this participant, letting him or her know that the rest of the group seems to think differently. Finally, Kweisi is responsible for providing the group with additional information. This can happen upon request of one or more participants, but also autonomously, as Kweisi perceives (again by analyzing the content of the speech and typed messages) that a certain topic is under discussion for which additional documents are available. All these assistants can be realized as embodied pervasive software systems that operate alone or in groups, interact with the users and with other participants, and learn user preferences. Neem illustrates an approach to assistance during the meeting. We will now frame ongoing research in the domain of meeting assistants by making a division into assistants that support activities that take place before, during as well as after the meeting. […] Some findings and results To verify whether meeting assisting agents can benefit the meeting process we compared the predefined given agendas with the actual agendas of the meetings of the various systems. The results averaged for the two groups are shown in figure b. It appears that when no system is used at all, the meetings lasted on average 57% longer than what had actually been planned. With System 3 we reached an optimum, shortening the meeting by 27%. Although chairmen might have improved their planning capabilities in the meantime, they were not informed about any of the results. When we look at the participants’ ratings of degree of intrusiveness versus efficiency, figure (d)) shows that the added intrusiveness of System 3 pays off in terms of meeting efficiency. Notable is the fact that the perceived efficiency appears to be in-line with the actual efficiency. System 3 also resulted in a slight disturbance increase, whereas its ”enjoyability” is rated much lower than Systems 1 and 2 (See c).After every session the chairmen were asked again to give their opinion about the disturbance and efficiency for both the voice as well as the screen feedback strategies. It appeared that in contrast to the pre-meeting questionnaire results, they now rated them equally for efficiency. Voice messages were still found more intrusive than the text messages, though. An interesting side result was that when the system uses voiced feedback, the participants of the meeting appeared to be much more aware of their own behavior. When they tended to go off topic for example they corrected themselves very quickly, sometimes saying: “off-topic” before continuing with the current item on the agenda. This is probably due to the fact that the system can speak directly to specific participants; participants would therefore try to prevent being corrected by the system.After getting used to a system with voice output, participants did notice and use the information, but did not interrupt their talking. It should be noted that although the above findings speak in favor of a system that assists the meeting process, a lot of additional research is required, for instance by examining a larger number of groups over a longer period of time. Some results of the Wizard of Oz experiment Conclusion We have shown that there is potential for ambient intelligent systems that aid the meeting process. We have discussed a wide variety of possible applications and application areas. A concrete example of how requirements for a conflict management meeting assistant can be developed has been given. We have shown that the results of an experiment utilizing multiple system paradigms of varying degree of intrusiveness; the experiments employed a Wizard of Oz technique. The results show that meeting efficiency can be improved with respect to a baseline in which no meeting assistants are employed. You can download the full document click here
by Christine Perey People, processes and technologies we use in business meetings are continuously changing in order to increase efficiency in the workplace, or enhance meeting productivity. How can the addition of more technology help more than it hurts? The goal of this article is to take what is currently known about meetings and to overlay a vision of the future, to see how the addition of new technologies based on advanced signal processing and information analysis can have a positive impact on meetings. The reader will also learn about the AMI Project and explore how moving beyond the analysis of simple verbal communications – adding non-verbal communications – can reveal deeper trends and patterns. Applications using AMI technology could give people the ability: to prepare better for upcoming meetings, to review parts of meetings in progress or past meetings missed, to analyze behaviors and positions taken by individuals or groups, and to attend multiple meetings without missing critical elements in either. At a management level, having technologies, which analyze verbal and non-verbal content and communications, could be integrated with other enterprise managements systems to: be the basis of meeting behavior/methods training programs, even permitting self-analysis by participants, improve team construction based on team members’ past meeting behaviors, reduce risk of disclosures and delays caused by underlying conflicts, and recommend strategies for human resource utilization across multiple projects and teams. The Augmented Multimodal Interaction ProjectThe AMI Project, an EU-funded research project involving dozens of scientists across a fifteen-member consortium, focuses meetings in order to develop intelligent software algorithms and systems. The algorithms and related technologies under development can become core building blocks on which products and services may emerge for use by people in and between meetings. Scientists in the AMI Project bring expertise from many disciplines. They include world-renowned experts in the fields of speech processing, video/vision processing and human-computer interfaces, as well as sociology, psychology and linguistics. The focus of their research is on the human-human communication, which occurs between people during product design meetings. The design of the research should permit expansion of the scope to include many more types of meetings and team processes. Statistical machine learning is used by the AMI Project in the context of improving our understanding of business meetings. Machine learning will produce software building blocks. The process of developing these core technologies begins by extracting information from large numbers of multimedia meeting recordings. All the information of interest is labeled. Based on the labels, models are developed (“trained”) to recognize events, words and other patterns of interest. Then, once the models are able to reliably recognize information from sources on which they were trained, a system deployed in a meeting environment can automatically recognize patterns based on new multimedia meeting data it receives. Applications for AMI technologies in meetingsAMI technologies can add value to participants between and during meetings.Between meetingsIn the future, the knowledge worker will have the need-and using AMI research-based technologies will possess the tools-to access multimedia assets from the corporate knowledge base for work between meetings with fewer of the issues we encounter today. Anyone can imagine situations in which the archives of past meetings (in which the searcher herself participated or meetings conducted by others) in a corporation would be useful to search for particular key attributes or content. The problem is that the key attributes are “lost” among the un-interesting meeting segments. Meetings could be more effective if, prior to entering, each participant were better prepared. More preparation takes time; more time than rewards, if the proper tools are not available. The AMI technology can be integrated into tools that help people prepare for their meetings. Between meetings a user of the multimedia meeting archive can: Review a summary of one or any number of past meetings, Search one or more past meetings to answer specific questions, Browse one or more past meetings to answer specific or general questions, View the entire meeting (or multiple meetings) in faster-than-real time, and Detect patterns exhibited by groups or individuals during past meetings, which may provide insights into the upcoming meeting. Imagine what it would be like if knowledge workers who are unable to attend a meeting to which they would have added value or from which they could benefit had access to recordings and the functionalities above. Wouldn’t the process and reliability of “catching up” be different? Better Summaries are CrucialToday if a person misses a meeting, they must go to others who attended and ask for a summary. Meeting summaries used in business today are verbal, contain the biases of a participant’s point of view and are not searchable. Sometimes summaries can be in the form of notes or minutes but most meeting participants do not have the time to formalize their conclusions in a form that is useful to others in a project team. A summary should capture the essence of the content of a meeting. There are as many summary formats as types of meetings. One can imagine options such as: Bullet summary, Paragraph summary, Summary in audio, and Summary in audio, video and with supporting media introduced during the meeting. Regardless of their presentation media or their depth, those who rely on them need the content of summaries to be linked to the detailed contents (the multimedia record) of the meeting. In much the way one navigates a web site or any interactive application, a summary statement should be a “window” into the meeting at the particular time when an issue is discussed or a decision made. The idea of an intelligent meeting database architecture, which would be able to produce summaries of multiple meetings is also part of the AMI vision. From the summary, the user of meeting archives must also be able to search, browse and have flexible ways of accessing the contents of the meeting or multiple meetings in a database. Searching, Browsing and Skimming ArchivesWhen unstructured media files from a meeting archive are indexed and stored in an appropriate repository, their contents are temporally associated with structured data, consisting of other relevant information in the database (time stamps, text transcripts of speech and all written additions or information projected on the screen, names of people in a meeting, the subject of the meeting, the agenda of the meeting, and any files introduced during the meeting). A user interface for a multimedia meeting repository provides a search function. One can imagine a dialog box in which an inquiry is entered by the user (it might be typed in using a keyboard but in the future, the user might speak or point to designate what aspects are sought). A pop-up menu might have the most frequently asked search threads. Questions, which the AMI Project is using machine learning to answer on its database of meetings include: Who is in the meeting? What are the participants saying? When and how do they communicate? What are they doing? What are their emotional states? What are they looking at (focus of attention)? Based on the details, higher order questions are asked, such as: What topics are discussed and when? What decisions are made and by whom? What roles do the participants play? What positions do they take on issues? What activities are completed? What tasks are assigned or reported done? In some cases, the person using a meeting archive may not know exactly what they are looking for. This requires a different type of interaction with the archive or the repository permits “skimming” in a linear fashion as well as non-linear browsing (through text). Accelerating Meeting PlaybackThe user may also seek tools to experience the meeting in less time than it took to conduct the meeting. As illustrated in Figure 2, the user can accelerate the playback of a telephone conference by only asking to hear or “see” those sections attributable to a particular meeting participant. Or can adjust the speed of the playback of all the meeting media. This is a use of AMI technologies between meetings. Imagine being in a meeting and suddenly needing to step out to attend to an emergency or arriving after a meeting has already begun. Prior to entering or returning to the meeting, the essence of the segment missed could be obtained and permit continuing the meeting without interruption or loss of context. Figure 2 illustrates how the user would control the playback of a meeting in progress. Detecting PatternsSummaries are, in some ways, the detection and compression of patterns into smaller, more accessible chunks. Patterns can come in any shape and size. They may consist of the utilization of a word or expression, a gesture or non-verbal type of communication such as nodding to indicate agreement or nodding when a person is drowsy. These are subtle differences, which the human brain can distinguish and, in time, the algorithms on which AMI is working will also be able to detect and flag or enter in the database for use by meeting applications. In some scenarios for AMI technology use, a meeting participant’s gestures or position relative to others can be the cue, which causes a response in a virtual representation of a remote participant. For example, as illustrated in figure 3, when all the participants are in the meeting are turned towards a white board, the virtual participant is expected to turn similarly. Detecting patterns could also help decisions in rendering agent actions (body language). If during a meeting everyone has their arms folded, would the remote participant also seek to assume this posture as well? These are other examples of how using AMI technology to detect patterns will be potentially valuable during meetings. Support during meetingsIn much the same manner as archives can be resources to people between meetings, or that AMI can help the late meeting participant get “caught up,” the recordings of past meetings should also serve as resources to participants during a meeting. Suppose participants in a meeting wish to answer a question about a previous meeting. Features similar to those accessible between meetings should be available but would also take into account the participants of the live meeting and the sensitivity of the sources or contents of past meetings. Improving Meeting Management and ProgressThere are many scenarios for improving the flow and dynamics of communication during a meeting. Since the AMI project technologies are able to measure the interactions and participation of people in a meeting, analyses could be summarized and presented to a chairperson during a meeting. Imagine a system, which compares a proposed (ideal?) agenda with the progress of an actual meeting and alerts the participants about deviations from their goals. In some more futuristic AMI application scenarios, the directives or opinions of leaders or behaviors of participants in past meetings could be privately or publicly compared with the real time progress. The comparison could be used by the meeting chair to re-orient discussions to key issues, which are known to cause delays in a project, for example. A meeting and the life cycle of a project can be shortened if known obstacles are anticipated and addressed. Imagine a meeting in which an action item is being taken to prepare an analysis of a risk. If, by accessing past meeting repositories, or having an agent which automatically compares new action items with the past, a knowledge worker can be notified that such an analysis already exists, the meeting chairperson can introduce the relevant conclusions and accelerate the project. An AMI-based technology could help the moderator of the meeting follow how long the monologue has been in progress and intervene to involve more participants in a discussion. Metrics such as time spoken, the number of times a participant has successfully “grabbed” the floor, the number of people who are paying attention to a participant (regardless of their having the floor or not) all help to manage the process of a meeting or a project’s outcome more effectively. People who repeatedly grab the floor could receive automatically generated notifications that others are finding their input valuable or irritating and permit the participant to adapt behaviors in real time given the conditions. Meeting AgentsFrequently it is necessary for the success of multiple projects for a person to be assigned responsibilities with overlapping time requirements. Another scenario for AMI technologies includes a system which helps knowledge workers “attend” two or more meetings simultaneously. The individual may participate in one meeting in person or by telephone and request to have an agent monitor one or more meetings. Provided participants in another meeting agree, the monitoring agent can be configured to detect real time events such as changes in the agenda, discussion of a particular item on the agenda which concerns the employee directly, a new person entering the meeting or someone who is known to be important leaving a meeting. This could optimize the use of limited human resources. In the AMI demonstration of this scenario, the Remote Meeting Assistant (RMA) will detect events (e.g., keywords, entry or exit, change in dialog, debates) which it has been configured to monitor and alert the user. These could be real time alerts (via a pop up or toaster like an Instant Message) and they could be compiled for later review. Taking action based on information provided by a RMA would require first gaining the context for the alert, perhaps by way of an accelerated playback of recent remarks or discussion. Bringing Science in contact with Business, Aligning Vision with Real World LimitsIn the business of meetings, it is crucial for those in the trenches, those who are managing the technologies for enterprise meetings to expand their frameworks, vocabularies and working models about business process in order to envision more efficient workforces and accelerated, highly-informed decision making. At the same time, the research community will be working on machine learning and the development of algorithms which process multi-modal signals with ever increasing accuracy, regardless of the use for these systems in enterprise. Where possible the research and business communities can nourish one another and better the world. It is important, regardless of the scope of ones vision or on which side of the science-business divide one stands, to understand the practical limits of technology as well as the ability for business and humans to change. Some of the applications are challenging to implement in real time products and will not be realized for decades due to the processing complexity. Only time will tell how large an impact the AMI Project will have on people, processes and technology of the future. Without very strong incentives, humans resist changing their behaviors. Cost of technology requiring investments greater than the foreseen return may also be an obstacle. Other scenarios explored in this article are difficult to implement for reasons other than known technology limitations. The only thing we can be certain of is that in the future there will continue to be business meetings, and they can be dramatically improved using new technologies. Transfer of AMI technology into mainstream products and services is a crucial aspect of the project. Vendors developing meeting technologies must experience the research underway in the AMI Project to assess opportunities for future features and functionality. For information on the AMI Project approach and to see demonstrations and screen movies of the technology prototypes in action, visit www.amiproject.org About Christine PereyChristine Perey is the principal of PEREY Research & Consulting, based in Montreux, Switzerland. Perey focuses on multimedia communications and offers technology or market-specific services such as opportunity and risk analyses, business development and strategic planning services to video and visual communications technology vendors and service providers. She is responsible for technology transfer and manages the Community of Interest for the AMI Project. She can be reached at cperey@amiproject.org You can find the event ‘the future of Business Meetings’
by Markus Miessen The United States became engaged in two distinct conflicts, Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) in Afghanistan and Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) in Iraq. As a result of a Presidential determination, the Geneva Conventions did not apply to al Quaeda and Taliban combatants.” (1) – Schlesinger Report The present re-read Analysing the relationship between space and power, many questions arise about how far spatial conditions have influenced and continue to affect conscious violations of Human Rights. A few years into the 21st century, decreasing public confidence in political decision-making and its transfer has made way for an overbearing universal ethics of mediated truisms. Post 9/11 in particular, one can trace an increasing habit of politicians to convert the mis-en-scene and tools of spatial planning in order to create microclimates, which do not obey any legal framework. There is evidence that spatial planning has been used as a mechanism to convert spaces into strategic weapons of physical punishment. Simultaneously, one is witnessing the re-appropriation of issues such as representation, psychological framework and an increasingly monotheistic politics. In 2004, the Italian philosopher Giorgio Agamben re-interpreted the United States’ “war against all evil” as a symbolic gesture that envisions an alteration of the political landscape. Two months after the September attacks in 2001, the Bush administration – in the midst of what it perceived as a state of emergency – authorised the indefinite imprisonment of non-citizens suspected of terrorist activities. This policy, according to Agamben, should be understood as “The State of Exception” (2), a powerful strategy that enables the transformation of a contemporary democracy into a civil dictatorship. Agamben argues that the state of exception, which was meant to be a provisional measure, has become part of the everyday fabric. When the American president George W. Bush sent a TV-message to Vladimir Putin (3), claiming that even in times of war one has to obey the guiding principles of democracy, Bush appeared concerned about the fact that Putin, after the massacre of Beslan (4), had announced to strengthen and fortify the “verticality of power” (5). Ever since, the American president has ensured to clarify that in “times of war” – which in his present-day sense is an ongoing endeavour – the “old” rules and international rights are no longer applicable and can therefore be “temporarily” suspended. This development essentially prepares the ground for a “war” that neither requires justification nor is the policy undertaken on terrorism rationally related to its prevention. Instead, it strengthens a policy that was already under way before the Twin Towers fell: “the war on terrorism needs to be read always as in quotes, because it is not in any conventional sense a war – no national enemy, no troops, no territorial goals as such.” (6) Rather than fighting the symptoms, the U.S. administration had blocked multi-lateral politics for too long. This policy finally turned into a boomerang effect and – propelled by irrational motives due to being caught by “surprise” – conclusions were drawn rapidly. In such reinterpreted register of geopolitics, “rights” are being exposed to the higher principle of potential war and the response towards international terror. In this sense, military order, which turns supreme, can temporarily defer international law. Accordingly, military judges replace civil courts and, in the name of National Security, the president – as the civil leader of the military – embodying unrestricted powers. It is no news that – today – the underlying principle of justification is whether or not a particular action is taking place in the name of national interest while this very interest is being defined by the power that pursues it. In this context, the term “terror” is being pollinated with “war”. Consequently, “war” allows for all civil rights to be suspended. Taking such developments into consideration, it is not surprising that the countless individuals imprisoned in Camp X-Ray & Delta (Guantanamo Bay, Cuba), the detention centre at Bagram airport (Afghanistan), Abu Ghuraib prison (Iraq) and numerous third-country penitentiaries, have been deferred into territories that are lacking of Human Rights monitoring, influenced by a White House directive that “terrorist” suspects do not deserve the rights given to prisoners of war under the Geneva Conventions. But in the General Provisions of the Geneva Conventions relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of War (7), a different code is outlined, which claims that one has to “ensure respect for the present Convention in all circumstances”(8) and renders a clear definition about prisoners of war. According to the Conventions, prisoners of war “are persons, who have fallen into the power of the enemy: members of other militias and members of other volunteer corps, including those of rganized resistance movements operating in or outside their own territory, even if this territory is occupied.” (9) In order to prevent submission to the Geneva Conventions, the captured individuals and groups could therefore be moved into territories, which disobey the Conventions, or territories that do not fall under its jurisdiction. The U.S. government therefore started to set up spatial constructs, which – in their belief – are not accountable to any higher authority. This method of creating extra-legal territory also includes a technique known as “extraordinary renditions”. (10) In April 2005, Human Rights Watch released a summary of evidence of U.S. abuse of detainees in Iraq, Afghanistan, Cuba and other programmes of secret CIA detention. (11) The U.S. government openly admits that they seek diplomatic assurances from states where torture is a common phenomenon, one in which one state requesting that another make an exception to its general policy of employing torture with respect to just one individual. Such technique has deeply disturbing implications. Pro- actively proposing the creation of such territorial and legal islands of protection illustrates the imperative function of space within the equation and comes close to accepting the ocean of abuse that surrounds it. (12) In case foreign authorities or the United Nations have condemned such practices of torture, the U.S. has proven to spatially transfer prisoners while simultaneously releasing a flood of new legal documents, which allow for particular codes of conduct within the military and the CIA. This technique, however, is neither new nor being practiced by the United States alone. The government of the United Kingdom is reportedly in negotiations with the Algerian and Moroccan governments, countries in which abusive treatment and torture is common, to allow the transfer of terrorism suspects. (13) In the eyes of the architects of such legal documents, a war against Iraq – for example – is legal, because it presents a case in self-defence and, further, an action in the interest of humanity. Crime and its becoming“How can our government speak with authority about the evil of torture in countries like Egypt and Syria and Uzbekistan when it is knowingly making deals with the worst elements of those regimes to send people to the very dungeons where they torture prisoners?” (14) – Tom Malinowski, Washington Advocacy Director for Human Rights Watch When Giorgio Agamben, both prior and post-9/11 (15), discussed the principles of western society, he rendered a threatening image that is gaining its momentum from legal documents all the way back to the Roman Empire. Influenced by Hannah Arendt’s work on totalitarianism and the institutional form of rights (16) Agamben attempts to trace a historic process, one that is not a singular phenomenon, but a progression towards his primary thesis: there is an unforeseen solidarity between democracy and totalitarianism. According to the Roman legal system, the one who threatened the republic was treated as a public enemy: as “Homo Sacer” – the one without rights – one was reduced to nothing but a living being and could be executed. (17) The Patriot Act – enacted in October 2001 – allows the United States government to take any individual into custody, who is suspected to threaten National Security. But George W. Bush’s new military order turns those who are incarcerated in Guantanamo’s Camp X-Ray & Delta into lawless individuals, exteriorised from any juridical support-structure because of their territorial, that is spatial, status. Like so many other political prisoners in the course of history, these individuals have lost their juridical identity by having been put through a selection of political and spatial filters. Although Agamben’s critique is radical in the sense that it is introducing an oversimplified and accelerated concept of comparison, what he is essentially doing is to lay bare the danger of nationalistic structures. The videos and photographic footage that came out of Iraq’s Abu Ghuraib prison illustrate the drastic relevance of Agamben’s theory of the Homo Sacer. The naked bodies piled on top of each other and its sadistic choreography blend into a scene that recalls the fatal imagery of the 20th century. Throughout history, cultures have projected that what they considered as “evil” beyond their own territorial borders. Historic evidence illustrates that as soon as one realises that the reasons for so-called “evil acts” can be located inside one’s own territory, one refers to an existing “cruel” imagery on the outside in order to claim justification. In the case of Abu Ghuraib, we can trace the imagery of the colonial victor, but the space itself becomes exchangeable. And so does its historic reference. One reason for the public reception being so overwhelming could be described simply by tracing an existing imagery. Rather than evoking a shock due to its specific message, the images coming out of Abu Ghuraib overlap with an existing 20th century imagery, a blend of the death camps of Auschwitz, the pictures of deformed bodies in Vietnam, the death squad killings in El Salvador, the killing of the Tutsi in Rwanda, the genocides in Turkey, Sudan and Cambodia and the war crimes of collective punishment in Fallujah. Such excesses would always have two things in common: they were tied to a particular, delineated territory and an imagery of the subordinate subject. In this pornography of violence, the stage would change, but the choreography stays the same. Trying to bridge the gap between associated territories and the mainland, the U.S. is trying by all means to refer back to the outside, avoiding legal focus on their exterritorial enclaves while simultaneously talking about a “clean war”. (18) Spatial enclaves and the return of radical punishment“Breaking chemical lights and pouring the phosphoric liquid on detainees; pouring cold water on naked detainees; beating detainees with a broom handle and a chair; threatening male detainees with rape; allowing a military police guard to stitch the wound of a detainee who was injured after being slammed against the wall in his cell; sodomizing a detainee with a chemical light (…).” (19) – Major General Antonio M. Taguba Within this imagery, there seems to be a strong link to what Michel Foucault described as the “ceremonial of punishment” (20): “some prisoners may be condemned to be hanged, (…) others, for more serious crimes, to be broken alive and to die on the wheel, after having their limbs broken; others to be broken until they die a natural death, others to be strangled and then broken, others to be burnt alive, (…) and others to have their heads broken.” (21) In Discipline & Punish, The Birth of the Prison, Foucault illustrates in how far physical punishment has become the most hidden part of the penal process and “as a result, justice no longer takes public responsibility for the violence that is bound up with its practice.” (22) As opposed to historic reference, in the 20th century – he argues – the spectacle of punishment has shifted to the trial. But if there is no trial, there is no scene. The disappearance of public punishment goes hand in hand with the decline of spectacle. Commenting on space and power, Paul Hirst subsequently defined such politics as “a much contested concept: it has many different meanings and possible spatial locations.” (23) Foucault’s treatment of the relation between a new form of power and a new class of specialist structures regarded this both as the consequence and the condition of the rise of forms of “disciplinary power” from the 18th century onwards: “power is thus conceived of a fundamentally negative, as a punitive relation between the dominant and the subordinate subject.” (24) This form of power based on surveillance, which individuates and transforms, is defined by the penitentiary prison with its cells spatially isolating its inmates, with a central structure of inspection. What Hirst describes as the essential characteristics of Bentham’s Panopticon – “an idea in architecture” (25) – that is to say the principle that the many can be governed by the few, can be traced through the history of penitentiary construction. This is probably best exemplified by Abu Ghuraib’s “Liberty Tower”, a central inspection structure overlooking the territory: a space that enables both a certain correlative perspective and power relations. Although Foucault’s writings on the Panopticon originate from the 1970’s, his work seems more relevant than ever. He dissects the relationship between space and power. In order to illustrate the effect of institutional space and its power-relations, Philip Zimbardo – professor emeritus at Stanford University – carried out an experiment in 1971 to test a simple question: what happens if you put “good” people in an “evil space”? To run the experiment, student volunteers were randomly assigned to plan the role of prisoner or guard in a simulated prison. Although all participants had been examined and were confirmed to be mentally healthy, guards soon became sadistic and prisoners showed severe signs of depression. After six days, the study had to be stopped in order to prevent further abuse. The experiment clarified how the power of social and spatial constructs distorts personal identities and values as students had internalised situated identities in their roles as prisoners and guards. When Zimbardo gave an interview to the Edge Foundation in 2005, he argued that “understanding the abuses at this Iraqi prison starts with an analysis of both the situational and systematic forces operating on those soldiers working the night shift in that little shop of horrors.” (26) According to Zimbardo, his experiment illustrated the competition between institutional powers versus the individual’s will to resist. Control through humiliation provided regular occasions for the guards to exercise control over the prisoners, illustrating that the relationship between pleasure and pain, in a territory that is spatially independent and functioning under its own set of rules, is no longer based on a framework of human reasoning. Spatial autonomy as the blueprint of evil“Camp X-Ray is an island, on an island, on an island. It is a sealed off zone (…), which is itself sealed off from the rest of the island of Cuba. That is one of the reasons the US chose to bring suspects here: it is impossible to get to, unless the US military flies you in.” (27)– BBC report, 2004 The Naval Base Guantanamo Bay on Cuba is essentially a territory in which prisoners can be held indefinitely beyond scrutiny of US courts. Some of the prisoners have been held there since 2001. Since it is not considered U.S. territory, those imprisoned there have none of the rights of someone brought to American soil. Unlike military bases on U.S. territories, Guantanamo is central to the strategy of preventing judicial review of the legal status of prisoners. Located on Cuban territory, it is the “legal equivalent of outer space”; mainland locations were ruled out as prison sites because they fall under the jurisdiction of the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. (28) Amnesty International has compared the territory with Soviet concentration camps known as Gulags, where resistance was legal proof of the need for “treatment”. The U.S. government does not accept the inmates’ status as Prisoners of War, because, according to U.S. authorities, they have not been fighting in uniform, representing a delineated, governed territory. (29) The spatial construction of Camp Delta consists of a maze of fences, razor wire and guard towers. Walls are made from chain-link and cells are protected from the elements by corrugated metal sheets. Prisoners spend most of their time in their cells, sitting on the floor or lying on foam sleeping mats. At night the entire territory is lit up so the guards can see their prisoner’s every move. The construction of additional detention units was completed by mid-April 2002, and done by Brown & Root Services (BRS) – a subsidiary company of oil-venture Halliburton – approximately five miles from Camp X-Ray. Each detention units is 8 feet long, 6 feet 8 inches wide and 8 feet tall and constructed with metal mesh on a solid steel frame. Each detainee is provided with a foam sleeping mattress, a blanket, and a 1/2 inch thick prayer mat. (30) It is precisely these conditions that have been meticulously designed in order to alter the behaviour of inmates and cause symptoms such as chronic depression, suicide, interpersonal rejection, psychiatric disorder and trauma. It comprises a physical design with the intention to enforce confession. What is of imperative nature to the conditions in Guantanamo is that spatial components are being used as a tool to both punish and coerce. As soon as the aim is achieved – that is the detainee confessing – the spatial conditions are altered. Detainees who are willing to comply and confess have the opportunity to become a “level one” detainee and live in Camp Four, where prisoners are housed in communal settings. The implications of this type of outsourcing of torture and extra-territorial incarceration at Guantanamo are enormous. There is a reality to space that introduces both physical conditions and a framework that facilitates its existence: part of the suffering of those men is because they are in a specific space that might be too hot, too small, or enforces severe depression, anxiety, hallucinations and loss of motor skills. After heavy criticism regarding the camp’s spatial conditions, in March 2005, the Pentagon announced the shipment of inmates at Guantanamo to prisons in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan and Yemen, despite fears they could face even worse human rights abuses. These transfers were similar to the much-criticised practice of renditions, under which the CIA had moved prisoners to Syria and Egypt. (31) Since inmates face transfer to countries known to practise torture, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) had told the Pentagon as early as 2002 that detainees would suffer from similar conditions; conditions that are shockingly similar to earlier references, starting with the politics of disappearances in Latin America in the 1970s and 1980s as well as the Chinese prison camps that still exist in a political framework in which one party rules by definition. Returning to Agamben, totalitarianism strikes one as extremely modern, because it preposes the omnipotence of a single person. Under these conditions, the individual bureaucrat only has to follow orders, which often results in the plea that the individual did only follow orders and is therefore not accountable. This implies the giving up of one’s own capacity to act and finally turns any act of cruelty into a banality, pretending that “there is no alternative (TINA).” (32) At Abu Ghuraib, the spatial conditions were disturbing. Imprisoned in 12 by 12 foot cells that were “little more than human holding pits” (33), the detainees were waiting for their call. What Foucault had once, through Bentham’s Panopticon, explained as the subtle form of political control in the microclimate of a prison has turned into a scenario in which there is neither political control on the micro-scale he describes, nor a fully operative legal framework, which seems to be able to deal with this parasitic relationship between politics and space. Although one can trace these territories on a map geographically, they have been hoisted to a juridical meta-level on which humiliation through spatial and physical practice becomes part of the everyday fabric. Although the “camp” should by no means be understood as a possible answer to some of the political questions that are continuously being raised by the “architects of power”, at least the camp offers a spatially defined framework, which can be judged and held responsible as a physical condition. Instead of further renditions that isolate human targets by withdrawing them from any evident physical environment while dehumanising the individual, tomorrow’s politics of de-escalation should reach for an architecture of Human Rights. In an ideal world, such application of spatial standards would prevent future scenarios in which architects’ commit crimes against Humanity. Those crimes regarding the organisation of the built environment through the deliberate misuse of spatial components are in desperate need of further analysis, not by politicians or Human Rights groups, but architects and planners trying to dismantle and understand the physical relationship between space and power. Both Guantanamo and Abu Ghuraib are a showcase in the failure of ethical planning and a manifesto of the powerful, creating a blend of physical and non-physical components that create an overall fabric of control-space. The question therefore needs to be: do we need a Geneva Convention for the built environment, a court of justice to persecute spatial war crimes? Somewhere between the flood of Human Rights documents, the Stanford Prison Experiment, Zacarias De La Rocha’s “is all the world jails and churches?” (34) and Salman Rushdie’s claim that “we need more teachers and fewer priests in our lives” (35), one starts to trace the failure and bitterness of geopolitics. But zooming out of the spatial enclaves, there is hope: breaking the stoic narrative that suggests the return to preenlightened vision, resisting the re-introduction of moral truisms, turning inside-out the model of the world in which religion is part of the public realm, the answer – on a larger scale – can only be the return to secular politics. 1 Schlesinger, J. R., “Final Report of the Independent Panel to review DoD Detention Operations”, Arlington (VA), August 2004,p.792 Agamben, G., The State of Exception, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 20043 Lersch, P., “Demokratie im Ausnahmezustand – Die Verhüllte Freiheitsstatue“, in: Spiegel Online, 27. Oktober 20044 On September 1, 2004 terrorists captured more than 1300 hostages at a School in Beslan, South Russia. This act of terror was directed specifically at children. Hundreds of children spent 53 hours without water and food in an overcrowded hot gymnasium, wired with explosives. They witnessed the beatings and murders of family members, friends and teachers.5 Strong presidency and presidential administration; president’s appointees in the Federal Districts; appointed governors, party formation from above, selective justice; state-controlled TV6 Marcuse, P., “The ‘War on Terrorism’ and Life in Cities after September 11, 2001”, in: Graham, Stephen (ed.), Cities, War and Terrorism – Towards an Urban Geopolitics, Oxford: Blackwell, 2004, p.2637 The Geneva Conventions consist of four documents passed in Switzerland in the aftermath of World War II. They present the international treaties setting rules about the conduct of war. They form the centrepiece of humanitarian law and seek to protect people from the sorts of assaults endured in the fight against Nazism. Almost every country has ratified all four of the conventions, including the United States8 http://www.genevaconventions.org/ “Geneva Conventions relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of War”, General Provisions,Article 19 ibid., Article 4 (A.2)10 “Renditions and Diplomatic Assurances – Outsourcing Torture“ [see: http://www.hrw.org/campaigns/torture/renditions.htm]11 “Getting Away with Torture? Command Responsibility for the U.S. Abuse of Detainees”, Vol. 17, No. 1(G), April 2005 [see: http://hrw.org/reports/2005/us0405/]12 Yuval Ginbar, legal advisor to Amnesty International, cited in “The Tacit Acceptance of Torture”, [see: http://hrw.org/reports/2005/eca0405/4.htm#_Toc100558824]13 “Diplomatic Assurances allowing torture – Growing Trend defies international law“, April 15, 2005 [see: http://hrw.org/english/docs/2005/04/15/eu10479.htm]14 Malinowski, T., in: “U.S. State Department 2004 Human Rights Reports – Testimony to U.S. House of Representatives”, Human Rights Watch document, March 18, 2005 [see: http://hrw.org/english/docs/2005/03/18/usint10347.htm]15 In “Homo Sacer” (1995, Italian original version) and “The State of Exception” (2004)16 Arendt, H., The Human Condition, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 195817 See Agamben, G., Homo Sacer: Sovereign Power and Bare Life, Meridian: Crossing Aesthetics, Stanford (CA): Stanford University Press, 199818 See also: Zweifel, S., and Pfister, M., “Die 120 Tage von Abu Ghraib”, in: Cicero, June 200419 Hersh, S. M., “Torture at Abu Ghraib”, New Yorker, 3 May, 2004, [see also: http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?040510fa_fact]20 Foucault, M., Discipline & Punish – The Birth of the Prison (first translated by Alan Sheridan in 1977), New York City: Vintage Books (Random House), 1995, p.821 Soulatges, J. A., Traite des crimes, I (1762), cited in: Foucault, M., Discipline & Punish – The Birth of the Prison (first translated by Alan Sheridan in 1977), New York City: Vintage Books (Random House), 1995, p.3222 Foucault, M., Discipline & Punish – The Birth of the Prison (first translated by Alan Sheridan in 1977), New York City: Vintage Books (Random House), 1995, p.9 23 Hirst, P., Space and Power – Politics, War and Architecture, Cambridge: Polity, 2005, p.2624 ibid., p.16725 ibid., p.16926 Zimbardo, P., “You can’t be a sweet cucumber in a vinegar barrel – a talk with Philip Zimbardo”, in: Edge, January 19, 200527 Lister, R., “Grim life at Guantanamo”, in: BBC, Feb 7, 200228 see “Guantanamo Bay – Camp Delta”, in: www.globalsecurity.org/military/facility/guantanamo-bay_delta.htm29 “Bush lässt Alternativen zu Guantanamo prüfen”, in: Spiegel Online, June 9, 200530 see “Guantanamo Bay – Camp Delta”, in: www.globalsecurity.org/military/facility/guantanamo-bay_delta.htm 31 seeGoldenberg, S., “US faces Cuban prison crisis”, in: The Age, March 13, 200532 Term coined by Pierre Wack, a French oil executive arguing that strategy as it had been practiced (straight-line extrapolations from the past) did little to frame the choices that would define the future. The true role of strategy in his sense of the world was to describe a future worth creating, and then to reap the competitive advantages of preparing for it and making it happen. Strategy, in other words, was about telling stories33 Hersh, Seymour M., “ Torture at Abu Ghraib,” New Yorker, 3 May, 2004, [see also: http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?040510fa_fact]34 De la Rocha, Z. M., “Vietnow”, in: Evil Empire (recorded by Rage Against The Machine), 1996 (Sony Music)35 Rushdie, S., “In Bad Faith“, in: The Guardian, Monday March 14, 2005 This text is a short extract from an essay to be published in the forthcoming book “5 Codes – Architecture in the Age of Fear and Terror” (Birkhäuser – Basel/ Boston/ Berlin). Markus Miessen is an architect, researcher and writer teaching at the Architectural Association. He is the co-author of “Spaces of Uncertainty” (Mueller & Busmann, 2002) and currently acts as a spatial consultant to the European Kunsthalle Cologne. His forthcoming publication “Did someone Say Participate? An Atlas of Spatial Practice” (MIT Press/ Revolver, co-edited by Shumon Basar) will be published in June.
by S. Chakraborty, P. Batheja, H. Pahlson-Moller Evalueserve is Knowledge Partner of the Summit for the FutureSummary In the wake of large-scale financial failures such as those of Enron and WorldCom, the world of business has woken up to the need for internal controls. Such internal controls are necessary to ensure equitable distribution of rights among various stakeholders and make every corporate participant accountable for their practices. In other words, the concept of corporate governance has started gaining acceptance and popularity. Corporate governance is a system which provides sufficient controls to the way an organization is managed and hence ensures transparency. Sound corporate governance demands focus on long-term financial returns to all shareowners, full and accurate information disclosure, accountability of board of directors and constructive dialogue with the government and legislators. It also demands adherence to all applicable legislation prevalent in the country of operation. Therefore, the model of corporate governance followed by an organization depends on its geographic location and thus, varies between organizations. Though adherence to corporate governance directives is the onus of all stakeholders, it is the probably the highest for top-level managerial staff. While the practice of sound corporate governance undoubtedly enhances the goodwill of an organization and ensures financial stability, a careful balance needs to be maintained to ensure that excessive focus on controls do not straitjacket innovation and hence affect customer satisfaction.Corporate Governance – the controlled way to success ‘I am not saying there won’t be an Accident now, mind you. They’re funny things – Accidents. You never have them till you’re having them.’ – Winnie-the-Pooh Unpleasant occurrences, like their pleasant counterparts, always happen unexpectedly. Over the years, the world of business has witnessed many such unexpected successes and failures. Enron, Worldcom and Parmalat are some of the examples of the latter in the US and Europe. These corporate failures, and many more, have each caused insurmountable losses – loss of wealth, loss of livelihood, and most importantly, irreparable loss of goodwill. Why did these organizations falter? What went wrong? Could the disasters have been prevented? Could the process of atrophy be arrested at the very onset? This brings us to the discussion of a very important concept – Corporate Governance. Corporate governance refers to the set of rules or regulations that govern the functioning of an organization. According to OECD, “Corporate governance is the system by which business corporations are directed and controlled. The corporate governance structure specifies the distribution of rights and responsibilities among different participants in the corporation, such as, the board, managers, shareholders and other stakeholders, and spells out the rules and procedures for making decisions on corporate affairs. By doing this, it also provides the structure through which the company objectives are set and the means of attaining those objectives and monitoring performance”. The history of corporate governance dates back to the Watergate Scandal, which effectively involved a series of political scandals over 1972-74 and the abuse of power by the Nixon administration in attempts to undermine political opposition. During this period, many companies in the US had engaged in secret political contributions and corrupt payments, thus diluting shareholder value in the long-term. Later, in the nineteen eighties, a number of business failures took place, which made it apparent that the organizations severely lacked proper internal controls and independent audits. In other words, companies were not following the requisite corporate governance directives and instances of corporate failures due to management negligence, non-transparency, unequal distribution of power, etc, were rampant. In last few years, this trend has changed. Companies have started adopting systematic approaches to manoeuvre and manage their business operations. In other words, corporate governance has gradually become popular in the corporate world. Due to its apparent importance in shaping the economic health of corporations, and therefore society in general, corporate governance has also succeeded in attracting a good deal of public interest. Corporate governance ensures accountability, transparency, fairness and responsibility of companies on legal, social and economic affairs. In today’s world, characterised by intense competition, these elements are all crucial for success. According to a survey conducted by McKinsey, shareholders in Latin America and Asia are willing to pay around 20-28% premium for shares of well-governed companies. Similarly, in Europe and the US, shareholders are willing to pay 17-23% and 16-19% premium respectively. Hence the importance of corporate governance can hardly be overemphasised. Sound corporate governance demands the following; Focus on long-term financial returns to all shareowners Full and accurate information disclosure Ultimate ownership structure disclosure Accountable and qualified Board of Directors Consistent corporate remuneration policy Adherence to all applicable laws of the jurisdictions Constructive dialogue with the government and legislators In order to ensure compliance to corporate governance, several ratings scales have evolved in the recent past. These scales have set parameters to monitor and judge the ratings of individual organizations on compliance parameters. Companies, which are rated low due to non-adherence, are therefore losing goodwill among stakeholders. Adherence to sound corporate governance is not only the onus of the owners of the company, or those who hold top managerial positions. It is the responsibility of all stakeholders. In general, the most important factor in any organization’s success is its employees, and the responsibility falls heavily on their shoulders. The model of corporate governance followed by an organization depends, to a large extent, on its geographical location. Some of the reasons for this are as follows: Difference in structure of board – The structure of the board differs per country. Boards of organizations in certain countries, such as Germany, Netherlands and France, follow a two-tier structure; whereas those of organizations in the UK and Spain follow a unitary structure. The two tier structure allows the upper-tier to oversee the work of lower-tier, and hence leads to better adherence to corporate governance. Difference in creditor profile – Since creditors are key stakeholders, difference in creditor profiles lead to different corporate governance models being followed in different countries. For instance, in the US and the UK, equity is the dominant form of long-term finance. Banks are thus relatively less important and do not enjoy much control in the operations of organizations. On the other hand, the higher component of debt in organizations in Japan gives banks significant ownership and control in organizational matters. · Difference in power of customers – The legal framework of certain countries, such as the US and the UK, vests significant rights to customers. For instance, the Citizen’s Charter in the UK states that public services have to develop and publish a charter, which clearly lays down the rights of the customers and performance standards expected from the company over a period of time. Good corporate governance practices include the following: Flexibility of special meetings on needs basis, in addition to regular meetings Maintaining clarity in the positions and titles of directors Regular management executive meetings Creation of a system to clarify responsibilities of directors Creation of a corporate advisory committee for better transparency and objectivity Improvement in the auditing system Fair, appropriate, and timely disclosure of information regarding corporate activities (such as management policies, management objectives, and financial position) to all stakeholders Educating employees about business conduct guidelines Amidst all the emphasis on corporate governance, organizations should remember that better governance is not an end in itself, but rather, the means to a different end – that is customer satisfaction. While tight governance can protect organizations from frauds, errors and undue risk, it can also threaten agility and innovation. Organizations should ensure that regulations and controls do not get in the way of nimble delivery of customer expectations. Customer expectations should not be compromised against adherence and the two should be carefully integrated to create a transparent organization delivering customer value at all times. A recent example of good corporate governance is the Sarbanes-Oxley Act passed in the United States in 2002. In the wake of the large-scale financial meltdowns of powerful corporations such as Enron and WorldCom, which shook the very foundation of the financial world, this act was designed to review the out-dated legislative audit requirements. Considered to be one of the most significant amendments in the United States’ securities laws, the act specifies the establishment of public company accounting oversight board, auditor independence, corporate responsibility, and enhanced financial disclosure. Some organizations which have successfully used corporate governance to their benefit include Swiss RE, GE, Shell and IDC. About a decade ago, the board of Swiss Re, a large re-insurer, carried the image of “advance guard of the enemy”. There was little transparency in the system and important issues were hidden from the board. All this underwent a sea change and now the company boasts of sound strategy and proper information flow, resulting in better transparency within the company. The performance of non-executive directors has also come under scrutiny and external coaching is made available to enhance their performance. Corporate governance at IDC is based on two principles: 1. Management must have the executive freedom to drive the enterprise forward without undue restraints2. This freedom should be exercised within a framework of effective accountability What are the emerging trends in corporate governance? Companies have already started being more transparent and accountable, demarcating the role and responsibilities of the board and conducting performance appraisals of the board members. There is also a trend towards more external representation in boards and shorter tenure for such externally appointed board members.